207 Ash St · Midland, SD
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
1907 house refreshed 2020. Two Bedrooms and one Bath Corner Lot
Key facts
- Built 1907
- Listed 142 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $127 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#204 in SD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D, amenities F.
- Kadoka Area School District 35-2 (rural): math 50% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #59 of 148 in SD (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($726 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 142 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $28k; list at $105k implies a 282% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1907 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 142 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1907 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.17%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.70×
- Total profit
- $20,726
- Equity at exit
- $47,213
- IRR
- 14.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.13×
- Total profit
- $62,524
- Equity at exit
- $72,760
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Dakota
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 57552
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,079 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$131 /mo · $1,575/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$227
- Net cashflow
- $127
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
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Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
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- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
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- Monthly cashflow
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- DSCR
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- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
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2026-06-18days on market $105,000 Active 142 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $105,000 Active 141 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $105,000 Active 140 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $105,000 Active 139 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $105,000 Active 137 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $105,000 Active 136 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $105,000 Active 133 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $105,000 Active 132 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $105,000 Active 131 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $105,000 Active 129 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $105,000 Active 127 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $105,000 Active 126 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $105,000 Active 125 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 124 DOM
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2026-01-27$105,000 Active 65-char remark
Show marketing remark (65 chars)
1907 house refreshed 2020. Two Bedrooms and one Bath Corner Lot
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2019-02-10soldstatus $27,500 21-char remark
Show marketing remark (21 chars)
Great Rental property
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2019-01-12$30,000 21-char remark
Show marketing remark (21 chars)
Great Rental property
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,945
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$1,575
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,036
- − Management
- −$1,036
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable loss
- −$163
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$39
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,558/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This property requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and increase its value. Key areas for improvement include the roof, exterior siding, and landscaping.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Visible damage to the roof
- Major exterior siding — Peeling paint and worn siding
- Minor landscaping — Overgrown vegetation
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both repair roof — Fixes major structural issue and improves value
- Both landscaping — Improves curb appeal and value
- Both update kitchen and bathrooms — Modernizes interior and improves value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| roof · Visible damage to the roof | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior siding · Peeling paint and worn siding | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · Overgrown vegetation | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $30,500–103,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both repair roof — Fixes major structural issue and improves value ↑
- Both landscaping — Improves curb appeal and value ↑
- Both update kitchen and bathrooms — Modernizes interior and improves value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kadoka Area School District 35-2
- NCES district ID
- 4680437
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,659
- Composite
- 45.68/100
- National rank
- #5631
- State rank
- #59 of 148 in SD
Livability — Midland
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #204
- US rank
- #15890
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Midland, SD
- Population (ZIP)
- 532
Population outlook (Haakon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,835 people
- By 2030
- 1,818 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 1,834 · -0.1%
- By 2050
- 1,886 · +2.8%
- By 2075
- 2,278 · +24.1%
- By 2100
- 2,818 · +53.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 5%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 18% Italian 4% Slovak 2%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Haakon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+79.9) · D 9.3% · R 89.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.7pp toward R · 2008: -65.2pp · 2024: -79.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+79.9 2020: R+81.0 2016: R+82.3 2012: R+73.4 2008: R+65.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
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Market trends
- HPI YoY
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- Current HPI
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- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
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- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.70%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities | 1 | $1B |
|
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Price history
+250.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-27 Listed $105,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
- 2019-02-10 Sold (MLS) $27,500 BHMLS
- 2019-01-12 Listed $30,000 BHMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…