211 Dinwiddie Ave · Blackstone, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 22.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
THIS PROPERTY BEING SOLD VIA ONLINE SIMULCAST AUCTION ON MAY 28 AT 11AM BY DOUBLE A AUCTION & REALTY VAAL #1011! List price reflects the opening bid of $80,000. No pre-auction offers will be accepted. May 2026 real estate auction for 211 Dinwiddie Avenue in Blackstone, VA. This circa-1920 Sears Craftsman-style home offers character, potential, and a convenient in-town location close to downtown Blackstone amenities. The home features 9 rooms, 5 bedrooms, 1 bath, hardwood and pine flooring, central heat, air conditioning, public water, and public sewer. Situated on an approximately 4/10-acre lot, the property includes a nice fenced-in yard and multiple outbuildings, offering room for s
Key facts
- Central heat
- Air conditioning
- Fenced in yard
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water service; Public sewer service
- Home design: 2-story home; Frame construction with vinyl siding; Shingle roof
- Construction: Built (actual year not specified)
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.41 acres; Public water; Public sewer
Interior
- Bedrooms: 9 total rooms (room-level details not provided)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with tub and shower (located on the first floor)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (oil); Electric cooling
- Interior features: Resale condition
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 22.0% vs local median 4.0% in Blackstone — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#210 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Nottoway County Public School District (rural): math 34% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #109 of 131 in VA (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 57 units permitted in Nottoway County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Nottoway County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 22% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 56.08%
- DSCR
- 3.50
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $216,934
- List price
- $80,000
- Delta
- -63.12%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 54.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.40×
- Total profit
- $53,703
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 59.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.92×
- Total profit
- $132,589
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23824
- Home prices YoY
- -9.2%
- Active inventory
- 58
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,950 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$41 /mo · $490/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$410
- Net cashflow
- $1,047
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,092 | -5% $1,069 | +0% $1,047 | +5% $1,024 | +10% $1,002 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $893 | -5% $970 | +0% $1,047 | +5% $1,124 | +10% $1,201 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,087 | -0.5pp $1,067 | base $1,047 | +0.5pp $1,026 | +1.0pp $1,005 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 706 College Ave Blackstone, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2137 | $1,950 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-04-10$80,000 Active 974-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $490 · $41/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $656 · $55/mo
- Expected delta
- +$166/yr (+$14/mo · 34.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$490
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,872
- − Management
- −$1,872
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $11,958
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,870
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,692/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Nottoway County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5102790
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,125
- Composite
- 38.65/100
- National rank
- #4153
- State rank
- #109 of 131 in VA
Livability — Blackstone
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #210
- US rank
- #6666
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Blackstone, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,650
Population outlook (Nottoway County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,190 people
- By 2030
- 14,867 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 13,993 · -7.9%
- By 2050
- 12,924 · -14.9%
- By 2075
- 10,416 · -31.4%
- By 2100
- 7,281 · -52.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Black 43% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Serbian 1% Danish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Nottoway
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.4) · D 38.5% · R 60.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.1pp toward R · 2008: -1.2pp · 2024: -22.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.4 2020: R+14.9 2016: R+13.1 2012: R+0.9 2008: R+1.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.21%
- Current HPI
- 178.7698
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Pending — CVRMLS
- 2026-04-10 Listed $80,000 CVRMLS
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $490 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…