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822 Apache St
B+ Composite 78.52
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.9/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$137,900

822 Apache St · Tallahassee, FL 32301
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,239 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 32 Days on market
Built 1958 9,583 sqft lot Est $212k · 35% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Affordable family home. Garage conversion allows for a split bedroom plan with 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Fresh interior and exterior paint plus new carpet. Updated insulated windows. New lower kitchen cabinets with new counter tops and sink. Fully fenced backyard with patio. Own for less than rent! No appliances currently but are negotiable.

Key facts

  • Remodeled kitchen
  • Updated bedrooms
  • Spacious lot

Tags

REMODELED KITCHENUPDATED BEDROOMSFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTSPACIOUS LOTSTRONG RENTAL POTENTIALCONVENIENT ACCESS TO SCHOOLS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Offered for sale

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Home design: Single-story; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Road surface: paved
  • Exterior features: Patio

Interior

  • Kitchen: Stove
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom 2 (10x11); Bedroom 3 (11x10); Bedroom 4 (9x10)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Carpet and laminate flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $138k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $571 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $138k).
  • Recommended offer: $134k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 4.2% in Tallahassee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 86/100 on livability (#19 in FL, #429 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D.
  • Leon (urban): math 48% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #33 of 73 in FL (top 45%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 121 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,765 units permitted in Leon County in 2024 (975 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,916/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 2625% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $953 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Leon County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($134k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $138k implies a 245% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $133,763 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.39%
Cap rate
11.26%
Cash-on-cash
17.76%
DSCR
1.79
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$211,869
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2404 Dozier Dr 0.32mi 4/2.0 1,221 (-2%) 12mo $215,000 $176 72
3101 Prospect St 0.43mi 4/2.0 1,255 (+1%) 7mo $235,000 $187 72
3010 Prospect St 0.43mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,264 (+2%) 1mo $210,000 $166 71
925 Splendor Rd 0.24mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,200 (-3%) 10mo $230,000 $192 70
2438 King St 0.44mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,143 (-8%) 2mo $75,000 $66 56
3222 Beacon St 0.54mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,341 (+8%) 11mo $237,000 $177 45
2222 Pontiac Dr 0.44mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,315 (+6%) 19mo $215,000 $163 44
3404 Mizell St 0.73mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,233 (-0%) 19mo $201,000 $163 44
1329 Lola Dr 0.50mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,083 (-13%) 6mo $185,000 $171 44
1684 Silverwood Dr 0.74mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,330 (+7%) 7mo $215,000 $162 42
512 Norma St 0.60mi 4/2.0 1,076 (-13%) 16mo $140,000 $130 37
2115 Old Fort Dr 0.65mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,400 (+13%) 9mo $273,500 $195 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.16% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.6%
Equity multiple
1.42×
Total profit
$16,327
Equity at exit
$20,561
10-year hold
IRR
20.6%
Equity multiple
2.83×
Total profit
$70,669
Equity at exit
$11,923

Cash invested: $38,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32301

Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
121
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,916 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$723
Tax from tax record
$162 /mo · $1,943/yr
Insurance
$57
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$402
Net cashflow
$571

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,193
Max offer price $137,900
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $649 -5% $610 +0% $571 +5% $532 +10% $493
Rent -10% $420 -5% $496 +0% $571 +5% $647 +10% $723
Rate -1.0pp $641 -0.5pp $606 base $571 +0.5pp $536 +1.0pp $499

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,475
Closing costs
$4,137
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
735 Putnam Dr #2 Tallahassee, FL 3.0 2.5 1396 $1,650 $1.18 14d 1 0.40mi
3005 S Meridian St Tallahassee, FL 3.0 1.0 998 $2,300 $2.30 21d 1 0.52mi
916 Saddle Creek Run Tallahassee, FL 4.0 2.0 1399 $1,750 $1.25 14d 1 0.86mi
3000 S Adams St Tallahassee, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 884 $1,850 $2.09 21d 8 0.92mi
418 Perkins St Tallahassee, FL 4.0 2.0 1497 $1,850 $1.24 21d 1 0.94mi
301 Gaile Ave Tallahassee, FL 3.0 1.0 1009 $1,400 $1.39 14d 1 1.00mi
4787 Cypress Brooke Way Tallahassee, FL 3.0 2.0 1220 $1,799 $1.47 21d 1 1.17mi
509 Famcee Ave Tallahassee, FL 3.0 2.0 1079 $1,700 $1.58 21d 1 1.31mi
1737 S M L King Jr Blvd Tallahassee, FL 3.0 1.0 701 $1,450 $2.07 21d 1 1.31mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    price $137,900
  2. 2026-04-24
    listed $149,900 Active
  3. 2015-08-04
    soldstatus $40,000 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    Affordable family home. Garage conversion allows for a split bedroom plan with 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Fresh interior and exterior paint plus new carpet. Updated insulated windows. New lower kitchen cabinets with new counter tops and sink. Fully fenced backyard with patio. Own for less than rent! No appliances currently but are negotiable.

  4. 2015-04-15
    listed $52,500 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    Affordable family home. Garage conversion allows for a split bedroom plan with 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Fresh interior and exterior paint plus new carpet. Updated insulated windows. New lower kitchen cabinets with new counter tops and sink. Fully fenced backyard with patio. Own for less than rent! No appliances currently but are negotiable.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,943 · $162/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,943 · $162/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,996
− Mortgage interest
−$7,725
− Property taxes
−$1,943
− Insurance
−$690
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,840
− Management
−$1,840
− Depreciation
−$4,012
Taxable income
$4,947
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,187
After-tax cash flow
$5,668/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Leon
NCES district ID
1201110
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$46,339
Composite
42.84/100
National rank
#3131
State rank
#33 of 73 in FL

Livability — Tallahassee

Score
86/100
State rank
#19
US rank
#429

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C+ Employment D Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tallahassee, FL
County
Leon County · 294,472 people
City population
294,472
Metro
Tallahassee, FL
Population (ZIP)
32,017
Household income
$50,942
Rent vs Own
68.8% rent · 31.2% own
Severe rent burden
2625.0

Population outlook (Leon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
315,507 people
By 2030
330,677 · +4.8%
By 2040
358,465 · +13.6%
By 2050
386,804 · +22.6%
By 2075
465,480 · +47.5%
By 2100
519,959 · +64.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Black 49% White 38% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Leon

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.3% · R 38.5% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 24.3pp · 2024: 21.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+21.8 2020: D+28.3 2016: D+25.1 2012: D+23.6 2008: D+24.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -231.50%
Current HPI
231.103
Rent YoY
▲ 4.16%
Metro
Tallahassee, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+162.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $137,900 CATRS
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $149,900 CATRS
  • 2015-08-04 Sold (MLS) $40,000 CATRS
  • 2015-04-15 Listed $52,500 CATRS

Property tax history

+8.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,943 · +11.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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