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B- Composite 65.06
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,999

11 Green St · Frostburg, MD 21532
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,350 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 498 Days on market
Built 1925 8,250 sqft lot Est $167k · 40% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Location, location, location! This property offers convenience within the heart of Frostburg. Just minutes to FSU, Mountain Ridge High School and the convenient amenities Frostburg has to offer. Potential exists with this 3-bedroom, 1 bathroom. Could provide an excellent opportunity for a flip in a nice neighborhood or a homebuyer looking to get into Frostburg at an affordable price! Hardwood floors are believed to be present throughout both floors, but may be hidden under the carpeting. There is a hole in the ceiling in the living room that resulted from a leak that has been repaired. Furnace was installed back in 2008. Get creative with this one! Call to schedule your appointment today!

Key facts

  • Furnace installed
  • Hardwood floors
  • 8,250 sq ft lot

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSFURNACE INSTALLED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Total below-grade area approximately 465 (unfinished); Above-grade finished area approximately 1,350 (estimated)
  • Financial info: Fee simple ownership

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas service
  • Home design: Detached home; Estimated year built
  • Construction: Stick-built and concrete construction; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Detached structure; Above-grade and below-grade structures; Property located within city limits (Frostburg); No tidal water nearby

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating and hot water
  • Interior features: Estimated living area; Basement with poured concrete and block foundation; Two or more access exits

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $215 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 4.2% in Frostburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 87/100 on livability (#7 in MD, #287 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment F.
  • Allegany County Public Schools (other): math 15% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #18 of 24 in MD (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 24 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Allegany County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 498 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $32k; list at $100k implies a 212% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $87,999 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 498 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
8.87%
Cash-on-cash
9.20%
DSCR
1.41
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$167,400
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
43 Green St 0.11mi 3/1.0 1,288 (-5%) 9mo $140,000 $109 80
138 Mount Pleasant St 0.31mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,332 (-1%) 10mo $165,000 $124 70
8 Taylor St 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,391 (+3%) 15mo $70,400 $51 60
16 Greenbriar Ct 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,264 (-6%) 10mo $209,900 $166 58
18 Mill St 0.25mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,232 (-9%) 13mo $185,000 $150 56
84 Hill St 0.41mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,428 (+6%) 9mo $150,000 $105 55
135 Hill St 0.51mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,306 (-3%) 10mo $120,500 $92 53
179 Mount Pleasant St 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,476 (+9%) 11mo $133,000 $90 52
53 Stoyer St 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,172 (-13%) 10mo $149,000 $127 51
40 Mcculloh St 0.19mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,184 (-12%) 14mo $162,500 $137 50
117 Bowery St 0.39mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,176 (-13%) 10mo $120,500 $102 47
113 Walnut St 0.49mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,202 (-11%) 11mo $165,000 $137 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.4%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-2,544
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
7.3%
Equity multiple
1.55×
Total profit
$15,331
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 21532

Home prices YoY
-24.2%
Active inventory
102
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,082 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$74 /mo · $886/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$227
Net cashflow
$215

Break-even live

Break-even rent $810
Max offer price $99,999
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
Main St Frostburg, MD 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,100 $1.00 43d 1 0.39mi
55 S Broadway Frostburg, MD 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,100 $1.08 43d 1 0.58mi
2 Bob Cat Ct Frostburg, MD 2.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 965 $1,000 $1.04 43d 6 0.94mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $99,999 Active 498 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,999 Active 497 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,999 Active 496 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,999 Active 495 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,999 Active 494 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,999 Active 492 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,999 Active 491 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,999 Active 488 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,999 Active 487 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $99,999 Active 486 DOM
  11. 2026-05-24
    status Pending
  12. 2026-05-01
    historical Active Under Contract
  13. 2025-01-02
    listed $99,999 Active
  14. 2025-01-01
    historical
  15. 2024-12-16
    price $99,999
  16. 2024-12-16
    status Active
  17. 2024-12-02
    historical
  18. 2024-10-31
    price $108,900
  19. 2024-08-07
    price $109,900
  20. 2024-07-15
    price $114,900
  21. 2024-04-05
    listed $119,900 Active
  22. 1985-08-16
    soldstatus $32,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$886 · $74/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$988 · $82/mo
Expected delta
+$102/yr (+$9/mo · 11.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,981
− Mortgage interest
−$5,601
− Property taxes
−$886
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,038
− Management
−$1,038
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$1,008
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$242
After-tax cash flow
$2,335/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Allegany County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400030
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -20.00%
Median HH income
$39,760
Composite
18.95/100
National rank
#8854
State rank
#18 of 24 in MD

Livability — Frostburg

Score
87/100
State rank
#7
US rank
#287

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing C+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Frostburg, MD
Population (ZIP)
13,123

Population outlook (Allegany County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
68,778 people
By 2030
66,766 · -2.9%
By 2040
62,784 · -8.7%
By 2050
59,179 · -14.0%
By 2075
50,732 · -26.2%
By 2100
40,837 · -40.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Black 6% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 5% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegany

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.3) · D 28.9% · R 69.2% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-14.4pp toward R · 2008: -25.9pp · 2024: -40.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.3 2020: R+38.3 2016: R+48.0 2012: R+32.9 2008: R+25.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -78.31%
Current HPI
244.5937
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+212.5% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-24 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-01 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-01-02 Listed $99,999 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-01-01 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-12-16 Price Changed $99,999 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-12-16 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-12-02 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-10-31 Price Changed $108,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-08-07 Price Changed $109,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-07-15 Price Changed $114,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-04-05 Listed $119,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1985-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $886 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…