4525 6th St · Ecorse, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.3/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Hold the phone! Don't wait to see this beautiful opportunity! This home has been updated throughout with new roof, windows, floors, and paint. Enclosed porch-perfect area to relax. 3 bedrooms on the second floor and 1 bedroom on the main floor. The basement is spacious and ideal for those who want to fix it up to make it their own finished basement, including a 2nd bathroom set up! Right next to Grandport Elementary Academy and under a 20 minute drive to Downtown Detroit. Seller is providing the Certificate of Occupancy!
Key facts
- 3,049 sq ft lot
- Built 1923
- Listed 14 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Residential property; 1 1/2-story design; Built in 1923
- Construction: Basement foundation
- Exterior features: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Paved street access; Frontage approximately 30 feet
Interior
- Kitchen: Range/oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedroom 1 on entry level (approx. 8 x 8); Bedroom 2 on second level (approx. 7 x 9); Bedroom 3 on second level (approx. 9 wide); Bedroom 4 on second level (approx. 5 x 7)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on entry level (approx. 5 x 6)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas fuel
- Interior features: Nine total rooms; Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $136 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#348 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, crime F.
- Ecorse Public Schools (suburban): math 3% / reading 7% proficiency, ranked #536 of 540 in MI (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 16 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask is 6971% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $84k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.9% of price; built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.90%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $150,876
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 239 White St | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,100 (-7%) | 4mo | $120,000 | $109 | 78 |
| 4548 8th St | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,077 (-9%) | 2mo | $109,000 | $101 | 71 |
| 485 Garfield Ave | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,160 (-2%) | 7mo | $160,000 | $138 | 68 |
| 4405 7th St | 0.19mi | 4/1.0 | 1,056 (-11%) | 6mo | $23,500 | $22 | 67 |
| 568 Garfield Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,116 (-6%) | 4mo | $142,000 | $127 | 61 |
| 4345 10th St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,118 (-6%) | 3mo | $116,000 | $104 | 61 |
| 2458 River Dr | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,078 (-9%) | 1mo | $144,000 | $134 | 57 |
| 525 Mill St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,070 (-10%) | 6mo | $196,000 | $183 | 51 |
| 2430 River Dr. St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,364 (+15%) | 7mo | $173,000 | $127 | 44 |
| 782 Cleveland Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,298 (+9%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $123 | 43 |
| 32 Labadie St | 0.48mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 1,319 (+11%) | 8mo | $95,000 | $72 | 42 |
| 1529 Grant Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,300 (+9%) | 7mo | $169,900 | $131 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.27×
- Total profit
- $62,794
- Equity at exit
- $89,187
- IRR
- 25.0%
- Equity multiple
- 7.44×
- Total profit
- $178,479
- Equity at exit
- $192,335
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48229
- Home prices YoY
- 33.9%
- Active inventory
- 56
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,396 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$406 /mo · $4,873/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$293
- Net cashflow
- $136
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4282 7th St Ecorse, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $1,250 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1473 Empire Ave Lincoln Park, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1342 | $1,700 | $1.27 | 2d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 357 Emmons Blvd Lincoln Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1268 | $1,695 | $1.34 | 2d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 168 Bondie St Wyandotte, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,295 | $1.20 | 5d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 170 Bondie St Wyandotte, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,399 | $1.30 | 3d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 4015 16th St Ecorse, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1170 | $1,300 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3575 S Ethel St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,350 | $1.51 | 17d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3801 18th St Ecorse, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1196 | $1,150 | $0.96 | 17d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1159 McKinley St Wyandotte, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,350 | $1.29 | 2d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-04remarks 412-char remark
-
2026-06-04status $99,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 411-char remark
-
2026-06-02$99,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,873 · $406/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,873 · $406/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,751
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$4,873
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,340
- − Management
- −$1,340
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $278
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$67
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,569/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ecorse Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2612930
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 7% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,957
- Composite
- 3.46/100
- National rank
- #10075
- State rank
- #536 of 540 in MI
Livability — Ecorse
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #348
- US rank
- #8880
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ecorse, MI
- City population
- 9,166
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,166
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 45% White 26% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 15% Native American 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Guatemala, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 13%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 102.51%
- Current HPI
- 404.5927
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+26.9% since first listed44 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Coming Soon $99,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-03-29 Rental Removed $1,400 REALSOURCE
- 2024-03-01 Listed for Rent $1,400 REALSOURCE
- 2024-01-24 Sold (Public Records) $83,500 Public Records
- 2024-01-17 Sold (MLS) $83,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-01-17 Sold (MLS) $83,500 REALCOMP
- 2023-12-29 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2023-12-29 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-12-23 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2023-12-23 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-12-18 Listed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-12-18 Listed $85,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-12-06 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-12-06 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2023-11-08 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-11-08 Listed $99,700 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-11-08 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2023-11-08 Listed $99,700 REALCOMP
- 2023-09-30 Listed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-09-30 Listed $99,900 REALCOMP
- 2023-09-27 Coming Soon — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-09-27 Coming Soon — REALCOMP
- 2014-12-01 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2014-11-30 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-11-26 Price Changed $800 REALCOMP
- 2014-11-15 Price Changed $1,500 REALCOMP
- 2014-02-12 Listed $800 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-02-12 Listed $2,000 REALCOMP
- 2009-07-19 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-04-03 Sold (MLS) $7,000 REALCOMP
- 2009-04-03 Sold (MLS) $7,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-03-18 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-02-09 Listed $10,000 REALCOMP
- 2009-02-09 Listed $10,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-01-30 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2008-12-12 Listed $15,000 REALCOMP
- 2008-12-12 Listed $15,000 REALCOMP
- 2008-12-12 Listed $15,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $77,250 Public Records
- 2003-10-17 Sold (MLS) $77,250 REALCOMP
- 2003-10-17 Sold (MLS) $77,250 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-09-12 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-08-14 Listed $78,000 REALCOMP
- 2003-08-14 Listed $78,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,873 · +16.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…