416 Richfield Blvd · Mattydale, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 3 bedroom, 1 bath bungalow that is move in ready and centrally located in North Syracuse School District. Situated on a neighborhood street near public transportation, Interstate 81, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, restaurants, and shopping. Just a couple of blocks from Richfield Park. A great opportunity for owner-occupants or investors alike, don’t miss this one! * 5/13 UPDATE: Offers kindly requested to be submitted by 10AM SAT 5/16. Thank you for your interest! *
Key facts
- Near shopping
- Centrally located
- Near restaurants
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Trails/paths nearby
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-story home; Existing construction; Vinyl siding; Block foundation
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Existing construction; Built as existing (year built details: Existing)
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Deck; Near public transit; Rectangular lot (approx. 50 x 170)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Luxury vinyl; Resilient flooring; Varies
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Living/dining room; Bedroom on main level; Partial basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $265 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 5.4% in Mattydale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#360 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime D, amenities F.
- North Syracuse Central School District (suburban): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #402 of 590 in NY (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.82%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $205,526
- List price
- $145,000
- Delta
- -29.45%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 321 Richfield Blvd | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,180 (0%) | 9mo | $150,000 | $127 | 80 |
| 302 Richfield Blvd | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,120 (-5%) | 3mo | $190,000 | $170 | 73 |
| 416 Garden City Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,080 (-8%) | 9mo | $199,900 | $185 | 66 |
| 301 Richfield Blvd | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,100 (-7%) | 6mo | $167,301 | $152 | 63 |
| 121 W Molloy Rd | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,176 (-0%) | 8mo | $170,000 | $145 | 60 |
| 200 Leonard St | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,125 (-5%) | 5mo | $172,500 | $153 | 60 |
| 162 Mc Alpine St | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,344 (+14%) | 3mo | $209,000 | $156 | 56 |
| 203 Brookline Rd | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,126 (-5%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $169 | 55 |
| 324 Leonard St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (-15%) | 9mo | $190,000 | $188 | 52 |
| 108 Harrington St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,056 (-10%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $213 | 50 |
| 311 Raphael Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,116 (-5%) | 10mo | $175,000 | $157 | 44 |
| 201 Hill Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,040 (-12%) | 7mo | $170,000 | $163 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.36×
- Total profit
- $95,929
- Equity at exit
- $130,627
- IRR
- 26.0%
- Equity multiple
- 7.64×
- Total profit
- $269,465
- Equity at exit
- $281,703
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13211
- Home prices YoY
- 10.7%
- Active inventory
- 21
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,775 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$317 /mo · $3,805/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$373
- Net cashflow
- $265
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $347 | -5% $306 | +0% $265 | +5% $223 | +10% $182 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $124 | -5% $194 | +0% $265 | +5% $335 | +10% $405 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $338 | -0.5pp $301 | base $265 | +0.5pp $227 | +1.0pp $189 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 106 Harrington St Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1168 | $1,875 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2802 Lemoyne Ave Unit 1 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,700 | $1.72 | 14d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 6715 Buckley Rd Syracuse, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $2,175 | $3.00 | 14d | 5 | 0.72mi |
| 1140 Wolf St Apt 3 Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1132 Wolf St Unit 4 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1041 | $1,350 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 103 Hyland Dr Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $2,400 | $1.90 | 14d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 286 Ross Park Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 100 Buckley Rd Liverpool, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 985 | $3,850 | $3.91 | 14d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 429 Beechwood Ave Liverpool, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,000 | $2.22 | 22d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-16status Pending 494-char remark
-
2026-05-12$145,000 Active 494-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,805 · $317/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,805 · $317/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,303
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$3,805
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,704
- − Management
- −$1,704
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $1,024
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$246
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,929/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Syracuse Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3621210
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,904
- Composite
- 41.93/100
- National rank
- #3356
- State rank
- #402 of 590 in NY
Livability — Mattydale
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #360
- US rank
- #6130
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mattydale, NY
- City population
- 6,155
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,155
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Two or more races 7% Asian 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 5% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Philippines, India, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 31.87%
- Current HPI
- 330.266
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-05-12 Listed $145,000 CNYIS
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,805 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…