🏗️ New Construction
525 Stone Brook Pl · Brandon, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$289,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
New construction! This home comes with a 10-year structural warranty, offering buyers added peace of mind. Back by popular demand, this is one of the community's most popular floor plans — and once you see it, you'll understand why! One of the standout features is the thoughtful layout, with the primary closet connecting directly to the laundry room for added convenience and seamless flow throughout the home. You'll also love the spacious walk-in pantry, perfect for extra storage and organization. The neighborhood amenities are top-notch!
Key facts
- Beautiful clubhouse
- Fitness room
- Large community pool
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $290k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-71 ($-856/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $286k (1.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (13.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $250k (13.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.7% in Brandon — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in MS, #1,514 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Rankin County School District (rural): math 56% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #6 of 130 in MS (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Rouse Elementary (797 students, 100% FRL); Brandon Middle School (math 67% / reading 49%, grade B, #11 of 179 statewide, top 6%, 1,193 students, 100% FRL); Brandon High School (math 47% / reading 49%, grade D, #27 of 197 statewide, top 13%, 1,648 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 35% district-wide (65 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.1%/yr); 416 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 343 units permitted in Rankin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rankin County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($273k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.03%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $296,341
- List price
- $289,999
- Delta
- -2.14%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 509 Stone Brook Pl | 0.01mi | 4/2.0 | 1,600 (0%) | 3mo | $289,999 | $181 | 96 |
| 511 Stone Brook Pl | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 1,670 (+4%) | 0mo | $294,999 | $177 | 92 |
| 242 Stonebridge Blvd | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,570 (-2%) | 1mo | $279,000 | $178 | 87 |
| 536 Stone Brook Pl | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,560 (-2%) | 1mo | $284,999 | $183 | 86 |
| 538 Stone Brook Pl | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,555 (-3%) | 2mo | $284,999 | $183 | 84 |
| 814 Stones Throw Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,550 (-3%) | 0mo | $279,500 | $180 | 84 |
| 244 Stonebridge Blvd | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,531 (-4%) | 2mo | $270,000 | $176 | 82 |
| 503 Stone Brook Pl | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,675 (+5%) | 6mo | $292,999 | $175 | 81 |
| 2017 Pebble Creek Dr | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,567 (-2%) | 1mo | $268,000 | $171 | 79 |
| 309 Flagstone Dr | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,518 (-5%) | 4mo | $265,000 | $175 | 77 |
| 507 Stone Brook Pl | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,750 (+9%) | 6mo | $299,999 | $171 | 74 |
| 534 Stone Brook Pl | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,750 (+9%) | 4mo | $299,999 | $171 | 72 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.13% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-41,696
- Equity at exit
- $44,185
- IRR
- 0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $6,388
- Equity at exit
- $25,622
Cash invested: $82,975 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 5 active · 12 under contract
- Months of supply
- 2.3 mo (43%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $294,999 ($172/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 56 d
- This list price
- 20% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +8.0% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 39042
- Home prices YoY
- -34.3%
- Rents YoY
- 7.1%
- Active inventory
- 416
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,502 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,554
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$370 /mo · $4,445/yr
- Insurance
- −$123
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$525
- Net cashflow
- $-71
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $133 | -5% $31 | +0% $-71 | +5% $-174 | +10% $-276 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-269 | -5% $-170 | +0% $-71 | +5% $28 | +10% $126 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $78 | -0.5pp $4 | base $-71 | +0.5pp $-148 | +1.0pp $-226 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,085
- Closing costs
- $8,890
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 610 Diamond Way Brandon, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1810 | $2,595 | $1.43 | 93d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 604 King Richard Rd Brandon, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,125 | $0.98 | 63d | 1 | 1.07mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Lot approximately 0.2 acres
- HOA & community
- Community association (fee covers grounds maintenance)PlaygroundPoolSidewalks
Exterior
- Parking
- 2-car garage
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerElectricity connectedSewer connected
- Home design
- Single family houseNew constructionOne storyPlans used for living area
- Construction
- Brick constructionSlab foundationBuilt by builder
- Exterior features
- Architectural shingle roofSee remarks
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherOven
- Flooring
- Luxury vinylTile
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- PantryLiving room fireplace
- Laundry & utility
- Tankless water heater
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $289,999 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $289,999 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $289,999 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $289,999 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $289,999 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $289,999 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $289,999 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $289,999 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $289,999 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $289,999 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $289,999 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $289,999 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $289,999 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $289,999 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $289,999 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $289,999 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $289,999 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $289,999 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $289,999 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $289,999 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $289,999 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $289,999 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $289,999 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $289,999 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $289,999 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $289,999 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $289,999 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $289,999 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $289,999 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $289,999 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $289,999 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $289,999 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $289,999 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $289,999 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $289,999 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $289,999 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $289,999 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $289,999 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $289,999 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $289,999 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $289,999 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $289,999 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $289,999 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $289,999 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $289,999 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $289,999 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $289,999 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $289,999 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $289,999 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $289,999 Active 19 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,025
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,600
- − Property taxes
- −$4,445
- − Insurance
- −$1,482
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,402
- − Management
- −$2,402
- − Depreciation
- −$8,621
- Taxable loss
- −$5,927
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,422
- After-tax cash flow
- $567/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This new construction home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. The community amenities and location make it an attractive investment.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental ↑
- Both Community amenities — Exploiting the community's amenities can attract buyers and renters ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rankin County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2803830
- Math proficiency
- 56% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,867
- Composite
- 45.62/100
- National rank
- #2587
- State rank
- #6 of 130 in MS
Livability — Brandon
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1514
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Rankin County · 164,317 people
- City population
- 79,950
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,142
- Household income
- $88,597
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1% of renters
Population outlook (Rankin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,317 people
- By 2030
- 171,013 · +4.1%
- By 2040
- 182,723 · +11.2%
- By 2050
- 192,376 · +17.1%
- By 2075
- 209,535 · +27.5%
- By 2100
- 209,534 · +27.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Rankin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.1) · D 25.9% · R 73.0% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.4pp toward D · 2008: -53.5pp · 2024: -47.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.1 2020: R+45.4 2016: R+52.9 2012: R+51.9 2008: R+53.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -90.04%
- Current HPI
- 172.5248
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.13%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $289,999 MLSU
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…