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804 1/2 Azelia St
D+ Composite 49.37
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$162,000

804 1/2 Azelia St · Alamogordo, NM 88310
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 979 sqft · SingleFamily
Built 1997 Poor condition 6,011 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

New Listing! New Roof and New Laminate wood flooring make this a Dream Home for First Time Buyers, retirees, vacation home or great rental for an Investor! Three bedrooms and open living area plus patio and fenced in yard for family fun! Dont miss the Fig Tree and Pomegranate trees. Great views of the mountains from your private back yard! Shed and Carport are a bonus. Well Maintained! New Kitchen Refrigerator does convey! Close to shopping and restaurants! Minutes from Holloman AFB. Call today !!!

Key facts

  • 6,011 sq ft lot
  • Built 1997

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $162k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $188 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $162k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#5 in NM, #3,233 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, employment D, schools F.
  • Alamogordo Public Schools (town): math 26% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #26 of 95 in NM (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 449 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6 units permitted in Otero County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Otero County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $162,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
7.69%
Cash-on-cash
4.98%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.1%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-16,456
Equity at exit
$24,155
10-year hold
IRR
-2.7%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-7,651
Equity at exit
$14,007

Cash invested: $45,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 88310

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
449
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,655 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$850
Tax est. 1.5%
$202 /mo · $2,430/yr
Insurance
$68
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$348
Net cashflow
$188

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,417
Max offer price $162,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $300 -5% $244 +0% $188 +5% $132 +10% $76
Rent -10% $57 -5% $123 +0% $188 +5% $254 +10% $319
Rate -1.0pp $270 -0.5pp $229 base $188 +0.5pp $146 +1.0pp $104

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,500
Closing costs
$4,860
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2200 1st St Alamogordo, NM 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1011 $1,979 $1.96 5d 18 1.13mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    remarks 153-char remark
  2. 2026-06-08
    listed $162,000 Pending

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,865
− Mortgage interest
−$9,075
− Property taxes
−$2,430
− Insurance
−$810
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,589
− Management
−$1,589
− Depreciation
−$4,713
Taxable loss
−$341
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$82
After-tax cash flow
$2,341/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This home requires extensive repairs and updates to bring it up to a livable condition. Significant investments in the roof, exterior, interior, HVAC, and landscaping are necessary to improve its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Kitchen — No kitchen visible in the photo.
  • Major Bathrooms — No bathrooms visible in the photo.
  • Major Roof — No roof visible in the photo.
  • Major Exterior — No exterior visible in the photo.
  • Major Flooring — No flooring visible in the photo.
  • Major Interior walls/paint — No interior walls/paint visible in the photo.
  • Major Windows — No windows visible in the photo.
  • Major Foundation/structure — No foundation/structure visible in the photo.
  • Major HVAC/mechanicals — No HVAC/mechanicals visible in the photo.
  • Major Landscaping/curb appeal — No landscaping/curb appeal visible in the photo.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both New roof and exterior paint — A new roof and exterior paint would significantly improve the home's curb appeal and overall condition, making it more attractive to buyers and renters.
  • Both New flooring and kitchen appliances — Upgrading the flooring and replacing the kitchen appliances would enhance the home's functionality and aesthetic, making it more appealing to both buyers and renters.
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhancing the landscaping and curb appeal would make the home more inviting and attractive, increasing its resale and rental value.
  • Both HVAC and mechanical upgrades — Upgrading the HVAC and mechanical systems would improve the home's comfort and energy efficiency, making it more attractive to buyers and renters.
  • Both Interior updates and paint — Updating the interior and painting the walls would improve the home's overall condition and aesthetic, making it more attractive to buyers and renters.
  • Both New windows and doors — Replacing old windows and doors with energy-efficient ones would improve the home's energy efficiency and curb appeal, making it more attractive to buyers and renters.
  • Both Foundation and structural repairs — Addressing any foundation or structural issues would ensure the home's safety and stability, making it more attractive to buyers and renters.
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhancing the landscaping and curb appeal would make the home more inviting and attractive, increasing its resale and rental value.
  • Both HVAC and mechanical upgrades — Upgrading the HVAC and mechanical systems would improve the home's comfort and energy efficiency, making it more attractive to buyers and renters.
  • Both Interior updates and paint — Updating the interior and painting the walls would improve the home's overall condition and aesthetic, making it more attractive to buyers and renters.
  • Both New windows and doors — Replacing old windows and doors with energy-efficient ones would improve the home's energy efficiency and curb appeal, making it more attractive to buyers and renters.
  • Both Foundation and structural repairs — Addressing any foundation or structural issues would ensure the home's safety and stability, making it more attractive to buyers and renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Kitchen · No kitchen visible in the photo. Major $15,000–50,000
Bathrooms · No bathrooms visible in the photo. Major $15,000–50,000
Roof · No roof visible in the photo. Major $15,000–50,000
Exterior · No exterior visible in the photo. Major $15,000–50,000
Flooring · No flooring visible in the photo. Major $15,000–50,000
Interior walls/paint · No interior walls/paint visible in the photo. Major $15,000–50,000
Windows · No windows visible in the photo. Major $15,000–50,000
Foundation/structure · No foundation/structure visible in the photo. Major $15,000–50,000
HVAC/mechanicals · No HVAC/mechanicals visible in the photo. Major $15,000–50,000
Landscaping/curb appeal · No landscaping/curb appeal visible in the photo. Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 10 items $150,000–500,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both New roof and exterior paint — A new roof and exterior paint would significantly improve the home's curb appeal and overall condition, making it more attractive to buyers and renters.
  • Both New flooring and kitchen appliances — Upgrading the flooring and replacing the kitchen appliances would enhance the home's functionality and aesthetic, making it more appealing to both buyers and renters.
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhancing the landscaping and curb appeal would make the home more inviting and attractive, increasing its resale and rental value.
  • Both HVAC and mechanical upgrades — Upgrading the HVAC and mechanical systems would improve the home's comfort and energy efficiency, making it more attractive to buyers and renters.
  • Both Interior updates and paint — Updating the interior and painting the walls would improve the home's overall condition and aesthetic, making it more attractive to buyers and renters.
  • Both New windows and doors — Replacing old windows and doors with energy-efficient ones would improve the home's energy efficiency and curb appeal, making it more attractive to buyers and renters.
  • Both Foundation and structural repairs — Addressing any foundation or structural issues would ensure the home's safety and stability, making it more attractive to buyers and renters.
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhancing the landscaping and curb appeal would make the home more inviting and attractive, increasing its resale and rental value.
  • Both HVAC and mechanical upgrades — Upgrading the HVAC and mechanical systems would improve the home's comfort and energy efficiency, making it more attractive to buyers and renters.
  • Both Interior updates and paint — Updating the interior and painting the walls would improve the home's overall condition and aesthetic, making it more attractive to buyers and renters.
  • Both New windows and doors — Replacing old windows and doors with energy-efficient ones would improve the home's energy efficiency and curb appeal, making it more attractive to buyers and renters.
  • Both Foundation and structural repairs — Addressing any foundation or structural issues would ensure the home's safety and stability, making it more attractive to buyers and renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Alamogordo Public Schools
NCES district ID
3500030
Math proficiency
26%
Reading proficiency
39%
Median HH income
$42,194
Composite
30.24/100
National rank
#11572
State rank
#26 of 95 in NM

Livability — Alamogordo

Score
77/100
State rank
#5
US rank
#3233

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Alamogordo, NM
County
Otero County · 36,983 people
City population
36,983
Metro
Alamogordo, NM
Population (ZIP)
36,983
Household income
$57,214
Rent vs Own
34.4% rent · 65.6% own
Severe rent burden
1231.0

Population outlook (Otero County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
62,967 people
By 2030
62,164 · -1.3%
By 2040
60,253 · -4.3%
By 2050
58,575 · -7.0%
By 2075
55,411 · -12.0%
By 2100
48,551 · -22.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 18% Black 5% Asian 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 25%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 12% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Otero

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.4% · R 62.4% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.7pp toward R · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -27.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.0 2020: R+25.6 2016: R+29.1 2012: R+28.0 2008: R+19.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -174.88%
Current HPI
181.737
Rent YoY
▲ 1.65%
Metro
Alamogordo, NM
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+73.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-07 Delisted OCAOR
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $162,000 OCAOR
  • 2018-11-30 Sold (MLS) OCAOR
  • 2018-07-02 Listed $93,500 OCAOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…