1661 Old Country Rd #62 · Calverton, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$409,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to Glenwood Village a 55+ Manufactured Home Community Offering a 49 Year Lease starting at $800 per month. This absolutely stunning, turn-key, 3 bedroom, 2 bath home is awaiting its new owner. The interior of the home has been completely renovated and offers spacious options for modern living. All new Bosch Mini-splits with Heat & Air in 2025 - Full Warranty, Buyer assumes Installment Contract or purchase outright. New Hot Water Heater, New Roof & Gutter Guards in 2023, Walk-In Closets, Crown Molding, Electric Fireplace, Blinds, Quartz Countertops All New Appliances, New Washer & Dryer. Fully Renovated Baths with Quartz Countertops. Deck with Awnings, Shed, Fully Landscaped with Privacy, Gazabo & Sprinkler System - Truly a Gem!
Key facts
- 4,675 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Community pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $410k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($45k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $410k).
- Recommended offer: $385k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.3% vs local median 7.2% in Calverton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,053 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Watch: crime C-, schools D, employment D.
- Riverhead Central School District (suburban): math 34% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #489 of 590 in NY (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 188 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $115k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($385k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $250k; list at $410k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.40%
- DSCR
- 2.75
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $289,630
- List price
- $409,900
- Delta
- 41.53%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1661 Old Country Rd #586 | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,680 (0%) | 9mo | $489,000 | $291 | 78 |
| 1661 Old Country Rd #360 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,776 (+6%) | 10mo | $210,000 | $118 | 77 |
| 1661 Old Country Rd #540 | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,700 (+1%) | 8mo | $415,000 | $244 | 73 |
| 1661-454 Old Country Rd #454 | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,680 (0%) | 11mo | $220,000 | $131 | 72 |
| 1661 Old Country Rd #543 | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,632 (-3%) | 5mo | $385,000 | $236 | 72 |
| 1661 Old Country Rd #500 | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,568 (-7%) | 8mo | $320,000 | $204 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.52×
- Total profit
- $174,042
- Equity at exit
- $61,117
- IRR
- 42.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.03×
- Total profit
- $462,432
- Equity at exit
- $35,441
Cash invested: $114,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 11901
- Home prices YoY
- -29.5%
- Active inventory
- 188
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $9,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,150
- Tax from tax record
- −$221 /mo · $2,654/yr
- Insurance
- −$171
- HOA
- −$800
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,890
- Net cashflow
- $3,768
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $102,475
- Closing costs
- $12,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Kroemer Ave Riverhead, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $9,000 | $4.50 | 1d | 1 | 0.84mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $800 · $9,600/yr
- Likely covers
- waterelectric
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $409,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $409,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $409,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $409,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $409,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $409,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $409,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $409,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $399,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $399,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $399,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $399,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $399,900 Active 52 DOM
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2026-04-20price $425,000 769-char remark
Show marketing remark (769 chars)
Welcome to Glenwood Village a 55+ Manufactured Home Community Offering a 49 Year Lease starting at $800 per month. This absolutely stunning, turn-key, 3 bedroom, 2 bath home is awaiting its new owner. The interior of the home has been completely renovated and offers spacious options for modern living. All new Bosch Mini-splits with Heat & Air in 2025 - Full Warranty, Buyer assumes Installment Contract or purchase outright. New Hot Water Heater, New Roof & Gutter Guards in 2023, Walk-In Closets, Crown Molding, Electric Fireplace, Blinds, Quartz Countertops All New Appliances, New Washer & Dryer. Fully Renovated Baths with Quartz Countertops. Deck with Awnings, Shed, Fully Landscaped with Privacy, Gazabo & Sprinkler System - Truly a Gem!
-
2026-04-10$449,999 Active 769-char remark
Show marketing remark (769 chars)
Welcome to Glenwood Village a 55+ Manufactured Home Community Offering a 49 Year Lease starting at $800 per month. This absolutely stunning, turn-key, 3 bedroom, 2 bath home is awaiting its new owner. The interior of the home has been completely renovated and offers spacious options for modern living. All new Bosch Mini-splits with Heat & Air in 2025 - Full Warranty, Buyer assumes Installment Contract or purchase outright. New Hot Water Heater, New Roof & Gutter Guards in 2023, Walk-In Closets, Crown Molding, Electric Fireplace, Blinds, Quartz Countertops All New Appliances, New Washer & Dryer. Fully Renovated Baths with Quartz Countertops. Deck with Awnings, Shed, Fully Landscaped with Privacy, Gazabo & Sprinkler System - Truly a Gem!
-
2026-04-03historical $449,999 769-char remark
Show marketing remark (769 chars)
Welcome to Glenwood Village a 55+ Manufactured Home Community Offering a 49 Year Lease starting at $800 per month. This absolutely stunning, turn-key, 3 bedroom, 2 bath home is awaiting its new owner. The interior of the home has been completely renovated and offers spacious options for modern living. All new Bosch Mini-splits with Heat & Air in 2025 - Full Warranty, Buyer assumes Installment Contract or purchase outright. New Hot Water Heater, New Roof & Gutter Guards in 2023, Walk-In Closets, Crown Molding, Electric Fireplace, Blinds, Quartz Countertops All New Appliances, New Washer & Dryer. Fully Renovated Baths with Quartz Countertops. Deck with Awnings, Shed, Fully Landscaped with Privacy, Gazabo & Sprinkler System - Truly a Gem!
-
2022-01-21soldstatus $250,000 Closed 596-char remark
Show marketing remark (596 chars)
Beautiful Manufactured Home nestled within a quiet 55+ community. Wonderful open floor plan is perfect for entertaining. It boasts 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, a beautiful hearth Kitchen with large center island & dual sinks, Formal Dining Room, Laundry/Mud room, Central Air, Double Driveway, Composite Stairs & Decking with Vinyl Railings, Landscaped for Privacy, Sprinkler system and Storage Shed. Access to Clubhouse with State of the art Gym, Outdoor Park & Swimming Pool! Minutes to Shopping, Wineries, Golf & Restaurants! A must see!, Additional information: Appearance:Great
-
2021-12-11status Pending 596-char remark
Show marketing remark (596 chars)
Beautiful Manufactured Home nestled within a quiet 55+ community. Wonderful open floor plan is perfect for entertaining. It boasts 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, a beautiful hearth Kitchen with large center island & dual sinks, Formal Dining Room, Laundry/Mud room, Central Air, Double Driveway, Composite Stairs & Decking with Vinyl Railings, Landscaped for Privacy, Sprinkler system and Storage Shed. Access to Clubhouse with State of the art Gym, Outdoor Park & Swimming Pool! Minutes to Shopping, Wineries, Golf & Restaurants! A must see!, Additional information: Appearance:Great
-
2021-11-16price $259,999 596-char remark
Show marketing remark (596 chars)
Beautiful Manufactured Home nestled within a quiet 55+ community. Wonderful open floor plan is perfect for entertaining. It boasts 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, a beautiful hearth Kitchen with large center island & dual sinks, Formal Dining Room, Laundry/Mud room, Central Air, Double Driveway, Composite Stairs & Decking with Vinyl Railings, Landscaped for Privacy, Sprinkler system and Storage Shed. Access to Clubhouse with State of the art Gym, Outdoor Park & Swimming Pool! Minutes to Shopping, Wineries, Golf & Restaurants! A must see!, Additional information: Appearance:Great
-
2021-10-07price $249,999 596-char remark
Show marketing remark (596 chars)
Beautiful Manufactured Home nestled within a quiet 55+ community. Wonderful open floor plan is perfect for entertaining. It boasts 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, a beautiful hearth Kitchen with large center island & dual sinks, Formal Dining Room, Laundry/Mud room, Central Air, Double Driveway, Composite Stairs & Decking with Vinyl Railings, Landscaped for Privacy, Sprinkler system and Storage Shed. Access to Clubhouse with State of the art Gym, Outdoor Park & Swimming Pool! Minutes to Shopping, Wineries, Golf & Restaurants! A must see!, Additional information: Appearance:Great
-
2021-08-17price $264,000 596-char remark
Show marketing remark (596 chars)
Beautiful Manufactured Home nestled within a quiet 55+ community. Wonderful open floor plan is perfect for entertaining. It boasts 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, a beautiful hearth Kitchen with large center island & dual sinks, Formal Dining Room, Laundry/Mud room, Central Air, Double Driveway, Composite Stairs & Decking with Vinyl Railings, Landscaped for Privacy, Sprinkler system and Storage Shed. Access to Clubhouse with State of the art Gym, Outdoor Park & Swimming Pool! Minutes to Shopping, Wineries, Golf & Restaurants! A must see!, Additional information: Appearance:Great
-
2021-06-29$284,000 Active 596-char remark
Show marketing remark (596 chars)
Beautiful Manufactured Home nestled within a quiet 55+ community. Wonderful open floor plan is perfect for entertaining. It boasts 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, a beautiful hearth Kitchen with large center island & dual sinks, Formal Dining Room, Laundry/Mud room, Central Air, Double Driveway, Composite Stairs & Decking with Vinyl Railings, Landscaped for Privacy, Sprinkler system and Storage Shed. Access to Clubhouse with State of the art Gym, Outdoor Park & Swimming Pool! Minutes to Shopping, Wineries, Golf & Restaurants! A must see!, Additional information: Appearance:Great
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2013-08-29soldstatus $147,000
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2013-08-29soldstatus $147,000 Closed
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2013-08-08status Under Contract
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2013-07-04price $149,900 Price Change
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2013-05-29$159,900 New
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2013-05-29$149,900
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2013-05-14historical
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2012-05-14$159,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,654 · $221/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,791 · $399/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,136/yr (+$178/mo · 80.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $108,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,961
- − Property taxes
- −$2,654
- − Insurance
- −$2,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$8,640
- − Management
- −$8,640
- − HOA
- −$9,600
- − Depreciation
- −$11,924
- Taxable income
- $41,531
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$9,967
- After-tax cash flow
- $35,254/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Riverhead Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624690
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▲ 13.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,607
- Composite
- 36.38/100
- National rank
- #4683
- State rank
- #489 of 590 in NY
Livability — Calverton
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #1053
- US rank
- #20908
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Calverton, NY
- City population
- 6,784
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,921
Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,505,262 people
- By 2030
- 1,498,318 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,471,101 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 1,424,848 · -5.3%
- By 2075
- 1,337,157 · -11.2%
- By 2100
- 1,217,720 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 14% Black 11% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Iranian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 26% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+10.0) · D 45.0% · R 55.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: -10.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+10.0 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.2 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+6.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -182.60%
- Current HPI
- 436.7781
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+165.8% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $425,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-10 Listed $449,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-03 Coming Soon $449,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-01-21 Sold (MLS) $250,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-12-11 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-16 Price Changed $259,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-07 Price Changed $249,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-17 Price Changed $264,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-06-29 Listed $284,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-08-29 Sold (MLS) $147,000 MLSLI
- 2013-08-29 Sold (MLS) $147,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-08-08 Pending — MLSLI
- 2013-07-04 Price Changed $149,900 MLSLI
- 2013-05-29 Listed $159,900 MLSLI
- 2013-05-29 Listed $149,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-05-14 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-05-14 Listed $159,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…