1903 Roosevelt Ave · New Burlington, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.6/30.0
- ARV discount +11.2/15.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Attention Investors. Solid 3 bedroom rental. Long term ( 8 years) tenant in place. Cash offers only!
Key facts
- Sizable yard
- Natural light
- Functional layout
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Residential zoning; Lot approx. 0.208 acres (about 69 x 140); Less than 0.5 acre lot
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (built-in) with 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas
- Home design: A-frame single family home; One story (entry level on level 1)
- Construction: Brick and wood siding exterior; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on one level
- Exterior features: Patio; Metal fencing; Vinyl insulated windows
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Vinyl flooring in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on level 1); Primary bedroom approx. 12 x 12; Second bedroom approx. 10 x 10; Third bedroom approx. 10 x 10
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring in kitchen; Wall-to-wall carpet in living room
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on level 1
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas); Central air conditioning; Electric water heater
- Interior features: 5 total rooms; Wall-to-wall carpet in living room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $197 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (1.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $167k (1.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 5.5% in New Burlington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#782 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Mt Healthy City (suburban): math 12% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #636 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 42 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $67k; list at $170k implies a 154% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.96%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $185,000
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1890 Lotushill Dr | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (0%) | 4mo | $189,999 | $190 | 92 |
| 1834 Aspenhill Dr | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (0%) | 6mo | $185,000 | $185 | 90 |
| 1819 Aspenhill Dr | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (0%) | 8mo | $180,000 | $180 | 86 |
| 1825 Aspenhill Dr | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (0%) | 10mo | $195,000 | $195 | 85 |
| 1990 Bluehill Dr | 0.17mi | 3/1.5 | 1,025 (+2%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $176 | 85 |
| 1934 Windmill Way | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,025 (+2%) | 9mo | $168,000 | $164 | 80 |
| 2047 Bluehill Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,025 (+2%) | 12mo | $192,000 | $187 | 70 |
| 10956 Pleasanthill Dr | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,073 (+7%) | 12mo | $180,000 | $168 | 63 |
| 2016 Mistyhill Dr | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 900 (-10%) | 10mo | $176,750 | $196 | 60 |
| 2333 Merriway Ln | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (+4%) | 10mo | $177,500 | $171 | 53 |
| 2347 Merriway Ln | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (+4%) | 12mo | $145,000 | $139 | 51 |
| 10592 Mill Rd | 0.58mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,118 (+12%) | 10mo | $214,000 | $191 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-14,518
- Equity at exit
- $25,333
- IRR
- 1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $5,528
- Equity at exit
- $14,690
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45240
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 42
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,668 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$159 /mo · $1,910/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$350
- Net cashflow
- $197
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11060 Quailwood Dr Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 702 | $1,226 | $1.75 | 2d | 3 | 0.59mi |
| 2096 Quail Ct Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 725 | $1,238 | $1.71 | 2d | 4 | 0.62mi |
| 2300 Walden Glen Cir Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 830 | $1,599 | $1.93 | 2d | 9 | 0.77mi |
| 2504 Houston Rd Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1105 | $2,995 | $2.71 | 2d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2753 Town Terrace Dr Cincinnati, OH | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 968 | $1,450 | $1.50 | 21d | 4 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $169,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $169,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $169,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $169,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $169,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $169,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $169,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $169,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $169,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $169,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $169,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $169,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,910 · $159/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,280 · $190/mo
- Expected delta
- +$370/yr (+$31/mo · 19.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,012
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$1,910
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,601
- − Management
- −$1,601
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable loss
- −$409
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$98
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,456/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mt Healthy City
- NCES district ID
- 3904441
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,699
- Composite
- 15.51/100
- National rank
- #9303
- State rank
- #636 of 656 in OH
Livability — New Burlington
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #782
- US rank
- #14211
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Burlington, OH
- County
- Hamilton County · 701,295 people
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,600
- Household income
- $71,947
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 693.0
Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 826,054 people
- By 2030
- 830,947 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 832,319 · +0.8%
- By 2050
- 822,428 · -0.4%
- By 2075
- 788,688 · -4.5%
- By 2100
- 710,674 · -14.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 25% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 5% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, India, China
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.9) · D 57.0% · R 42.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: 7.0pp · 2024: 14.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.9 2020: D+15.9 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -209.84%
- Current HPI
- 246.1355
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.30%
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+430.9% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $169,900 Cincy MLS
- 2019-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $67,001 Public Records
- 2019-08-21 Sold (MLS) $67,001 Cincy MLS
- 2019-07-02 Contingent — Cincy MLS
- 2019-06-23 Listed $68,500 Cincy MLS
- 2007-10-09 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2007-05-08 Listed $73,500 Cincy MLS
- 2007-05-08 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2007-01-31 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2007-01-31 Listed $78,500 Cincy MLS
- 2006-10-12 Listed $78,900 Cincy MLS
- 1990-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $43,588 Public Records
- 1987-09-09 Sold (Public Records) $43,500 Public Records
- 1986-10-10 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,910 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…