2100 N Trekell Rd #350 · Casa Grande, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 113°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$37,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This charming fully furnished home is ready to be loved and enjoyed. It has 2 spacious bedrooms and 2 bathrooms!! It features a wonderful floorplan and beautiful and bright kitchen!! Enjoy your coffee in the spacious Arizona room and spend some time enjoying this lively and vibrant community.
Key facts
- Parking
- Community pool
- Built 1973
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Land lease of $480 per month; No additional association fees; Community pool; Community spa (heated); Community laundry; Pickleball courts
Exterior
- Parking: 1 covered parking space; 1 carport space
- Security: Gated community
- Utilities: Public sewer; Private water company
- Home design: Manufactured/Mobile home; Leasehold ownership
- Construction: Wood frame construction, painted exterior; Foam roof
- Exterior features: Screened-in patio(s); Outdoor storage; Gravel/stone front yard; Gravel/stone backyard
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 possible bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Double vanity in bathroom; Furnished (see remarks); Full bath in master bedroom
- Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $37k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $988 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $37k).
- Recommended offer: $36k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 38.3% vs local median 4.1% in Casa Grande — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#220 in AZ) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, schools F.
- Casa Grande Union High School District (4453) (suburban): math 14% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #193 of 249 in AZ (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 628 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $256 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($36k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $3k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 38.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 114.42%
- DSCR
- 6.09
- GRM
- 2.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $158,496
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2100 N Trekell Rd #88 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,300 (+4%) | 3mo | $22,000 | $17 | 91 |
| 2100 N Trekell Rd #204 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-8%) | 4mo | $39,500 | $34 | 84 |
| 2263 N Trekell Rd #48 | 0.32mi | 2/2.0 | 1,232 (-1%) | 2mo | $165,900 | $135 | 81 |
| 2100 N Trekell Rd #291 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,393 (+12%) | 8mo | $69,000 | $50 | 74 |
| 2140 N Cajeme Ave | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 1,105 (-12%) | 4mo | $53,900 | $49 | 71 |
| 2263 N Trekell Rd #159 | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 1,232 (-1%) | 10mo | $160,000 | $130 | 65 |
| 2263 N Trekell Rd #175 | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 1,232 (-1%) | 11mo | $157,000 | $127 | 64 |
| 2263 N Trekell Rd Rd #77 | 0.32mi | 2/2.0 | 1,400 (+12%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $125 | 64 |
| 2263 N Trekell Rd #156 | 0.32mi | 2/2.0 | 1,400 (+12%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $118 | 63 |
| 2263 N Trekell Rd #20 | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 1,288 (+3%) | 10mo | $169,900 | $132 | 62 |
| 2263 N Trekell Rd #36 | 0.32mi | 2/2.0 | 1,400 (+12%) | 4mo | $184,000 | $131 | 62 |
| 2263 N Trekell Rd #113 | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 1,349 (+8%) | 12mo | $182,500 | $135 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.74×
- Total profit
- $59,516
- Equity at exit
- $5,517
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 14.88×
- Total profit
- $143,848
- Equity at exit
- $3,199
Cash invested: $10,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85122
- Home prices YoY
- -22.4%
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 628
- Price-to-rent
- 2.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,574 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$194
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$46 /mo · $555/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$331
- Net cashflow
- $988
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,250
- Closing costs
- $1,110
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1139 E Yucca St Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1300 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2060 N Trekell Rd Casa Grande, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 670 | $1,300 | $1.94 | 24d | 4 | 0.26mi |
| 1936 N Trekell Rd Casa Grande, AZ | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1033 | $1,492 | $1.44 | 1d | 29 | 0.50mi |
| 1926 N Avenida de Palmas Casa Grande, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1106 | $1,199 | $1.08 | 21d | 3 | 0.66mi |
| 1292 E Rodeo Rd Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $1,500 | $1.49 | 5d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 700 E Rodeo Rd Casa Grande, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 828 | $1,436 | $1.73 | 2d | 25 | 0.89mi |
| 1161 E O'Neil Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,295 | $1.13 | 2d | 12 | 1.02mi |
| 1858 N Center Ave Casa Grande, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1146 | $1,500 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1636 E Jardin Pl Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $1,999 | $1.42 | 5d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1650 E Jardin Pl Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $1,695 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1620 N Trekell Rd Casa Grande, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1090 | $2,165 | $1.99 | 1d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1620 E Silver Reef Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1202 | $1,575 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2094 N Sweetwater Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,700 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1641 N Kadota Ave Casa Grande, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 1d | 3 | 1.39mi |
| 1450 E Cottonwood Ln Casa Grande, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 821 | $1,995 | $2.43 | 1d | 18 | 1.40mi |
| 1715 N Peart Rd Casa Grande, AZ | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1221 | $1,465 | $1.20 | 2d | 22 | 1.44mi |
| 290 W Viola St Unit 4 Casa Grande, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,250 | $1.56 | 14d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1560 E Demain Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $1,595 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $37,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $37,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $37,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $37,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $37,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $37,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $37,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $37,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $37,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $40,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $40,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $40,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $40,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $40,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-18$40,000 Active
-
2026-01-30historical
-
2025-11-16status Active
-
2025-11-16historical
-
2025-10-10price $45,000
-
2025-09-13price $50,000
-
2025-05-28price $63,000
-
2025-05-01$64,900 Active
-
2025-04-16historical
-
2025-04-08price $64,000
-
2025-03-12price $69,000
-
2024-11-17price $79,000
-
2024-10-10$89,000 Active
-
2023-04-26historical
-
2023-04-18price $87,000
-
2023-04-04price $89,900
-
2023-03-25$95,900 Active
-
2023-02-02soldstatus $89,000 Closed
-
2023-01-20status Pending
-
2023-01-03$92,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥113°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,889
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,073
- − Property taxes
- −$555
- − Insurance
- −$185
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,511
- − Management
- −$1,511
- − Depreciation
- −$1,076
- Taxable income
- $11,977
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,875
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,979/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This fully furnished mobile home is in average condition with minor repairs and maintenance needed. Updates to the interior and exterior can significantly enhance its resale value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Exterior siding — Weathered appearance
- Minor Interior walls — Discoloration
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — Dated appearance
- Minor Bathrooms — Dated fixtures and decor
- Minor Flooring — Worn appearance
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal
- Resale Replace kitchen cabinets — Modern cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics
- Resale Update bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures enhance functionality and aesthetics
- Resale Replace flooring — New flooring improves functionality and aesthetics
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Exterior siding · Weathered appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Interior walls · Discoloration | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Kitchen cabinets · Dated appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Bathrooms · Dated fixtures and decor | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Flooring · Worn appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $2,500–15,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale Replace kitchen cabinets — Modern cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Resale Update bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures enhance functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Resale Replace flooring — New flooring improves functionality and aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Casa Grande Union High School District (4453)
- NCES district ID
- 0401740
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,373
- Composite
- 15.38/100
- National rank
- #9319
- State rank
- #193 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Casa Grande
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #220
- US rank
- #21534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Casa Grande, AZ
- County
- Pinal County · 399,947 people
- City population
- 69,701
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 61,624
- Household income
- $68,443
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1250.0
Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 437,574 people
- By 2030
- 446,903 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 452,589 · +3.4%
- By 2050
- 444,126 · +1.5%
- By 2075
- 430,300 · -1.7%
- By 2100
- 393,536 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 44% White 42% Two or more races 21% Black 4% Native American 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 40%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 23% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinal
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -67.32%
- Current HPI
- 233.148
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.60%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
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Price history
-56.8% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $40,000 ARMLS
- 2026-01-30 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2025-11-16 Relisted — ARMLS
- 2025-11-16 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2025-10-10 Price Changed $45,000 ARMLS
- 2025-09-13 Price Changed $50,000 ARMLS
- 2025-05-28 Price Changed $63,000 ARMLS
- 2025-05-01 Listed $64,900 ARMLS
- 2025-04-16 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2025-04-08 Price Changed $64,000 ARMLS
- 2025-03-12 Price Changed $69,000 ARMLS
- 2024-11-17 Price Changed $79,000 ARMLS
- 2024-10-10 Listed $89,000 ARMLS
- 2023-04-26 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2023-04-18 Price Changed $87,000 ARMLS
- 2023-04-04 Price Changed $89,900 ARMLS
- 2023-03-25 Listed $95,900 ARMLS
- 2023-02-02 Sold (MLS) $89,000 ARMLS
- 2023-01-20 Pending — ARMLS
- 2023-01-03 Listed $92,500 ARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…