21704 W North Ave · Reed City, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Take a look! You could be set up on over an ACRE of land in the city, tucked away at the end of a quiet street, but walking distance from local restaurants, parks, and business centers. This 3 bed 1 bath ranch serves up up 1000 square feet of finished space, and includes a partial basement for storage and potential expansion. Set up your tour!
Key facts
- Quiet street
- Over an acre of land
- Potential expansion
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $528 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 4.0% in Reed City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#316 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D, amenities F.
- Reed City Area Public Schools (rural): math 30% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #311 of 540 in MI (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 5 units permitted in Osceola County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Osceola County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $26k; list at $95k implies a 265% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.84%
- DSCR
- 2.06
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $167,700
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 306 W 5th Ave | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (-8%) | 8mo | $198,000 | $165 | 72 |
| 531 W Franklin Ave | 0.28mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,390 (+7%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $119 | 70 |
| 544 W Upton Ave | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,356 (+4%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $129 | 67 |
| 544 W Upton Ave | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,356 (+4%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $129 | 66 |
| 253 W Stimson Ave | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 | 1,423 (+10%) | 8mo | $175,000 | $123 | 65 |
| 512 W Upton Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,353 (+4%) | 21mo | $162,000 | $120 | 60 |
| 252 W Stimson Ave | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-8%) | 20mo | $188,500 | $157 | 58 |
| 302 S Patterson Rd | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 | 1,200 (-8%) | 6mo | $185,000 | $154 | 57 |
| 231 S Sears St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,225 (-6%) | 20mo | $128,500 | $105 | 47 |
| 302 W Osceola Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,123 (-14%) | 8mo | $180,700 | $161 | 38 |
| 218 W Osceola Ave | 0.72mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,232 (-5%) | 17mo | $165,000 | $134 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.69×
- Total profit
- $18,287
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 25.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.23×
- Total profit
- $59,358
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49677
- Home prices YoY
- -17.0%
- Active inventory
- 59
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$315
- Net cashflow
- $528
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206 S Higbee St Unit 1 Reed City, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,500 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
Listing history 23 events
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2026-06-07status $95,000 Pending 78 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $95,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $95,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-04-30price $95,000 345-char remark
Show marketing remark (345 chars)
Take a look! You could be set up on over an ACRE of land in the city, tucked away at the end of a quiet street, but walking distance from local restaurants, parks, and business centers. This 3 bed 1 bath ranch serves up up 1000 square feet of finished space, and includes a partial basement for storage and potential expansion. Set up your tour!
-
2026-04-29price $95,000 345-char remark
Show marketing remark (345 chars)
Take a look! You could be set up on over an ACRE of land in the city, tucked away at the end of a quiet street, but walking distance from local restaurants, parks, and business centers. This 3 bed 1 bath ranch serves up up 1000 square feet of finished space, and includes a partial basement for storage and potential expansion. Set up your tour!
-
2026-04-29price $95,000
Show marketing remark (345 chars)
Take a look! You could be set up on over an ACRE of land in the city, tucked away at the end of a quiet street, but walking distance from local restaurants, parks, and business centers. This 3 bed 1 bath ranch serves up up 1000 square feet of finished space, and includes a partial basement for storage and potential expansion. Set up your tour!
-
2026-04-11status Active 345-char remark
Show marketing remark (345 chars)
Take a look! You could be set up on over an ACRE of land in the city, tucked away at the end of a quiet street, but walking distance from local restaurants, parks, and business centers. This 3 bed 1 bath ranch serves up up 1000 square feet of finished space, and includes a partial basement for storage and potential expansion. Set up your tour!
-
2026-04-11status Active 345-char remark
Show marketing remark (345 chars)
Take a look! You could be set up on over an ACRE of land in the city, tucked away at the end of a quiet street, but walking distance from local restaurants, parks, and business centers. This 3 bed 1 bath ranch serves up up 1000 square feet of finished space, and includes a partial basement for storage and potential expansion. Set up your tour!
-
2026-04-11status Active
Show marketing remark (345 chars)
Take a look! You could be set up on over an ACRE of land in the city, tucked away at the end of a quiet street, but walking distance from local restaurants, parks, and business centers. This 3 bed 1 bath ranch serves up up 1000 square feet of finished space, and includes a partial basement for storage and potential expansion. Set up your tour!
-
2026-04-08status Pending 345-char remark
Show marketing remark (345 chars)
Take a look! You could be set up on over an ACRE of land in the city, tucked away at the end of a quiet street, but walking distance from local restaurants, parks, and business centers. This 3 bed 1 bath ranch serves up up 1000 square feet of finished space, and includes a partial basement for storage and potential expansion. Set up your tour!
-
2026-04-08status Pending 345-char remark
Show marketing remark (345 chars)
Take a look! You could be set up on over an ACRE of land in the city, tucked away at the end of a quiet street, but walking distance from local restaurants, parks, and business centers. This 3 bed 1 bath ranch serves up up 1000 square feet of finished space, and includes a partial basement for storage and potential expansion. Set up your tour!
-
2026-04-08status Pending
Show marketing remark (345 chars)
Take a look! You could be set up on over an ACRE of land in the city, tucked away at the end of a quiet street, but walking distance from local restaurants, parks, and business centers. This 3 bed 1 bath ranch serves up up 1000 square feet of finished space, and includes a partial basement for storage and potential expansion. Set up your tour!
-
2026-03-16$109,000 Active 345-char remark
Show marketing remark (345 chars)
Take a look! You could be set up on over an ACRE of land in the city, tucked away at the end of a quiet street, but walking distance from local restaurants, parks, and business centers. This 3 bed 1 bath ranch serves up up 1000 square feet of finished space, and includes a partial basement for storage and potential expansion. Set up your tour!
-
2026-03-16$109,000 Active 345-char remark
Show marketing remark (345 chars)
Take a look! You could be set up on over an ACRE of land in the city, tucked away at the end of a quiet street, but walking distance from local restaurants, parks, and business centers. This 3 bed 1 bath ranch serves up up 1000 square feet of finished space, and includes a partial basement for storage and potential expansion. Set up your tour!
-
2026-03-16$109,000 Active
Show marketing remark (345 chars)
Take a look! You could be set up on over an ACRE of land in the city, tucked away at the end of a quiet street, but walking distance from local restaurants, parks, and business centers. This 3 bed 1 bath ranch serves up up 1000 square feet of finished space, and includes a partial basement for storage and potential expansion. Set up your tour!
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2016-06-23soldstatus $26,000
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2016-06-23soldstatus $26,000
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2016-02-01$29,900
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2016-02-01$29,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,425
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,440
- − Management
- −$1,440
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $5,135
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,232
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,109/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Reed City Area Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2629490
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,292
- Composite
- 28.78/100
- National rank
- #6668
- State rank
- #311 of 540 in MI
Livability — Reed City
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #316
- US rank
- #7728
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,286
Population outlook (Osceola County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,724 people
- By 2030
- 20,769 · -4.4%
- By 2040
- 18,720 · -13.8%
- By 2050
- 16,611 · -23.5%
- By 2075
- 11,942 · -45.0%
- By 2100
- 7,546 · -65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 4% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 3% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Osceola
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.9) · D 25.2% · R 73.1% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.7pp toward R · 2008: -10.1pp · 2024: -47.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.9 2020: R+46.3 2016: R+43.7 2012: R+21.0 2008: R+10.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.39%
- Current HPI
- 260.3963
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+217.7% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $95,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $95,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-11 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-11 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-11 Relisted — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-08 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-08 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-08 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-16 Listed $109,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-16 Listed $109,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-16 Listed $109,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-06-23 Sold (MLS) $26,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2016-06-23 Sold (MLS) $26,000 REALCOMP
- 2016-02-01 Listed $29,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2016-02-01 Listed $29,900 REALCOMP
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…