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2917 Ruark Rd
D+ Composite 47.75
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0

$159,900

2917 Ruark Rd · Macon-Bibb County, GA 31217
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,188 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 52 Days on market
Built 1955 0.73 ac lot $135/sqft · 113% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fabulous 4 sided brick home! A couple of years ago the seller installed New impact windows, DuraLux waterproof Luxury vinyl flooring throughout, New water heater, New light fixtures, New vanity, New bedroom/closet doors, New faucets, New HVAC, reglazed bath/tile work, New paint throughout including kitchen cabinets, and complete electrical with city permits and approval! 3 bedrooms, fully fenced backyard, and no HOA.. what more could you want? This home is also Great Location... 12mns from Mercer, close to the Interstate and 2 minutes to the Macon Downtown Airport! Perfect for an owner-occupant or an excellent investment opportunity! Ideal as a rental for college students or a potential Airbnb property. Make an appointment to view today!

Key facts

  • Vanity
  • Faucets
  • Water heater

Tags

IMPACT WINDOWSWATER HEATERLIGHT FIXTURESVANITYBEDROOM CLOSET DOORSFAUCETS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $36 ($433/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $127k (20.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $127k (20.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.8%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (4.3% local appreciation)).
  • Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.3% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $52k; list at $160k implies a 205% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $126,632 (20.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
6.56%
Cash-on-cash
0.97%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$90,335
List price
$159,900
Delta
77.01%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
128 Brunswick Ave 0.45mi 3/1.5 1,175 (-1%) 10mo $127,500 $109 69
2810 Herbert Smart Airport Rd 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,200 (+1%) 16mo $53,500 $45 67
3414 Riggins Mill Rd 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,100 (-7%) 10mo $100,000 $91 55
3634 Jessica Dr 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,242 (+4%) 10mo $139,900 $113 52
2724 Herbert Smart Airport Rd 0.53mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,305 (+10%) 2mo $54,400 $42 50
3477 Jeffersonville Rd 0.61mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,100 (-7%) 23mo $40,000 $36 33
3355 Finneydale Ct S 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,025 (-14%) 23mo $50,000 $49 19

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.31% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.1%
Equity multiple
1.88×
Total profit
$39,567
Equity at exit
$84,006
10-year hold
IRR
17.1%
Equity multiple
4.05×
Total profit
$136,762
Equity at exit
$139,793

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31217

Home prices YoY
2.1%
Rents YoY
10.8%
Active inventory
122
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,266 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$59 /mo · $710/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$266
Net cashflow
$36

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,221
Max offer price $159,900
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $127 -5% $81 +0% $36 +5% $-9 +10% $-54
Rent -10% $-64 -5% $-14 +0% $36 +5% $86 +10% $136
Rate -1.0pp $117 -0.5pp $77 base $36 +0.5pp $-5 +1.0pp $-47

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3722 Piedmont Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 780 $895 $1.15 14d 1 0.84mi
3258 Lancing Ln Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 14d 1 1.02mi
3938 Kings Park Cir Macon, GA 4.0 1.5 1200 $1,400 $1.17 14d 1 1.05mi
2621 Jeffersonville Rd Unit 68 Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,050 $0.99 44d 1 1.42mi
2621 Jeffersonville Rd Unit 42 Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1152 $1,081 $0.94 44d 1 1.42mi
2621 Jeffersonville Rd Unit 23 Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1152 $1,150 $1.00 44d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,900 Active 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,900 Active 51 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,900 Active 50 DOM
  4. 2026-05-30
    days on market $159,900 Active 49 DOM
  5. 2026-04-11
    listed $159,900 New 747-char remark
    Show marketing remark (747 chars)

    Fabulous 4 sided brick home! A couple of years ago the seller installed New impact windows, DuraLux waterproof Luxury vinyl flooring throughout, New water heater, New light fixtures, New vanity, New bedroom/closet doors, New faucets, New HVAC, reglazed bath/tile work, New paint throughout including kitchen cabinets, and complete electrical with city permits and approval! 3 bedrooms, fully fenced backyard, and no HOA.. what more could you want? This home is also Great Location... 12mns from Mercer, close to the Interstate and 2 minutes to the Macon Downtown Airport! Perfect for an owner-occupant or an excellent investment opportunity! Ideal as a rental for college students or a potential Airbnb property. Make an appointment to view today!

  6. 2026-04-11
    listed $159,900 Active 747-char remark
    Show marketing remark (747 chars)

    Fabulous 4 sided brick home! A couple of years ago the seller installed New impact windows, DuraLux waterproof Luxury vinyl flooring throughout, New water heater, New light fixtures, New vanity, New bedroom/closet doors, New faucets, New HVAC, reglazed bath/tile work, New paint throughout including kitchen cabinets, and complete electrical with city permits and approval! 3 bedrooms, fully fenced backyard, and no HOA.. what more could you want? This home is also Great Location... 12mns from Mercer, close to the Interstate and 2 minutes to the Macon Downtown Airport! Perfect for an owner-occupant or an excellent investment opportunity! Ideal as a rental for college students or a potential Airbnb property. Make an appointment to view today!

  7. 2022-06-01
    historical
  8. 2022-05-31
    status Back On Market
  9. 2022-05-15
    status Under Contract
  10. 2022-05-13
    listed $149,900 New
  11. 2021-11-01
    historical
  12. 2021-09-18
    price $159,900
  13. 2021-09-06
    listed $164,900 New
  14. 2020-10-19
    soldstatus $52,500
  15. 2020-10-01
    soldstatus $52,500
  16. 2020-09-09
    listed $53,500
  17. 2015-04-14
    soldstatus $46,000
  18. 2015-04-13
    soldstatus $46,000
  19. 2015-01-05
    listed $46,900
  20. 2003-10-23
    soldstatus $50,750
  21. 2003-08-05
    soldstatus $58,309

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$710 · $59/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,471 · $123/mo
Expected delta
+$761/yr (+$63/mo · 107.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,196
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$710
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,216
− Management
−$1,216
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable loss
−$2,353
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$565
After-tax cash flow
$998/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bibb County
NCES district ID
1300420
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,426
Composite
12.13/100
National rank
#9654
State rank
#161 of 174 in GA

Livability — Macon-Bibb County

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Macon-Bibb County, GA
County
Bibb County · 164,332 people
City population
143,186
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
Population (ZIP)
17,732
Household income
$44,809
Rent vs Own
34.7% rent · 65.3% own
Severe rent burden
391.0

Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
148,772 people
By 2030
145,904 · -1.9%
By 2040
139,404 · -6.3%
By 2050
131,603 · -11.5%
By 2075
111,050 · -25.4%
By 2100
83,346 · -44.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (57%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 57% White 38% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bibb

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
2008→2024 swing
+4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.31%
Current HPI
209.9166
Rent YoY
▲ 10.85%
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+174.2% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-11 Listed $159,900 FMLS
  • 2026-04-11 Listed $159,900 GAMLS
  • 2022-06-01 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2022-05-31 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2022-05-15 Pending GAMLS
  • 2022-05-13 Listed $149,900 GAMLS
  • 2021-11-01 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2021-09-18 Price Changed $159,900 GAMLS
  • 2021-09-06 Listed $164,900 GAMLS
  • 2020-10-19 Sold (Public Records) $52,500 Public Records
  • 2020-10-01 Sold (MLS) $52,500 MGMLS
  • 2020-09-09 Listed $53,500 MGMLS
  • 2015-04-14 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
  • 2015-04-13 Sold (MLS) $46,000 MGMLS
  • 2015-01-05 Listed $46,900 MGMLS
  • 2003-10-23 Sold (Public Records) $50,750 Public Records
  • 2003-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $58,309 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $710 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…