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1019 E 21st Ave
D Composite 44.64
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$225,000

1019 E 21st Ave · North Kansas City, MO 64116
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 866 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1930 4,356 sqft lot Est $236k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming and move-in ready, this well maintained home offers an excellent opportunity for homeowners and investors alike. This home features a new roof, new HVAC system, hardwood floors, generous closet space, and an updated kitchen and bath. All appliances stay, including the washer and dryer, making your move even easier. Enjoy both covered front and back porches, a fenced backyard, and off-street parking for two vehicles. Location is close to shopping, major highways, and public transportation. Large tree was just removed from backyard and it's too hot to lay down new grass seed. Previously used as a successful rental for many years, this home offers both comfort and investment potential

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Built 1930
  • Listed 11 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Fiber available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Bungalow / ranch style
  • Construction: Asbestos construction materials; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: City lot within city limits; Metal, privacy, and wood fencing

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the first floor
  • Flooring: Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Formal living room; Main floor bedrooms including primary on main; Bungalow / ranch floor plan
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $26 ($316/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $187k (17.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $187k (17.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#67 in MO, #4,540 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
  • North Kansas City 74 (urban): math 38% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #98 of 324 in MO (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 88 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 341 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $186,585 (17.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
6.43%
Cash-on-cash
0.50%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$235,552
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1210 E 23rd Ave 0.17mi 2/1.0 856 (-1%) 1mo $199,999 $234 89
1219 E 21st Ave 0.13mi 2/1.0 888 (+2%) 7mo $250,000 $282 84
1026 E 22nd Ave 0.08mi 2/1.0 962 (+11%) 1mo $249,000 $259 77
1231 E 23rd Ave 0.20mi 2/1.0 820 (-5%) 10mo $185,000 $226 74
1023 E 22nd Ave 0.05mi 2/1.0 772 (-11%) 8mo $220,000 $285 73
1401 E 21st Ave 0.21mi 2/1.0 776 (-10%) 0mo $249,900 $322 73
831 E 25th Ave 0.23mi 2/1.5 910 (+5%) 11mo $275,000 $302 70
1221 E 25th Ave 0.24mi 2/1.0 953 (+10%) 5mo $194,900 $205 68
1437 E 25th Ave 0.36mi 2/1.0 772 (-11%) 4mo $209,900 $272 62
1444 E 21st Ave 0.32mi 2/1.0 748 (-14%) 12mo $210,000 $281 53
1440 E 24th Ave 0.35mi 3/1.0 (+1) 982 (+13%) 5mo $265,000 $270 52
1212 E 22nd Ave 0.14mi 3/2.0 (+1) 990 (+14%) 11mo $160,900 $163 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.74% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.7%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-31,495
Equity at exit
$33,548
10-year hold
IRR
-2.5%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-11,286
Equity at exit
$19,454

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64116

Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
88
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,866 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$174 /mo · $2,088/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$392
Net cashflow
$26

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,832
Max offer price $225,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $154 -5% $90 +0% $26 +5% $-37 +10% $-101
Rent -10% $-121 -5% $-47 +0% $26 +5% $100 +10% $174
Rate -1.0pp $140 -0.5pp $84 base $26 +0.5pp $-32 +1.0pp $-91

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1023 E 22nd Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.5 900 $3,000 $3.33 24d 1 0.08mi
715 Armour Rd Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0–2.0 1001 $1,742 $1.74 4d 10 0.25mi
1770 Diamond Pkwy Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0–2.0 921 $1,763 $1.91 3d 28 0.35mi
524 E 26th Ave North Kansas City, MO 1.0 1.0 630 $950 $1.51 44d 1 0.37mi
1801 Diamond Pkwy North Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0–2.0 926 $1,945 $2.10 2d 27 0.37mi
2116 Fayette St Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 902 $1,650 $1.83 24d 1 0.39mi
1619 Orleans Cir North Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0–2.5 1119 $1,272 $1.14 44d 1 0.41mi
2700 Howell Ter Kansas City, MO 1.0 1.0 600 $1,175 $1.96 24d 1 0.44mi
314 E 26th Ave North Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $1,325 $1.66 44d 1 0.52mi
300 E 26th Ave Unit 300E26 North Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $1,325 $1.66 8d 1 0.54mi
317 E 28th Ave Kansas City, MO 1.0 1.0 648 $1,100 $1.70 3d 1 0.56mi
200 E 23rd Ave Kansas City, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 929 $2,058 $2.22 2d 16 0.57mi
215 E 18th Ave North Kansas City, MO 1.0 1.0 733 $1,932 $2.63 2d 16 0.59mi
2600 Cityview Dr Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0–2.0 955 $1,840 $1.93 2d 23 0.62mi
3242 N Virginia Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 2.0 912 $1,695 $1.86 8d 1 0.68mi
3350 N Holmes St Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0–2.5 975 $3,329 $3.41 2d 91 0.86mi
3800 N Cherry Ln Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 825 $1,138 $1.38 15d 4 1.41mi
1321a NE 39th St Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.5–2.0 952 $1,732 $1.82 44d 3 1.50mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $225,000 Active 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $225,000 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $225,000 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $225,000 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $225,000 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $225,000 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $225,000 Active 2 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    remarks 699-char remark
  9. 2026-06-08
    statusdays on market $225,000 Active 1 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $225,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    remarks 592-char remark
  12. 2026-06-05
    listed $225,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,088 · $174/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,182 · $182/mo
Expected delta
+$95/yr (+$8/mo · 4.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,390
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$2,088
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,791
− Management
−$1,791
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$3,554
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$853
After-tax cash flow
$1,169/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Kansas City 74
NCES district ID
2922800
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$55,444
Composite
37.88/100
National rank
#4321
State rank
#98 of 324 in MO

Livability — North Kansas City

Score
74/100
State rank
#67
US rank
#4540

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Kansas City, MO
County
Clay County · 220,651 people
City population
17,535
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
Population (ZIP)
18,046
Household income
$64,123
Rent vs Own
55.7% rent · 44.3% own
Severe rent burden
844.0

Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
266,022 people
By 2030
280,057 · +5.3%
By 2040
306,153 · +15.1%
By 2050
328,630 · +23.5%
By 2075
375,182 · +41.0%
By 2100
392,861 · +47.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Two or more races 15% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
91% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 2% Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Clay

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.6) · D 46.4% · R 52.0% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-4.9pp toward R · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: -5.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.6 2020: R+4.1 2016: R+11.1 2012: R+8.4 2008: R+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -180.14%
Current HPI
256.6222
Rent YoY
▲ 4.74%
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Coming Soon $225,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-09-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2000-04-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,088 · +23.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…