Duplex
24-11 37th Ave · New York, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.56%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.8/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$855,600
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
This duplex-style home features three bedrooms, two full baths, an eat-in kitchen, and a one-car garage. The information provided is estimated to the best of our abilities at this time.
Key facts
- 1,728 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1940
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 1-car garage
- Utilities: Sewer: Other; Utilities: See remarks
- Home design: Duplex
- Construction: Brick exterior; Full unfinished basement
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen(s)
- Bedrooms: One 1-bedroom unit; One 2-bedroom unit
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Steam heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Eat-in kitchen; Full unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $856k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($59k/yr) — positive. Per door: $2k/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($13k rent vs $856k).
- Recommended offer: $753k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 258 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $13,281/mo this rent would consume 132% of the median local household income ($121k/yr) (locally 3440% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $54k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $48k appreciation (5.6% local appreciation)).
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (5.6% appreciation + 1.1% rent growth), your $240k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$86k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 196 days — a 12% lower offer ($753k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $542k; list at $856k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 196 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.50%
- DSCR
- 2.09
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $1,242,054
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23-19 33rd Ave | 0.50mi | 6/3.0 | 2,100 (-5%) | 10mo | $1,385,000 | $660 | 55 |
| 1442 33rd Ave | 0.53mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,301 (+4%) | 13mo | $1,290,000 | $561 | 49 |
| 38- 2 31st St Unit 2-F | 0.29mi | 7/3.0 (+1) | 2,524 (+14%) | 23mo | $830,000 | $329 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.62% appreciation · 1.09% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.15×
- Total profit
- $514,135
- Equity at exit
- $517,215
- IRR
- 31.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.12×
- Total profit
- $1,226,906
- Equity at exit
- $920,618
Cash invested: $239,568 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11101
- Home prices YoY
- 1.1%
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 258
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $13,281 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,487
- Tax from tax record
- −$757 /mo · $9,083/yr
- Insurance
- −$356
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,789
- Net cashflow
- $4,892
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2 | $13,282 |
| #1 | 3 | 2 | $6,641 |
| #2 | 3 | 2 | $6,641 |
| Total (2 units) | $13,281 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $213,900
- Closing costs
- $25,668
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-31statusdays on market $855,600 Pending 196 DOM
-
2026-05-04price $855,600
-
2026-03-17price $930,000
-
2025-12-09price $983,250
-
2025-11-12$1,092,500 Active
-
2005-08-25soldstatus $542,000
-
1997-07-16soldstatus $155,000
-
1996-08-01soldstatus $144,000
-
1986-11-05soldstatus $215,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $9,083 · $757/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $11,771 · $981/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,688/yr (+$224/mo · 29.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 56% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $159,372
- − Mortgage interest
- −$47,927
- − Property taxes
- −$9,083
- − Insurance
- −$4,278
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$12,750
- − Management
- −$12,750
- − Depreciation
- −$24,890
- Taxable income
- $47,694
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$11,447
- After-tax cash flow
- $47,254/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,219
- Household income
- $121,062
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3440.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.74)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 34% Asian 31% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 11% Black 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 41% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 52% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 11% Chinese 10%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.62%
- Current HPI
- 500.0296
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.09%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+298.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $855,600 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $930,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-09 Price Changed $983,250 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-12 Listed $1,092,500 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-08-25 Sold (Public Records) $542,000 Public Records
- 1997-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
- 1996-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $144,000 Public Records
- 1986-11-05 Sold (Public Records) $215,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $9,083 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…