3591 Highway 104 · Lawtell, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover the potential of this classic all-brick Cadian style nestled on a beautiful, tree-lined lot. The expansive interior features striking floor-to-ceiling traditional wood wainscoting and a large kitchen with a center island--perfect for hosting. With spacious rooms and a functional layout, this home is ready for your modern updates. Outside, enjoy the peace and privacy of your vast backyard surrounded by mature shade trees. A rare find for those seeking solid construction and a serene setting.
Key facts
- Solid construction
- Vast backyard
- Mature shade trees
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: One parking space
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single-story; Slab foundation
- Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof; Built with slab foundation
- Exterior features: City lot
Interior
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Five total rooms; Average condition
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $494 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#248 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
- St. Landry Parish (town): math 20% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #54 of 98 in LA (top 55%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 312 active listings in the ZIP; 142 units permitted in St. Landry Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Landry County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $80k (57%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.11%
- DSCR
- 2.78
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $215,871
- List price
- $59,900
- Delta
- -72.25%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3672 Highway 3043 | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,925 (-1%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $101 | 83 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.30×
- Total profit
- $21,806
- Equity at exit
- $8,931
- IRR
- 38.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.56×
- Total profit
- $59,680
- Equity at exit
- $5,179
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70570
- Home prices YoY
- -34.7%
- Active inventory
- 312
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,198 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $560/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$252
- Net cashflow
- $494
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $528 | -5% $511 | +0% $494 | +5% $477 | +10% $460 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $399 | -5% $447 | +0% $494 | +5% $541 | +10% $589 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $524 | -0.5pp $509 | base $494 | +0.5pp $479 | +1.0pp $463 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $59,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-18price $59,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 41 DOM
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
Discover the potential of this classic all-brick Cadian style nestled on a beautiful, tree-lined lot. The expansive interior features striking floor-to-ceiling traditional wood wainscoting and a large kitchen with a center island--perfect for hosting. With spacious rooms and a functional layout, this home is ready for your modern updates. Outside, enjoy the peace and privacy of your vast backyard surrounded by mature shade trees. A rare find for those seeking solid construction and a serene setting.
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $89,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $124,900 Active 36 DOM
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
Discover the potential of this classic all-brick Cadian style nestled on a beautiful, tree-lined lot. The expansive interior features striking floor-to-ceiling traditional wood wainscoting and a large kitchen with a center island--perfect for hosting. With spacious rooms and a functional layout, this home is ready for your modern updates. Outside, enjoy the peace and privacy of your vast backyard surrounded by mature shade trees. A rare find for those seeking solid construction and a serene setting.
-
2026-06-09days on market $124,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $124,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $124,900 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $124,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $124,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $124,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $124,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $124,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $124,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $124,900 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
Discover the potential of this classic all-brick Cadian style nestled on a beautiful, tree-lined lot. The expansive interior features striking floor-to-ceiling traditional wood wainscoting and a large kitchen with a center island--perfect for hosting. With spacious rooms and a functional layout, this home is ready for your modern updates. Outside, enjoy the peace and privacy of your vast backyard surrounded by mature shade trees. A rare find for those seeking solid construction and a serene setting.
-
2026-05-13price $124,900 509-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
Discover the potential of this classic all-brick Cadian style nestled on a beautiful, tree-lined lot. The expansive interior features striking floor-to-ceiling traditional wood wainscoting and a large kitchen with a center island--perfect for hosting. With spacious rooms and a functional layout, this home is ready for your modern updates. Outside, enjoy the peace and privacy of your vast backyard surrounded by mature shade trees. A rare find for those seeking solid construction and a serene setting.
-
2026-05-07$139,900 Active 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
Discover the potential of this classic all-brick Cadian style nestled on a beautiful, tree-lined lot. The expansive interior features striking floor-to-ceiling traditional wood wainscoting and a large kitchen with a center island--perfect for hosting. With spacious rooms and a functional layout, this home is ready for your modern updates. Outside, enjoy the peace and privacy of your vast backyard surrounded by mature shade trees. A rare find for those seeking solid construction and a serene setting.
-
2026-05-07$139,900 Active 509-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
Discover the potential of this classic all-brick Cadian style nestled on a beautiful, tree-lined lot. The expansive interior features striking floor-to-ceiling traditional wood wainscoting and a large kitchen with a center island--perfect for hosting. With spacious rooms and a functional layout, this home is ready for your modern updates. Outside, enjoy the peace and privacy of your vast backyard surrounded by mature shade trees. A rare find for those seeking solid construction and a serene setting.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $560 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $560 · $47/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,374
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$560
- − Insurance
- −$1,097
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,150
- − Management
- −$1,150
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $5,320
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,277
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,653/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Landry Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201560
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -43.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -35.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,635
- Composite
- 21.59/100
- National rank
- #8303
- State rank
- #54 of 98 in LA
Livability — Lawtell
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #248
- US rank
- #18803
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 38
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,188
Population outlook (St. Landry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 83,114 people
- By 2030
- 82,110 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 79,445 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 75,855 · -8.7%
- By 2075
- 65,684 · -21.0%
- By 2100
- 51,739 · -37.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% White 37% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 5% Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Landry
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.8) · D 40.0% · R 58.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.2pp · 2024: -18.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.8 2020: R+14.1 2016: R+11.9 2012: R+4.3 2008: R+3.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -52.38%
- Current HPI
- 98.4256
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-57.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Price Changed $59,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-06-17 Price Changed $59,900 GSREIN
- 2026-06-12 Price Changed $89,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-06-12 Price Changed $89,900 GSREIN
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $124,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $124,900 GSREIN
- 2026-05-07 Listed $139,900 GSREIN
- 2026-05-07 Listed $139,900 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
-0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $560 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…