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21704 W North Ave
B+ Composite 76.38
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

21704 W North Ave · Reed City, MI 49677
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,300 sqft · SingleFamily · 78 Days on market
Built 1971 0.88 ac lot Est $168k · 43% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Take a look! You could be set up on over an ACRE of land in the city, tucked away at the end of a quiet street, but walking distance from local restaurants, parks, and business centers. This 3 bed 1 bath ranch serves up up 1000 square feet of finished space, and includes a partial basement for storage and potential expansion. Set up your tour!

Key facts

  • Quiet street
  • Over an acre of land
  • Potential expansion

Tags

OVER AN ACRE OF LANDQUIET STREETWALKING DISTANCE FROM PARKSPARTIAL BASEMENT FOR STORAGEPOTENTIAL EXPANSION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $528 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $89k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 4.0% in Reed City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#316 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D, amenities F.
  • Reed City Area Public Schools (rural): math 30% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #311 of 540 in MI (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 5 units permitted in Osceola County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Osceola County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $26k; list at $95k implies a 265% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $89,300 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.58%
Cap rate
12.97%
Cash-on-cash
23.84%
DSCR
2.06
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$167,700
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
306 W 5th Ave 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,200 (-8%) 8mo $198,000 $165 72
531 W Franklin Ave 0.28mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,390 (+7%) 1mo $165,000 $119 70
544 W Upton Ave 0.35mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,356 (+4%) 1mo $175,000 $129 67
544 W Upton Ave 0.37mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,356 (+4%) 1mo $175,000 $129 66
253 W Stimson Ave 0.22mi 3/1.5 1,423 (+10%) 8mo $175,000 $123 65
512 W Upton Ave 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,353 (+4%) 21mo $162,000 $120 60
252 W Stimson Ave 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,200 (-8%) 20mo $188,500 $157 58
302 S Patterson Rd 0.49mi 3/1.5 1,200 (-8%) 6mo $185,000 $154 57
231 S Sears St 0.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,225 (-6%) 20mo $128,500 $105 47
302 W Osceola Ave 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,123 (-14%) 8mo $180,700 $161 38
218 W Osceola Ave 0.72mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,232 (-5%) 17mo $165,000 $134 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.0%
Equity multiple
1.69×
Total profit
$18,287
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
25.6%
Equity multiple
3.23×
Total profit
$59,358
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49677

Home prices YoY
-17.0%
Active inventory
59
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax est. 1.5%
$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$315
Net cashflow
$528

Break-even live

Break-even rent $831
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
206 S Higbee St Unit 1 Reed City, MI 2.0 1.0 1600 $1,500 $0.94 44d 1 0.52mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    status $95,000 Pending 78 DOM
  2. 2026-06-05
    days on market $95,000 Active 78 DOM
  3. 2026-06-04
    days on market $95,000 Active 76 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 75 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 74 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 73 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 72 DOM
  8. 2026-04-30
    price $95,000 345-char remark
    Show marketing remark (345 chars)

    Take a look! You could be set up on over an ACRE of land in the city, tucked away at the end of a quiet street, but walking distance from local restaurants, parks, and business centers. This 3 bed 1 bath ranch serves up up 1000 square feet of finished space, and includes a partial basement for storage and potential expansion. Set up your tour!

  9. 2026-04-29
    price $95,000 345-char remark
    Show marketing remark (345 chars)

    Take a look! You could be set up on over an ACRE of land in the city, tucked away at the end of a quiet street, but walking distance from local restaurants, parks, and business centers. This 3 bed 1 bath ranch serves up up 1000 square feet of finished space, and includes a partial basement for storage and potential expansion. Set up your tour!

  10. 2026-04-29
    price $95,000
    Show marketing remark (345 chars)

    Take a look! You could be set up on over an ACRE of land in the city, tucked away at the end of a quiet street, but walking distance from local restaurants, parks, and business centers. This 3 bed 1 bath ranch serves up up 1000 square feet of finished space, and includes a partial basement for storage and potential expansion. Set up your tour!

  11. 2026-04-11
    status Active 345-char remark
    Show marketing remark (345 chars)

    Take a look! You could be set up on over an ACRE of land in the city, tucked away at the end of a quiet street, but walking distance from local restaurants, parks, and business centers. This 3 bed 1 bath ranch serves up up 1000 square feet of finished space, and includes a partial basement for storage and potential expansion. Set up your tour!

  12. 2026-04-11
    status Active 345-char remark
    Show marketing remark (345 chars)

    Take a look! You could be set up on over an ACRE of land in the city, tucked away at the end of a quiet street, but walking distance from local restaurants, parks, and business centers. This 3 bed 1 bath ranch serves up up 1000 square feet of finished space, and includes a partial basement for storage and potential expansion. Set up your tour!

  13. 2026-04-11
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (345 chars)

    Take a look! You could be set up on over an ACRE of land in the city, tucked away at the end of a quiet street, but walking distance from local restaurants, parks, and business centers. This 3 bed 1 bath ranch serves up up 1000 square feet of finished space, and includes a partial basement for storage and potential expansion. Set up your tour!

  14. 2026-04-08
    status Pending 345-char remark
    Show marketing remark (345 chars)

    Take a look! You could be set up on over an ACRE of land in the city, tucked away at the end of a quiet street, but walking distance from local restaurants, parks, and business centers. This 3 bed 1 bath ranch serves up up 1000 square feet of finished space, and includes a partial basement for storage and potential expansion. Set up your tour!

  15. 2026-04-08
    status Pending 345-char remark
    Show marketing remark (345 chars)

    Take a look! You could be set up on over an ACRE of land in the city, tucked away at the end of a quiet street, but walking distance from local restaurants, parks, and business centers. This 3 bed 1 bath ranch serves up up 1000 square feet of finished space, and includes a partial basement for storage and potential expansion. Set up your tour!

  16. 2026-04-08
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (345 chars)

    Take a look! You could be set up on over an ACRE of land in the city, tucked away at the end of a quiet street, but walking distance from local restaurants, parks, and business centers. This 3 bed 1 bath ranch serves up up 1000 square feet of finished space, and includes a partial basement for storage and potential expansion. Set up your tour!

  17. 2026-03-16
    listed $109,000 Active 345-char remark
    Show marketing remark (345 chars)

    Take a look! You could be set up on over an ACRE of land in the city, tucked away at the end of a quiet street, but walking distance from local restaurants, parks, and business centers. This 3 bed 1 bath ranch serves up up 1000 square feet of finished space, and includes a partial basement for storage and potential expansion. Set up your tour!

  18. 2026-03-16
    listed $109,000 Active 345-char remark
    Show marketing remark (345 chars)

    Take a look! You could be set up on over an ACRE of land in the city, tucked away at the end of a quiet street, but walking distance from local restaurants, parks, and business centers. This 3 bed 1 bath ranch serves up up 1000 square feet of finished space, and includes a partial basement for storage and potential expansion. Set up your tour!

  19. 2026-03-16
    listed $109,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (345 chars)

    Take a look! You could be set up on over an ACRE of land in the city, tucked away at the end of a quiet street, but walking distance from local restaurants, parks, and business centers. This 3 bed 1 bath ranch serves up up 1000 square feet of finished space, and includes a partial basement for storage and potential expansion. Set up your tour!

  20. 2016-06-23
    soldstatus $26,000
  21. 2016-06-23
    soldstatus $26,000
  22. 2016-02-01
    listed $29,900
  23. 2016-02-01
    listed $29,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,000
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$1,425
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,440
− Management
−$1,440
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$5,135
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,232
After-tax cash flow
$5,109/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Reed City Area Public Schools
NCES district ID
2629490
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$38,292
Composite
28.78/100
National rank
#6668
State rank
#311 of 540 in MI

Livability — Reed City

Score
70/100
State rank
#316
US rank
#7728

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
7,286

Population outlook (Osceola County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,724 people
By 2030
20,769 · -4.4%
By 2040
18,720 · -13.8%
By 2050
16,611 · -23.5%
By 2075
11,942 · -45.0%
By 2100
7,546 · -65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 4% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 3% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Osceola

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.9) · D 25.2% · R 73.1% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-37.7pp toward R · 2008: -10.1pp · 2024: -47.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.9 2020: R+46.3 2016: R+43.7 2012: R+21.0 2008: R+10.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -53.39%
Current HPI
260.3963
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+217.7% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $95,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $95,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-11 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-11 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-11 Relisted SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-08 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-08 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-03-16 Listed $109,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-16 Listed $109,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-03-16 Listed $109,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-06-23 Sold (MLS) $26,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2016-06-23 Sold (MLS) $26,000 REALCOMP
  • 2016-02-01 Listed $29,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2016-02-01 Listed $29,900 REALCOMP

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…