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120 N 28th St
C- Composite 52.41
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.6/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$85,000

120 N 28th St · Louisville, KY 40212
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 698 sqft · SingleFamily · 571 Days on market
Built 1930 3,000 sqft lot Est $69k · 23% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This property is a versatile option, making it ideal for both first-time homebuyers and savvy investors. It boasts a fully fenced yard, providing privacy for families or individuals with pets. One of its standout features is the spacious 2-car detached garage, offering ample room for vehicle parking and potential storage or a workshop area. The convenience factor is further enhanced with all existing appliances included in the sale, ensuring a smooth transition for the new owner. Huge attic storage with pull down steps. Additionally, the charming front porch adds character and is a welcoming space to relax or socialize. Whether you're looking for a cozy starter home or a promising investment opportunity, this property offers a compelling package of features and potential benefits.

Key facts

  • Storage building
  • Deck
  • 3,000 sq ft lot

Tags

STORAGE BUILDINGDECK

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located on 0.07-acre lot; Living area reported as 698
  • HOA & community: No association fee; No monthly maintenance

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Electricity connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Built in 1930; Wood frame with aluminum siding; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Chain-link fencing; Lot dimensions about 25 x 120

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor
  • Bedrooms: One bedroom on the first floor
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first floor
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Wall/window air-conditioning unit(s)
  • Interior features: Four total rooms; Two closets; No basement; Craft/hobby room
  • Laundry & utility: First-floor laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $114 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $82k (3.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, schools D-.
  • Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 141 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.5% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 571 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $85k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $74,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 571 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
7.90%
Cash-on-cash
5.73%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$69,102
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2708 Duncan St 0.12mi 2/1.0 (+1) 668 (-4%) 18mo $73,000 $109 67
3120 W Jefferson St 0.40mi 1/1.0 731 (+5%) 9mo $89,000 $122 66
219 N 37th St 0.74mi 2/1.0 (+1) 700 (+0%) 9mo $69,000 $99 52
314 N 21st St 0.74mi 1/1.0 791 (+13%) 1mo $13,000 $16 42
3438 W Jefferson St 0.65mi 2/1.0 (+1) 660 (-5%) 21mo $48,800 $74 38
2414 Saint Xavier St 0.59mi 1/1.0 768 (+10%) 23mo $35,000 $46 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.5%
Equity multiple
3.16×
Total profit
$51,504
Equity at exit
$76,575
10-year hold
IRR
23.4%
Equity multiple
6.98×
Total profit
$142,276
Equity at exit
$165,136

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40212

Home prices YoY
11.0%
Rents YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
141
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$819 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$52 /mo · $629/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$172
Net cashflow
$114

Break-even live

Break-even rent $675
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $162 -5% $138 +0% $114 +5% $90 +10% $65
Rent -10% $49 -5% $81 +0% $114 +5% $146 +10% $178
Rate -1.0pp $156 -0.5pp $135 base $114 +0.5pp $92 +1.0pp $69

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2718 W Jefferson St Louisville, KY 1.0 1.0 633 $699 $1.10 22d 1 0.29mi
2718 W Jefferson St Unit 2718-3 Louisville, KY 1.0 1.0 633 $699 $1.10 24d 1 0.29mi
2614 W Jefferson St Unit 2614-4 Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 740 $795 $1.07 24d 1 0.31mi
2614 W Jefferson St Louisville, KY 1.0 1.0 633 $695 $1.10 21d 1 0.31mi
2717 Slevin St Louisville, KY 1.0 1.0 620 $725 $1.17 17d 1 0.32mi
3416 W Main St Louisville, KY 1.0 1.0 667 $825 $1.24 24d 1 0.59mi
3124 Vermont Ave Unit 3124-1 Louisville, KY 1.0 1.0 650 $695 $1.07 24d 1 0.61mi
3124 Vermont Ave Louisville, KY 1.0 1.0 650 $699 $1.08 24d 1 0.61mi
220 Doctor W. J. Hodge St Unit 1 Louisville, KY 1.0 1.0 570 $700 $1.23 18d 1 0.71mi
2510 Portland Ave Unit 206 Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 615 $950 $1.54 24d 1 0.72mi
2722 Portland Ave Unit 1 Louisville, KY 1.0 1.0 500 $950 $1.90 24d 1 0.72mi
2510 Portland Ave Unit 203 Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 625 $995 $1.59 4d 1 0.73mi
3120 Bank St Unit B Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 750 $795 $1.06 24d 1 0.73mi
219 N 37th St Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 700 $1,150 $1.64 24d 1 0.77mi
103 N 38th St Apt 4 Louisville, KY 1.0 1.0 625 $950 $1.52 18d 1 0.79mi
521 N 33rd St Louisville, KY 1.0 1.0 650 $795 $1.22 24d 1 0.82mi
111 Hansbrough Pl Unit 101 Louisville, KY 1.0 1.0 686 $890 $1.30 24d 1 0.84mi
519 N 20th St Louisville, KY 1.0 1.0 550 $795 $1.45 24d 1 0.90mi
200 N 18th St Unit 200-4 Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 740 $775 $1.05 21d 1 0.95mi
691 Madelon Ct Louisville, KY 1.0 1.0 650 $675 $1.04 12d 1 1.01mi
127 Boston Ct Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 725 $1,100 $1.52 24d 1 1.10mi
112 Boston Ct Louisville, KY 1.0 1.0 650 $800 $1.23 24d 1 1.10mi
4143 W Market St Unit 2 Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 24d 1 1.13mi
832 Hazel St Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 720 $1,095 $1.52 4d 1 1.19mi
4018 Vermont Ave Unit 1 Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 700 $699 $1.00 4d 1 1.20mi
2513 Date St Unit 2 Louisville, KY 1.0 1.0 700 $745 $1.06 4d 1 1.27mi
3515 W Kentucky St Unit 3515-12 Louisville, KY 1.0 1.0 700 $695 $0.99 24d 1 1.39mi
115 N 46th St Unit 2 Louisville, KY 1.0 1.0 650 $750 $1.15 24d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $85,000 Active 571 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 568 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 567 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,000 Active 566 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 565 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 563 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $85,000 Active 560 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 559 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 558 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 557 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $85,000 Active 553 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $85,000 Active 552 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $85,000 Active 551 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 550 DOM
  15. 2026-05-02
    price $85,000
  16. 2025-06-27
    price $90,000
  17. 2024-11-27
    listed $99,900 Active
  18. 2024-03-29
    soldstatus $49,950 Closed 792-char remark
    Show marketing remark (792 chars)

    This property is a versatile option, making it ideal for both first-time homebuyers and savvy investors. It boasts a fully fenced yard, providing privacy for families or individuals with pets. One of its standout features is the spacious 2-car detached garage, offering ample room for vehicle parking and potential storage or a workshop area. The convenience factor is further enhanced with all existing appliances included in the sale, ensuring a smooth transition for the new owner. Huge attic storage with pull down steps. Additionally, the charming front porch adds character and is a welcoming space to relax or socialize. Whether you're looking for a cozy starter home or a promising investment opportunity, this property offers a compelling package of features and potential benefits.

  19. 2023-11-17
    historical Active Under Contract 792-char remark
    Show marketing remark (792 chars)

    This property is a versatile option, making it ideal for both first-time homebuyers and savvy investors. It boasts a fully fenced yard, providing privacy for families or individuals with pets. One of its standout features is the spacious 2-car detached garage, offering ample room for vehicle parking and potential storage or a workshop area. The convenience factor is further enhanced with all existing appliances included in the sale, ensuring a smooth transition for the new owner. Huge attic storage with pull down steps. Additionally, the charming front porch adds character and is a welcoming space to relax or socialize. Whether you're looking for a cozy starter home or a promising investment opportunity, this property offers a compelling package of features and potential benefits.

  20. 2023-11-15
    listed $49,949 Active 792-char remark
    Show marketing remark (792 chars)

    This property is a versatile option, making it ideal for both first-time homebuyers and savvy investors. It boasts a fully fenced yard, providing privacy for families or individuals with pets. One of its standout features is the spacious 2-car detached garage, offering ample room for vehicle parking and potential storage or a workshop area. The convenience factor is further enhanced with all existing appliances included in the sale, ensuring a smooth transition for the new owner. Huge attic storage with pull down steps. Additionally, the charming front porch adds character and is a welcoming space to relax or socialize. Whether you're looking for a cozy starter home or a promising investment opportunity, this property offers a compelling package of features and potential benefits.

  21. 2008-05-14
    soldstatus $20,000
  22. 2008-05-13
    soldstatus $20,000 136-char remark
    Show marketing remark (136 chars)

    Attention Investors! Presently rented $350.00. Priced $5,000 or Below Assessment. Seller will look at All Reasonable Offers. MOTIVATED!!

  23. 2008-01-29
    listed $22,900 136-char remark
    Show marketing remark (136 chars)

    Attention Investors! Presently rented $350.00. Priced $5,000 or Below Assessment. Seller will look at All Reasonable Offers. MOTIVATED!!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$629 · $52/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$731 · $61/mo
Expected delta
+$102/yr (+$8/mo · 16.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,831
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$629
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$786
− Management
−$786
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable loss
−$31
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$7
After-tax cash flow
$1,370/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
2102990
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$47,885
Composite
23.45/100
National rank
#7884
State rank
#121 of 165 in KY

Livability — Louisville

Score
63/100
State rank
#333
US rank
#15887

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Louisville, KY
County
Jefferson County · 790,184 people
City population
769,292
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
14,661
Household income
$35,753
Rent vs Own
51.3% rent · 48.7% own
Severe rent burden
1148.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
823,112 people
By 2030
849,343 · +3.2%
By 2040
895,696 · +8.8%
By 2050
933,630 · +13.4%
By 2075
1,028,262 · +24.9%
By 2100
1,072,675 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (60%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 60% White 37% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 29.02%
Current HPI
293.2624
Rent YoY
▲ 0.51%
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+271.2% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Price Changed $85,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2025-06-27 Price Changed $90,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2024-11-27 Listed $99,900 Metro Search MLS
  • 2024-03-29 Sold (MLS) $49,950 Metro Search MLS
  • 2023-11-17 Contingent Metro Search MLS
  • 2023-11-15 Listed $49,949 Metro Search MLS
  • 2008-05-14 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
  • 2008-05-13 Sold (MLS) $20,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2008-01-29 Listed $22,900 Metro Search MLS

Property tax history

+7.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $629 · +39.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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