1455 S State St #112 · Hemet, CA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this beautifully remodeled mobile home! Enjoy a fresh, modern interior featuring new appliances, paint, flooring, and recessed lighting throughout. The updated kitchen and bathrooms offer style and functionality. Outside, relax on the private patio. Plus, residents have access to a clubhouse equipped with a full kitchen for hosting events, laundry rooms for convenience, and saunas for relaxation. Additionally, the park features two pools and two jacuzzi's for residents to enjoy. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Parking
- Community pool
- Built 1967
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Land lease in park: $800 monthly; Manager approval required; Pets allowed with breed restrictions; Park name: Santa Rosa
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space)
- Security: Smoke detector; Carbon monoxide detector
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
- Home design: Single-story; Entry on the side; Mobile home remains (12' x 60'); Turnkey, updated/remodeled; Has a view
- Construction: Year built from public records
- Exterior features: Patio; Chain link fence; Community pool; Suburban setting; Paved road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Gas range
- Flooring: Laminated flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms with bathtub and walk-in shower
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Double door entry; Ceiling fan; Recessed lighting; Open floor plan; Double pane windows; Community spa
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry; Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Stackable washer/dryer possible
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $584 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 4.9% in Hemet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,056 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- San Jacinto Unified (suburban): math 13% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #421 of 517 in CA (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 264 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $82k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.36%
- DSCR
- 2.17
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $20,102
- List price
- $95,000
- Delta
- 372.59%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1097 North State St #43 | 0.37mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 695 (-4%) | 11mo | $45,000 | $65 | 58 |
| 1600-Spc 75 S San Jacinto Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 738 (+2%) | 8mo | $40,000 | $54 | 56 |
| 1097 N State St #124 | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 | 672 (-7%) | 18mo | $94,000 | $140 | 54 |
| 1600 S San Jacinto Ave #66 | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (+1%) | 13mo | $27,500 | $38 | 53 |
| 999 S Santa Fe Ave #45 | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (0%) | 11mo | $16,500 | $23 | 53 |
| 1600 S San Jacinto Ave #87 | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 | 760 (+6%) | 14mo | $55,000 | $72 | 49 |
| 999 S Santa Fe Ave #3 | 0.72mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 756 (+5%) | 12mo | $13,000 | $17 | 39 |
| 999 S Santa Fe Ave #88 | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (+7%) | 18mo | $36,000 | $47 | 36 |
| 999 S Santa Fe Ave #15 | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (+11%) | 10mo | $20,000 | $25 | 36 |
| 999 S Santa Fe St #1 | 0.72mi | 2/1.5 | 800 (+11%) | 13mo | $49,500 | $62 | 35 |
| 999 S Santa Fe #48 | 0.72mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 624 (-13%) | 1mo | $20,500 | $33 | 34 |
| 1600 S San Jacinto Ave #114 | 0.67mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 660 (-8%) | 16mo | $8,000 | $12 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.76% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.75×
- Total profit
- $19,909
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 26.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.17×
- Total profit
- $57,606
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92543
- Home prices YoY
- -26.7%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 264
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,571 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$330
- Net cashflow
- $584
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 811 E Menlo Ave Apt 12 Hemet, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,300 | $2.36 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 811 E Menlo Ave Unit 02 Hemet, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,300 | $2.36 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 320 S Pico Ave San Jacinto, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,500 | $2.31 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 526 Greystone Ln Apt 3 Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,650 | $2.36 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 526 Greystone Ln Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,600 | $2.29 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 526 Greystone Ln Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,600 | $2.29 | 18d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 646 Greystone Ln Apt 2 Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,500 | $2.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 560 E Oakland Ave Apt P Hemet, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,325 | $2.41 | 16d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 426 N Buena Vista St Apt 1 Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,550 | $2.28 | 7d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 426 N Buena Vista St Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,550 | $2.28 | 4d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 233 N Alessandro St Hemet, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 690 | $1,400 | $2.03 | 43d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $95,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $95,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $95,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $95,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-05-01$95,000 Active 843-char remark
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2026-04-28historical $95,000 843-char remark
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2024-06-08status Active 523-char remark
Show marketing remark (523 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully remodeled mobile home! Enjoy a fresh, modern interior featuring new appliances, paint, flooring, and recessed lighting throughout. The updated kitchen and bathrooms offer style and functionality. Outside, relax on the private patio. Plus, residents have access to a clubhouse equipped with a full kitchen for hosting events, laundry rooms for convenience, and saunas for relaxation. Additionally, the park features two pools and two jacuzzi's for residents to enjoy. Schedule your showing today!
-
2024-06-06soldstatus $82,000 Closed Sale 523-char remark
Show marketing remark (523 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully remodeled mobile home! Enjoy a fresh, modern interior featuring new appliances, paint, flooring, and recessed lighting throughout. The updated kitchen and bathrooms offer style and functionality. Outside, relax on the private patio. Plus, residents have access to a clubhouse equipped with a full kitchen for hosting events, laundry rooms for convenience, and saunas for relaxation. Additionally, the park features two pools and two jacuzzi's for residents to enjoy. Schedule your showing today!
-
2024-05-19status Active 523-char remark
Show marketing remark (523 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully remodeled mobile home! Enjoy a fresh, modern interior featuring new appliances, paint, flooring, and recessed lighting throughout. The updated kitchen and bathrooms offer style and functionality. Outside, relax on the private patio. Plus, residents have access to a clubhouse equipped with a full kitchen for hosting events, laundry rooms for convenience, and saunas for relaxation. Additionally, the park features two pools and two jacuzzi's for residents to enjoy. Schedule your showing today!
-
2024-04-29$88,000 Active 523-char remark
Show marketing remark (523 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully remodeled mobile home! Enjoy a fresh, modern interior featuring new appliances, paint, flooring, and recessed lighting throughout. The updated kitchen and bathrooms offer style and functionality. Outside, relax on the private patio. Plus, residents have access to a clubhouse equipped with a full kitchen for hosting events, laundry rooms for convenience, and saunas for relaxation. Additionally, the park features two pools and two jacuzzi's for residents to enjoy. Schedule your showing today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,848
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,425
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,508
- − Management
- −$1,508
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $5,847
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,403
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,608/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Jacinto Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0634440
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,560
- Composite
- 20.94/100
- National rank
- #8478
- State rank
- #421 of 517 in CA
Livability — Hemet
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #1056
- US rank
- #25208
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hemet, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 137,670
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,937
- Household income
- $49,396
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2144.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 54% White 30% Two or more races 18% Black 10% Native American 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 48% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Spanish 38% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -147.46%
- Current HPI
- 405.1277
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.76%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+8.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Listed $95,000 CRMLS
- 2026-04-28 Coming Soon $95,000 CRMLS
- 2024-06-08 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2024-06-06 Sold (MLS) $82,000 CRMLS
- 2024-05-19 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2024-04-29 Listed $88,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $93 · +9.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…