420 Lafayette St · Bristol, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$325,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Super large single with an amazing amount of space and potential. This 5 bedroom nicely located home is in the historical area of Bristol Borough. The cozy front porch is only the beginning of the journey. Large living room, full dining room and spacious kitchen and bath on the first floor. Second floor has two front bedrooms that are your typical size for the area but then enter into the master area which is where the addition off the back of the house is located. It has private dressing area and french doors leading to large window sunlit area that lights up the room. Third floor has 2 nice size bedrooms as well. Plenty of room to roam just bring your finishing touches.
Key facts
- 2,200 sq ft lot
- Built 1897
- Listed 39 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Ownership is fee simple
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric for cooling; Oil for heating and hot water
- Home design: Detached structure; Frame construction
- Construction: Frame construction; Block foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures; Unfinished below-grade area of about 420 (assessed/estimated)
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 20 x 110; No tidal water
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level; Two bedrooms on the second upper level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms total (one on main level, one on first upper level)
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Oil-fired heating and hot water; Wall and window air-conditioning units (electric)
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Living area measured per assessor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $325k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $593 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $325k).
- Recommended offer: $315k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 3.3% in Bristol — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#546 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute C-, amenities F, health & safety F.
- Bristol Borough SD (suburban): math 24% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #435 of 539 in PA (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 663 units permitted in Bucks County in 2024 (106 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,451/mo this rent would consume 63% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 808% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bucks County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($315k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask is 27% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $270k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1897 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1897 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.82%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $421,394
- List price
- $325,000
- Delta
- -22.88%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 220 Dorrance St | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,350 (-10%) | 8mo | $328,500 | $140 | 60 |
| 302 Jefferson Ave | 0.16mi | 5/2.0 | 2,297 (-12%) | 19mo | $420,000 | $183 | 55 |
| 573 Bath St | 0.58mi | 5/3.5 | 2,499 (-4%) | 14mo | $432,000 | $173 | 47 |
| 307 Otter St | 0.75mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,591 (-0%) | 23mo | $439,900 | $170 | 39 |
| 521 Linden St | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,268 (-13%) | 12mo | $370,000 | $163 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-14,897
- Equity at exit
- $48,459
- IRR
- 5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $35,611
- Equity at exit
- $28,100
Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19007
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,451 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,704
- Tax from tax record
- −$293 /mo · $3,516/yr
- Insurance
- −$135
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$725
- Net cashflow
- $593
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $777 | -5% $685 | +0% $593 | +5% $501 | +10% $409 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $321 | -5% $457 | +0% $593 | +5% $730 | +10% $866 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $757 | -0.5pp $676 | base $593 | +0.5pp $509 | +1.0pp $423 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,250
- Closing costs
- $9,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 327 Wood St Bristol, PA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2453 | $3,995 | $1.63 | 2d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 256 Radcliffe St Bristol, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1900 | $3,250 | $1.71 | 2d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 5517 Schumacher Dr Unit A Bristol, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3000 | $2,750 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 229 Penn St Burlington, NJ | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2096 | $2,649 | $1.26 | 17d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $325,000 Coming Soon 40 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $325,000 Coming Soon 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $325,000 Coming Soon 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $325,000 Coming Soon 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $325,000 Coming Soon 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $325,000 Coming Soon 32 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $325,000 Coming Soon 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $325,000 Coming Soon 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $325,000 Coming Soon 26 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $325,000 Coming Soon 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $325,000 Coming Soon 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $325,000 Coming Soon 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $325,000 Coming Soon 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $325,000 Coming Soon 19 DOM
-
2026-05-12historical $325,000 61-char remark
-
2022-01-03soldstatus $270,000
-
2021-12-23soldstatus $270,000 Closed 680-char remark
Show marketing remark (680 chars)
Super large single with an amazing amount of space and potential. This 5 bedroom nicely located home is in the historical area of Bristol Borough. The cozy front porch is only the beginning of the journey. Large living room, full dining room and spacious kitchen and bath on the first floor. Second floor has two front bedrooms that are your typical size for the area but then enter into the master area which is where the addition off the back of the house is located. It has private dressing area and french doors leading to large window sunlit area that lights up the room. Third floor has 2 nice size bedrooms as well. Plenty of room to roam just bring your finishing touches.
-
2021-12-21status Pending 680-char remark
Show marketing remark (680 chars)
Super large single with an amazing amount of space and potential. This 5 bedroom nicely located home is in the historical area of Bristol Borough. The cozy front porch is only the beginning of the journey. Large living room, full dining room and spacious kitchen and bath on the first floor. Second floor has two front bedrooms that are your typical size for the area but then enter into the master area which is where the addition off the back of the house is located. It has private dressing area and french doors leading to large window sunlit area that lights up the room. Third floor has 2 nice size bedrooms as well. Plenty of room to roam just bring your finishing touches.
-
2021-11-29historical 680-char remark
Show marketing remark (680 chars)
Super large single with an amazing amount of space and potential. This 5 bedroom nicely located home is in the historical area of Bristol Borough. The cozy front porch is only the beginning of the journey. Large living room, full dining room and spacious kitchen and bath on the first floor. Second floor has two front bedrooms that are your typical size for the area but then enter into the master area which is where the addition off the back of the house is located. It has private dressing area and french doors leading to large window sunlit area that lights up the room. Third floor has 2 nice size bedrooms as well. Plenty of room to roam just bring your finishing touches.
-
2021-11-25price $269,900 680-char remark
Show marketing remark (680 chars)
Super large single with an amazing amount of space and potential. This 5 bedroom nicely located home is in the historical area of Bristol Borough. The cozy front porch is only the beginning of the journey. Large living room, full dining room and spacious kitchen and bath on the first floor. Second floor has two front bedrooms that are your typical size for the area but then enter into the master area which is where the addition off the back of the house is located. It has private dressing area and french doors leading to large window sunlit area that lights up the room. Third floor has 2 nice size bedrooms as well. Plenty of room to roam just bring your finishing touches.
-
2021-11-10$255,000 Active 680-char remark
Show marketing remark (680 chars)
Super large single with an amazing amount of space and potential. This 5 bedroom nicely located home is in the historical area of Bristol Borough. The cozy front porch is only the beginning of the journey. Large living room, full dining room and spacious kitchen and bath on the first floor. Second floor has two front bedrooms that are your typical size for the area but then enter into the master area which is where the addition off the back of the house is located. It has private dressing area and french doors leading to large window sunlit area that lights up the room. Third floor has 2 nice size bedrooms as well. Plenty of room to roam just bring your finishing touches.
-
2003-09-03soldstatus $134,900
-
2003-09-02soldstatus $134,900
Show marketing remark (91 chars)
This is an absolutely outstanding single with replaced everything on the inside. A must see
-
2003-07-21$134,900
Show marketing remark (91 chars)
This is an absolutely outstanding single with replaced everything on the inside. A must see
-
1999-06-21soldstatus $80,000
-
1999-05-28soldstatus $80,000
-
1999-04-13$80,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,516 · $293/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,326 · $360/mo
- Expected delta
- +$809/yr (+$67/mo · 23.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $41,408
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,205
- − Property taxes
- −$3,516
- − Insurance
- −$1,625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,313
- − Management
- −$3,313
- − Depreciation
- −$9,455
- Taxable income
- $1,982
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$476
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,643/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bristol Borough SD
- NCES district ID
- 4204200
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,340
- Composite
- 27.45/100
- National rank
- #6963
- State rank
- #435 of 539 in PA
Livability — Bristol
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #546
- US rank
- #5093
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bristol, PA
- County
- Bucks County · 506,477 people
- City population
- 21,800
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,800
- Household income
- $65,511
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 808.0
Population outlook (Bucks County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 630,973 people
- By 2030
- 627,093 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 609,680 · -3.4%
- By 2050
- 584,225 · -7.4%
- By 2075
- 539,840 · -14.4%
- By 2100
- 483,970 · -23.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Hispanic / Latino 14% Black 14% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Swiss 1% Subsaharan African 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bucks
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.7pp toward R · 2008: 8.7pp · 2024: -0.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.1 2020: D+4.4 2016: D+0.6 2012: D+1.2 2008: D+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -190.79%
- Current HPI
- 307.0709
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+306.2% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Coming Soon $325,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $270,000 Public Records
- 2021-12-23 Sold (MLS) $270,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-12-21 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-11-29 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-11-25 Price Changed $269,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-11-10 Listed $255,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2003-09-03 Sold (Public Records) $134,900 Public Records
- 2003-09-02 Sold (MLS) $134,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2003-07-21 Listed $134,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1999-06-21 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 1999-05-28 Sold (MLS) $80,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1999-04-13 Listed $80,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2026): $3,516 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…