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316 Hickorywood St
D+ Composite 49.66
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +13.7/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$200,000

316 Hickorywood St · Azle, TX 76020
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,155 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 22 Days on market
Built 1985 0.29 ac lot $173/sqft · 18% below area Est $244k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

*Back on the market, buyer financing fell through* Nestled on almost a third of a acre this home doesn’t disappoint. This fully updated home features an open floorplan with tall windows and tons of light, New cabinets, countertops and backsplash, stainless steel appliances and much more. Outside you will find a workshop with electric, fully fenced backyard and a large circle drive. Come check out this home before it’s gone!!!

Key facts

  • Screened-in porch
  • Storage shed
  • Roll-up door

Tags

SCREENED-IN PORCHBACKYARD RETREATABOVE-GROUND POOLSURROUNDING DECK SPACESTORAGE SHEDROLL-UP DOOR

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Possession in 30-60 days; Standard listing conditions
  • Financial info: No second mortgage; Loan type treated as clear
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway (no garage or carport)
  • Security: No specific security features provided
  • Utilities: City water; No municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
  • Construction: Built in 1985
  • Exterior features: Above-ground pool; Lot less than 0.5 acre (approx. 0.292 acre); Subdivision: Tangelwood Estates

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Electric oven
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (Level 1) — approx. 10 x 15
  • Flooring: No flooring details provided
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; Double vanity
  • Laundry & utility: No specific laundry details provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $14 ($170/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (8.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $182k (8.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.1% in Azle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#267 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Azle ISD (suburban): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #351 of 826 in TX (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Cross Timbers El (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,155 of 4,322 statewide, top 29%, 543 students, 59% FRL); Santo Forte J H (math 28% / reading 41%, grade F, #858 of 1,662 statewide, top 54%, 514 students, 55% FRL); Azle H S (math 41% / reading 50%, grade D-, #634 of 1,632 statewide, top 39%, 2,054 students, 44% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 594 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 437 units permitted in Parker County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Parker County population projected at +32% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $182,140 (8.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
6.38%
Cash-on-cash
0.30%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$243,568
List price
$200,000
Delta
-17.89%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1517 Willow Wood Dr 0.12mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,234 (+7%) 5mo $225,000 $182 70
417 Hickorywood St 0.11mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,232 (+7%) 18mo $250,000 $203 60
424 Cedarwood St 0.15mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,230 (+6%) 23mo $249,000 $202 54
405 Hickorywood St 0.07mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,300 (+13%) 22mo $220,000 $169 53
304 Pearson Ln 0.39mi 2/2.0 1,246 (+8%) 15mo $259,000 $208 52
308 Ashwood St 0.27mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,316 (+14%) 6mo $260,000 $198 50
112 Live Oak St 0.71mi 2/2.0 1,188 (+3%) 23mo $200,000 $168 39
104 Live Oak St 0.69mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,287 (+11%) 2mo $224,900 $175 38
120 Live Oak Dr 0.74mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,325 (+15%) 3mo $240,000 $181 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.31% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.6%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-32,706
Equity at exit
$29,821
10-year hold
IRR
-9.6%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-32,180
Equity at exit
$17,292

Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76020

Home prices YoY
-20.6%
Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
594
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,821 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,049
Tax from tax record
$293 /mo · $3,511/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$382
Net cashflow
$14

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,803
Max offer price $200,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $127 -5% $71 +0% $14 +5% $-42 +10% $-99
Rent -10% $-130 -5% $-58 +0% $14 +5% $86 +10% $158
Rate -1.0pp $115 -0.5pp $65 base $14 +0.5pp $-38 +1.0pp $-90

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$50,000
Closing costs
$6,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
405 Oakwood St Azle, TX 3.0 2.0 1456 $1,935 $1.33 22d 1 0.13mi
405 Oakwood St Azle, TX 3.0 2.0 1456 $1,935 $1.33 19d 1 0.13mi
912 Red Bud Dr Azle, TX 3.0 1.0 1378 $1,750 $1.27 0d 1 1.18mi
1032 Greg St Azle, TX 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,695 $1.41 20d 1 1.40mi
244 Marina Dr Azle, TX 1.0 1.0 725 $1,215 $1.68 45d 1 1.42mi
1408 Arvel Cir Apt B Azle, TX 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,410 $1.18 0d 1 1.46mi
1401 Arvel Cir Azle, TX 3.0 1.0 1140 $1,550 $1.36 45d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    statusdays on market $200,000 Pending 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $200,000 Active Option Contract 21 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $200,000 Active Option Contract 20 DOM
  4. 2026-05-11
    listed $200,000 Active 649-char remark
  5. 2020-12-28
    soldstatus
  6. 2020-10-16
    listed $165,000 Active 441-char remark
    Show marketing remark (441 chars)

    *Back on the market, buyer financing fell through* Nestled on almost a third of a acre this home doesn’t disappoint. This fully updated home features an open floorplan with tall windows and tons of light, New cabinets, countertops and backsplash, stainless steel appliances and much more. Outside you will find a workshop with electric, fully fenced backyard and a large circle drive. Come check out this home before it’s gone!!!

  7. 2017-03-27
    soldstatus
  8. 2017-03-24
    soldstatus Sold
    Show marketing remark (63 chars)

    Two bedroom one and a half bath brick home with large backyard.

  9. 2017-03-21
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (63 chars)

    Two bedroom one and a half bath brick home with large backyard.

  10. 2017-03-14
    historical Active Option Contract
    Show marketing remark (63 chars)

    Two bedroom one and a half bath brick home with large backyard.

  11. 2017-02-28
    listed $95,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (63 chars)

    Two bedroom one and a half bath brick home with large backyard.

  12. 2014-06-16
    soldstatus Closed
  13. 2014-03-26
    status Pending
  14. 2014-03-19
    price $49,500
  15. 2014-02-15
    price $58,100
  16. 2013-12-31
    listed $66,000 Active
  17. 1998-03-25
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,511 · $293/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,660 · $305/mo
Expected delta
+$149/yr (+$12/mo · 4.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,857
− Mortgage interest
−$11,203
− Property taxes
−$3,511
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,749
− Management
−$1,749
− Depreciation
−$5,818
Taxable loss
−$3,172
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$761
After-tax cash flow
$932/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Azle ISD
NCES district ID
4809200
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$61,473
Composite
35.57/100
National rank
#4900
State rank
#351 of 826 in TX

Livability — Azle

Score
72/100
State rank
#267
US rank
#6239

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Parker County · 144,797 people
City population
34,602
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
34,602
Household income
$87,298
Rent vs Own
22.3% rent · 77.7% own
Severe rent burden
433.0

Population outlook (Parker County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
147,426 people
By 2030
157,863 · +7.1%
By 2040
177,519 · +20.4%
By 2050
194,786 · +32.1%
By 2075
238,799 · +62.0%
By 2100
264,126 · +79.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 9% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 11%

Political lean MEDSL · Parker

2024 margin
Solid R (+66.4) · D 16.4% · R 82.8%
2008→2024 swing
-11.2pp toward R · 2008: -55.2pp · 2024: -66.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+66.4 2020: R+64.4 2016: R+67.5 2012: R+65.8 2008: R+55.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -74.72%
Current HPI
287.155
Rent YoY
▲ 2.31%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+203.0% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-05-20 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $200,000 NTREIS
  • 2020-12-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2020-10-16 Listed $165,000 NTREIS
  • 2017-03-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2017-03-24 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2017-03-21 Pending NTREIS
  • 2017-03-14 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2017-02-28 Listed $95,000 NTREIS
  • 2014-06-16 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2014-03-26 Pending NTREIS
  • 2014-03-19 Price Changed $49,500 NTREIS
  • 2014-02-15 Price Changed $58,100 NTREIS
  • 2013-12-31 Listed $66,000 NTREIS
  • 1998-03-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,511 · -5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…