601 N Kirby Ave #534 · Hemet, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +6.7/15.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
ON THE FAIRWAY!!! LOVELY HOME WITH FREE GOLF!!! This home has NEWER heat, NEWER air, composition roof, custom WORKSHOP shed, NEWER kitchen sink with filter system, NEWER family room cabinetry, 2 custom showers, NEWER refrigerator, NEWER oven, NEWER dishwasher, washer/dryer, 3 security doors, DUAL PANE windows, 4 ceiling fans, and much more. This home is located in a senior 55+ community. Potential buyer shall make an offer before park approval can begin.
Key facts
- Fitness center
- Clubhouse
- Community pool
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area source: assessor's data; Lot size estimated; Elevation units in feet; Property located near N Sanderson Ave & W Menlo Ave (latitude 33.755938, longitude -117.002216)
- HOA & community: Senior community; Manager approval may be required; Pet policy: call for details; Land lease (approximately $1,100)
Exterior
- Parking: Located in Colonial Country park
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
- Home design: Single-story property; Mobile home remains (24' x 60')
- Construction: Year built per assessor
- Exterior features: Community pool; Close to clubhouse; Golf course community; Sidewalks
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (furnace); Central cooling
- Interior features: One-level home; South-facing entry
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside the unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 26.7% vs local median 4.9% in Hemet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,056 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Hemet Unified (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 517 in CA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 290 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $58k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.90% ✓
- Cap rate
- 26.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 72.76%
- DSCR
- 4.24
- GRM
- 2.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $73,728
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 601 N Kirby St #501 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-6%) | 0mo | $49,000 | $34 | 89 |
| 601 Kirby St N #451 | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-6%) | 0mo | $60,000 | $42 | 89 |
| 601 Kirby St N #235 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-6%) | 3mo | $84,000 | $58 | 87 |
| 601 N Kirby St #67 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-6%) | 6mo | $73,000 | $51 | 85 |
| 601 N Kirby St #220 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-6%) | 6mo | $38,500 | $27 | 85 |
| 601 N Kirby St #159 | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (-6%) | 5mo | $69,000 | $48 | 79 |
| 601 N Kirby #269 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,652 (+8%) | 6mo | $105,000 | $64 | 78 |
| 601 N Kirby #177 | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (-12%) | 1mo | $10,000 | $7 | 69 |
| 1895 W Devonshire #20 | 0.75mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (-12%) | 1mo | $44,000 | $33 | 44 |
| 1895 W Devonshire Ave #76 | 0.75mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (-12%) | 4mo | $55,000 | $41 | 42 |
| 1895 W Devonshire Ave #74 | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-12%) | 2mo | $80,000 | $60 | 38 |
| 1895 W Devonshire Ave #148 | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-12%) | 6mo | $87,500 | $65 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 73.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.36×
- Total profit
- $70,561
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 77.3%
- Equity multiple
- 9.22×
- Total profit
- $172,610
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92545
- Home prices YoY
- -24.6%
- Rents YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 290
- Price-to-rent
- 2.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,174 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$20 /mo · $238/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$457
- Net cashflow
- $1,273
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 743 Via Linda Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1206 | $1,995 | $1.65 | 5d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 811 Alondra Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1166 | $1,875 | $1.61 | 5d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 853 Ensenada Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,875 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 853 Ensenada Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,875 | $1.39 | 12d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 3471 Dublin Ct Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $2,895 | $2.27 | 4d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 2014 Iris Way Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1192 | $2,850 | $2.39 | 43d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 3800 W Devonshire Ave Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 816 | $2,055 | $2.52 | 1d | 8 | 0.64mi |
| 2208 El Grande St Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1327 | $2,100 | $1.58 | 18d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1700 Walden Ln Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $2,670 | $1.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3030 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 892 | $1,895 | $2.12 | 1d | 10 | 0.79mi |
| 543 La Cresta Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1544 | $1,595 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1245 Millie Dr Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1392 | $2,850 | $2.05 | 7d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 663 Mariposa Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,500 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2098 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 895 | $2,035 | $2.27 | 1d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1315 W Latham Ave Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1340 | $2,550 | $1.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 828 Coramdeo Ct Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1543 | $3,000 | $1.94 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 4400 W Florida Ave Unit 86 Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $1,800 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 4400 W Florida Ave Spc 26 Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1193 | $1,699 | $1.42 | 15d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1967 Connor Ln San Jacinto, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1708 | $2,950 | $1.73 | 7d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1850 Amberwood Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,561 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 471 Whitney Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1085 | $1,800 | $1.66 | 5d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 683 Jonquil St Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $2,448 | $2.13 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1844 Paradise Way San Jacinto, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1540 | $3,000 | $1.95 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 914 Haviture Way Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1935 | $2,900 | $1.50 | 1d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 828 Greenwich Ct Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1977 | $2,700 | $1.37 | 18d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $75,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-21$75,000 Active
-
2025-12-12historical
-
2025-06-06price $88,000
-
2025-03-28price $93,000
-
2025-02-21$95,000 Active
-
2022-09-09soldstatus $57,500 Closed Sale 460-char remark
Show marketing remark (460 chars)
ON THE FAIRWAY!!! LOVELY HOME WITH FREE GOLF!!! This home has NEWER heat, NEWER air, composition roof, custom WORKSHOP shed, NEWER kitchen sink with filter system, NEWER family room cabinetry, 2 custom showers, NEWER refrigerator, NEWER oven, NEWER dishwasher, washer/dryer, 3 security doors, DUAL PANE windows, 4 ceiling fans, and much more. This home is located in a senior 55+ community. Potential buyer shall make an offer before park approval can begin.
-
2022-08-16status Pending Sale 460-char remark
Show marketing remark (460 chars)
ON THE FAIRWAY!!! LOVELY HOME WITH FREE GOLF!!! This home has NEWER heat, NEWER air, composition roof, custom WORKSHOP shed, NEWER kitchen sink with filter system, NEWER family room cabinetry, 2 custom showers, NEWER refrigerator, NEWER oven, NEWER dishwasher, washer/dryer, 3 security doors, DUAL PANE windows, 4 ceiling fans, and much more. This home is located in a senior 55+ community. Potential buyer shall make an offer before park approval can begin.
-
2022-06-16$62,500 Active 460-char remark
Show marketing remark (460 chars)
ON THE FAIRWAY!!! LOVELY HOME WITH FREE GOLF!!! This home has NEWER heat, NEWER air, composition roof, custom WORKSHOP shed, NEWER kitchen sink with filter system, NEWER family room cabinetry, 2 custom showers, NEWER refrigerator, NEWER oven, NEWER dishwasher, washer/dryer, 3 security doors, DUAL PANE windows, 4 ceiling fans, and much more. This home is located in a senior 55+ community. Potential buyer shall make an offer before park approval can begin.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $238 · $20/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $570 · $48/mo
- Expected delta
- +$332/yr (+$28/mo · 139.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 5 d/yr ≥104°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,091
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$238
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,087
- − Management
- −$2,087
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $14,921
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,581
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,698/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hemet Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0616920
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,962
- Composite
- 25.16/100
- National rank
- #7517
- State rank
- #360 of 517 in CA
Livability — Hemet
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #1056
- US rank
- #25208
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hemet, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 137,670
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,982
- Household income
- $63,770
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1813.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 46% White 35% Two or more races 17% Black 8% Asian 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 40%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 27% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -116.25%
- Current HPI
- 356.9414
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.74%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+20.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $75,000 CRMLS
- 2025-12-12 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-06-06 Price Changed $88,000 CRMLS
- 2025-03-28 Price Changed $93,000 CRMLS
- 2025-02-21 Listed $95,000 CRMLS
- 2022-09-09 Sold (MLS) $57,500 CRMLS
- 2022-08-16 Pending — CRMLS
- 2022-06-16 Listed $62,500 CRMLS
Property tax history
-4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $238 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…