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318 Morgan Ave
B- Composite 69.81
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

318 Morgan Ave · Mobile, AL 36606
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,258 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 147 Days on market
Built 2006 6,532 sqft lot $64/sqft · 53% below area ↓ 41% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

PLEASE SUBMIT ALL CASH AS-IS OFFERS. Buyer and Buyer's Agent to verify all measurements and information during due diligence. Home is sold AS-IS. Contact agent to gain access.

Key facts

  • 6,532 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 2006

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $480 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 4.9% in Mobile — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#20 in AL, #4,262 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment D-.
  • Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 174 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 147 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 147 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.69%
Cap rate
13.49%
Cash-on-cash
25.71%
DSCR
2.14
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$170,174
List price
$80,000
Delta
-52.99%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
258 W Mount Island Dr 0.17mi 2/1.0 1,350 (+7%) 2mo $263,500 $195 78
616 Morgan Ave 0.29mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,150 (-9%) 3mo $42,000 $37 61
2258 Howell Ave 0.72mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,264 (+0%) 2mo $145,000 $115 59
1813 Woodcock St 0.65mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,269 (+1%) 1mo $195,000 $154 58
503 Dauphin Island Pkwy 0.58mi 2/1.0 1,159 (-8%) 3mo $40,500 $35 58
53 Mohawk St 0.71mi 2/1.0 1,207 (-4%) 4mo $235,000 $195 57
710 Euclid Ave 0.64mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,222 (-3%) 4mo $139,000 $114 53
2756 Jennings Dr 0.69mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,300 (+3%) 0mo $215,000 $165 53
1833 Woodcock Pl 0.65mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,317 (+5%) 1mo $195,000 $148 52
1841 Woodcock Pl 0.65mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,327 (+6%) 0mo $195,000 $147 51
165 S Fulton St 0.56mi 2/1.0 1,085 (-14%) 1mo $261,000 $241 50
603 Glenwood St 0.50mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,400 (+11%) 4mo $137,000 $98 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.06% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.8%
Equity multiple
1.92×
Total profit
$20,507
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
31.2%
Equity multiple
4.11×
Total profit
$69,641
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36606

Rents YoY
5.1%
Active inventory
174
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,353 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$136 /mo · $1,637/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$284
Net cashflow
$480

Break-even live

Break-even rent $746
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
562 Clarke St Mobile, AL 2.0 1.0 1061 $1,025 $0.97 43d 1 0.38mi
615 Mohawk St Mobile, AL 3.0 1.0 1172 $1,500 $1.28 43d 1 0.41mi
2503 Richard Ave Mobile, AL 2.0 1.0 928 $805 $0.87 13d 1 0.41mi
618 Clarke St Mobile, AL 3.0 1.0 1427 $1,200 $0.84 43d 1 0.44mi
2656 Pathway Pl Mobile, AL 2.0–3.0 1.0 778 $949 $1.22 13d 9 0.46mi
2507 Taylor Ave Mobile, AL 3.0 1.0 1230 $1,495 $1.22 13d 1 0.47mi
209 S Fulton St Mobile, AL 2.0 1.5 1255 $1,750 $1.39 21d 1 0.50mi
200 S Florida St Unit 101 Mobile, AL 2.0 2.0 1150 $1,375 $1.20 21d 1 0.51mi
182 Williams St Unit 1043570P Mobile, AL 3.0 1.0 1399 $2,476 $1.77 13d 1 0.54mi
104 Ellinor St Mobile, AL 2.0 1.0 896 $1,275 $1.42 21d 1 0.59mi
418 Durande Dr Mobile, AL 3.0 2.0 1456 $1,350 $0.93 13d 1 0.60mi
713 Iris Ave Mobile, AL 3.0 1.0 1617 $1,300 $0.80 21d 1 0.62mi
611 Dauphin Island Pkwy Mobile, AL 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,300 $0.90 43d 1 0.66mi
122 Demouy Ave Unit 1/2 Mobile, AL 2.0 1.0 1300 $1,530 $1.18 43d 1 0.83mi
315 Hadrian St Mobile, AL 3.0 2.0 1843 $1,800 $0.98 43d 1 0.85mi
706 Cherokee St Mobile, AL 3.0 1.0 1260 $1,375 $1.09 21d 1 0.86mi
168 W Collins St Mobile, AL 3.0 1.0 968 $725 $0.75 21d 1 0.88mi
817 Hawkins St Mobile, AL 3.0 1.0 1217 $1,200 $0.99 43d 1 0.89mi
461 Magnolia Rd Unit A Mobile, AL 2.0 1.0 989 $825 $0.83 43d 1 0.90mi
2008 W Victory Dr Mobile, AL 3.0 1.0 1011 $1,200 $1.19 43d 1 0.93mi
2859 Brierwood Dr Mobile, AL 3.0 1.0 1057 $1,500 $1.42 13d 1 0.95mi
900 Courtney St Mobile, AL 2.0 1.0 1020 $1,200 $1.18 43d 1 0.95mi
2604 Dauphin St #210 Mobile, AL 2.0 1.0 950 $1,150 $1.21 21d 1 1.00mi
2604 Dauphin St Mobile, AL 2.0 1.0 950 $1,072 $1.13 43d 2 1.00mi
150 Dunn Ave Mobile, AL 3.0 2.0 1455 $1,250 $0.86 21d 1 1.01mi
2855 Potter Dr Mobile, AL 2.0 1.0 1127 $1,050 $0.93 43d 1 1.01mi
2861 Ralston Rd Mobile, AL 3.0 2.0 1617 $1,650 $1.02 43d 1 1.01mi
107 Grand Blvd Mobile, AL 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,295 $1.08 21d 1 1.04mi
2861 Potter Dr Unit 1043844P Mobile, AL 3.0 2.0 1496 $2,492 $1.67 21d 1 1.05mi
2500 Dauphinwood Dr Mobile, AL 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1250 $980 $0.78 13d 19 1.06mi
955 Cloverdale Dr Mobile, AL 3.0 1.5 1128 $1,125 $1.00 43d 1 1.15mi
1660 Laurel St Mobile, AL 3.0 2.0 1768 $2,200 $1.24 13d 1 1.16mi
1704 McGill Ave Unit B Mobile, AL 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,750 $1.17 43d 1 1.23mi
505 Bel Air Blvd Mobile, AL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 976 $1,274 $1.30 13d 16 1.32mi
751 Farnell Ln Mobile, AL 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,400 $1.27 43d 1 1.32mi
107 Macy Pl Mobile, AL 3.0 2.0 1800 $2,250 $1.25 43d 1 1.34mi
3060 Emogene St Mobile, AL 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,400 $1.17 13d 1 1.36mi
250 Tuttle Ave Unit B Mobile, AL 1.0 1.0 928 $1,100 $1.19 43d 1 1.38mi
186 Stanton Rd Mobile, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1263 $2,062 $1.63 43d 1 1.40mi
111 S Catherine St Mobile, AL 2.0 1.0 891 $899 $1.01 43d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    status $80,000 Pending 147 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 147 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 146 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 145 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $80,000 Active 144 DOM
  6. 2026-05-13
    price $80,000 176-char remark
    Show marketing remark (176 chars)

    PLEASE SUBMIT ALL CASH AS-IS OFFERS. Buyer and Buyer's Agent to verify all measurements and information during due diligence. Home is sold AS-IS. Contact agent to gain access.

  7. 2026-05-01
    price $80,000 695-char remark
    Show marketing remark (695 chars)

    Great Mid Mobile Location. 2 bedroom / 2 bathroom cottage located in the heart of Mobile, 318 Morgan Avenue offers a compelling opportunity for investors and renovators seeking value and upside. This property has strong potential for rental income, resale, or redevelopment. The lot and entire property is gorgeous. Sold strictly as-is, it provides a clean slate for a buyer ready to bring vision, tools, and capital to unlock its next chapter. A rare opportunity. Please submit all cash, AS-IS offers. Buyer and Buyer's Agent to verify all measurements and information during due diligence. Home is sold AS-IS. Contact agent to gain access. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.

  8. 2026-01-10
    listed $90,000 Active 176-char remark
    Show marketing remark (176 chars)

    PLEASE SUBMIT ALL CASH AS-IS OFFERS. Buyer and Buyer's Agent to verify all measurements and information during due diligence. Home is sold AS-IS. Contact agent to gain access.

  9. 2026-01-06
    listed $90,000 Active 695-char remark
    Show marketing remark (695 chars)

    Great Mid Mobile Location. 2 bedroom / 2 bathroom cottage located in the heart of Mobile, 318 Morgan Avenue offers a compelling opportunity for investors and renovators seeking value and upside. This property has strong potential for rental income, resale, or redevelopment. The lot and entire property is gorgeous. Sold strictly as-is, it provides a clean slate for a buyer ready to bring vision, tools, and capital to unlock its next chapter. A rare opportunity. Please submit all cash, AS-IS offers. Buyer and Buyer's Agent to verify all measurements and information during due diligence. Home is sold AS-IS. Contact agent to gain access. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.

  10. 2025-01-23
    listed $199,000 Active
  11. 2024-10-04
    price $199,000
  12. 2023-11-18
    historical $1,800
  13. 2023-11-10
    listed $1,800
  14. 2022-07-21
    soldstatus $173,100
  15. 2021-11-02
    soldstatus $135,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,637 · $136/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,637 · $136/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,241
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$1,637
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,299
− Management
−$1,299
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$4,797
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,151
After-tax cash flow
$4,608/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mobile County
NCES district ID
0102370
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$42,455
Composite
22.9/100
National rank
#8002
State rank
#81 of 129 in AL

Livability — Mobile

Score
75/100
State rank
#20
US rank
#4262

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mobile, AL
County
Mobile County · 246,577 people
City population
205,729
Metro
Mobile, AL
Population (ZIP)
18,728
Household income
$51,303
Rent vs Own
51.3% rent · 48.7% own
Severe rent burden
999.0

Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
415,303 people
By 2030
411,755 · -0.9%
By 2040
399,670 · -3.8%
By 2050
382,616 · -7.9%
By 2075
337,353 · -18.8%
By 2100
283,391 · -31.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (56%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 56% White 37% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Scottish 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Mobile

2024 margin
R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
2008→2024 swing
-7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -232.19%
Current HPI
145.9025
Rent YoY
▲ 5.06%
Metro
Mobile, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-40.7% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $80,000 GCMLS AL
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $80,000 BCAR
  • 2026-01-10 Listed $90,000 GCMLS AL
  • 2026-01-06 Listed $90,000 BCAR
  • 2025-01-23 Listed $199,000 BCAR
  • 2024-10-04 Price Changed $199,000 GCMLS AL
  • 2023-11-18 Rental Removed $1,800 BUILDIUM
  • 2023-11-10 Listed for Rent $1,800 BUILDIUM
  • 2022-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $173,100 Public Records
  • 2021-11-02 Sold (MLS) $135,000 GCMLS AL

Property tax history

+8.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,637 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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