2874 Bird Dr SW Unit 208, 209,210 · Shallotte, NC 28470

$170,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily · 201 Days on market

Built 1996 0.47 ac lot Est $188k · 10% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +18.7/30.0
• ARV discount +11.8/15.0
• DSCR +5.9/10.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• Schools +3.9/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Welcome to 2874 Bird Dr SW in Shallotte, NC! This charming double-wide mobile home offers a clean, move-in-ready interior. Nearly half an acre offers a peaceful, private setting just minutes from Holden Beach and Ocean Isle Beach. Enjoy the spacious covered back deck—perfect for relaxing outdoors—as well as a newer well pump with a full filtration system for added convenience. The primary bathroom features new flooring, and the home has been well cared for throughout. There is an office trailer with a half bath which can be used for storage or easily converted to an Auxiliary Dwelling Unit. Start making your memories in this quiet coastal retreat!

Key facts

• Newer well pump
• 0.47 acre lot
• Built 1996

Tags

• DOUBLE-WIDE MOBILE HOME
• MOVE-IN-READY INTERIOR
• SPACIOUS COVERED BACK DECK
• NEWER WELL PUMP
• FULL FILTRATION SYSTEM
• AUXILIARY DWELLING UNIT

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Zoning: R60; Lot is level and approximately 0.47 acres; Road frontage on a private, unimproved road; Lot dimensions approximately 107 x 121 x 109 x 121; Other structure(s): shed(s)/storage
• HOA & community: No association amenities

Exterior

• Parking: Off-street parking; Unpaved parking; No garage
• Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Water connected; Sewer connected
• Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story; Residential property; Located in Shell Point subdivision
• Construction: Vinyl siding; Frame construction; Metal roof; Block foundation; Built on crawl space
• Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Deck; Porch; Chain-link fencing around back yard; Shed(s) and storage

Interior

• Kitchen: Electric oven; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
• Bedrooms: Total rooms: 8
• Flooring: Carpet
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Accessible full bath
• Heating & cooling: Floor furnace heating; Electric heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
• Interior features: Walk-in closets; Ceiling fans; Window coverings; Partially furnished
• Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Washer hookup; Dedicated laundry room

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $168 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $170k (0.0% below list).
• Recommended offer: $150k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.0% in Shallotte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#411 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety D, crime F, amenities F.
• Brunswick County Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #82 of 178 in NC (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Supply Elementary (math 46% / reading 39%, grade F, #625 of 1,410 statewide, top 45%, 539 students, 99% FRL); Shallotte Middle (math 40% / reading 50%, grade D, #160 of 475 statewide, top 35%, 674 students, 100% FRL); West Brunswick High (math 50% / reading 56%, grade C-, #281 of 535 statewide, top 53%, 1,526 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 53% district-wide (46 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 378 active listings in the ZIP; 6,112 units permitted in Brunswick County in 2024 (990 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Brunswick County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 201 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $149,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 201 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.00% ✗
• Cap rate: 7.48%
• Cash-on-cash: 4.23%
• DSCR: 1.19
• GRM: 8.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $188,160
• Comps found: 2

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1602 Pelican Pl SW	0.36mi	2/2.0 (-1)	894 (-7%)	1mo	$175,000	$196	66
1275 Gray Bridge Rd SW	0.49mi	2/1.0 (-1)	915 (-5%)	19mo	$175,000	$191	44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -9.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.65×
• Total profit: $-16,838
• Equity at exit: $25,348

10-year hold

• IRR: -0.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.98×
• Total profit: $-800
• Equity at exit: $14,698

Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State North Carolina: 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 28470

• Home prices YoY: -34.8%
• Active inventory: 378
• Price-to-rent: 8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,699 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$891
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$212 /mo · $2,550/yr
• Insurance: −$71
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$357
• Net cashflow: $168

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,487

Max offer price $170,000

Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $42,500
• Closing costs: $5,100
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 22 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $170,000 Active 201 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $170,000 Active 200 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $170,000 Active 199 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $170,000 Active 198 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $170,000 Active 196 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $170,000 Active 195 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $170,000 Active 193 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $170,000 Active 192 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $170,000 Active 191 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $170,000 Active 190 DOM
11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $170,000 Active 187 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $170,000 Active 186 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $170,000 Active 185 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $170,000 Active 184 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $170,000 Active 183 DOM
16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $170,000 Active 182 DOM
17. 2026-05-01
    status Active
18. 2026-04-30
    historical
19. 2025-11-28
    listed $170,000 Active
20. 2025-08-27
    status Pending
21. 2025-08-26
    historical
22. 2025-04-23
    listed $165,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $20,394
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,523
• − Property taxes: −$2,550
• − Insurance: −$850
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,631
• − Management: −$1,631
• − Depreciation: −$4,945
• Taxable loss: −$737
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$177
• After-tax cash flow: $2,190/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Brunswick County Schools
• NCES district ID: 3700420
• Math proficiency: 45% ▲ 4.00%
• Reading proficiency: 47% ▲ 4.00%
• Median HH income: $47,494
• Composite: 39.23/100
• National rank: #4011
• State rank: #82 of 178 in NC

Livability — Shallotte

• Score: 63/100
• State rank: #411
• US rank: #15490

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Brunswick County · 131,536 people
• City population: 11,219
• Metro: Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
• Population (ZIP): 11,219
• Household income: $65,030
• Rent vs Own: 25.0% rent · 75.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 455.0

Population outlook (Brunswick County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 152,111 people
• By 2030: 165,705 · +8.9%
• By 2040: 188,494 · +23.9%
• By 2050: 206,228 · +35.6%
• By 2075: 237,876 · +56.4%
• By 2100: 251,451 · +65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (73%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 73% Black 13% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Brunswick

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+24.9) · D 37.2% · R 62.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -6.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.9pp · 2024: -24.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+24.9 2020: R+25.0 2016: R+28.7 2012: R+22.2 2008: R+17.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -77.91%
• Current HPI: 146.2303
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	2	$213B
▸Retail	2	$95B
▸Industrial Conglomerate	1	$38B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$35B
▸Utilities	1	$30B
▸Industrial Machinery	1	$19B

Price history

+3.0% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-01 Relisted — Hive MLS
• 2026-04-30 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
• 2025-11-28 Listed $170,000 Hive MLS
• 2025-08-27 Pending — Hive MLS
• 2025-08-26 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
• 2025-04-23 Listed $165,000 Hive MLS