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817 Fernwood
B- Composite 66.01
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$180,000

817 Fernwood · Pleasantville, NJ 08232
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,000 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 105 Days on market
Built 1910 Est $217k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Affordable home near Northfield border. one extra room for storage. Owner anxious to sell, bring your offer ASAP. Tenant on month to month lease. sorry temporarelly no showings.

Key facts

  • Listed 105 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property listed for sale; Lead-based paint disclosure available

Exterior

  • Parking: No exterior parking listed; No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Gas water heater
  • Home design: Vinyl exterior; Zoned R-75; Not waterfront
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Patio; Concrete driveway; Shed; Paved road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on first floor
  • Flooring: Tile; Wall-to-wall carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Electric heating; Natural gas heating; Ceiling fans; Wall air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Storage; Blinds and shades; Screens
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry/utility room; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $396 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
  • Recommended offer: $164k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 4.5% in Pleasantville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#194 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Pleasantville Public School District (suburban): math 6% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #451 of 472 in NJ (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $163,800 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
8.93%
Cash-on-cash
9.44%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$217,000
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
817 Fernwood 0.00mi 3/1.5 1,000 (0%) 1mo $165,000 $165 99
733 Cresson Ave 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,056 (+6%) 0mo $335,000 $317 78
1414 Garfield Ave Ave 0.16mi 3/1.0 1,088 (+9%) 10mo $220,000 $202 67
800 Cedar Ln 0.37mi 3/1.0 939 (-6%) 21mo $240,000 $256 53
601 Portland Ave 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,148 (+15%) 21mo $249,000 $217 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.0%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-3,796
Equity at exit
$26,839
10-year hold
IRR
7.8%
Equity multiple
1.59×
Total profit
$29,732
Equity at exit
$15,563

Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08232

Home prices YoY
-17.3%
Active inventory
84
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,278 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$944
Tax from tax record
$384 /mo · $4,613/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$478
Net cashflow
$396

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,776
Max offer price $180,000
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$45,000
Closing costs
$5,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
134 W Ridgewood Ave Pleasantville, NJ 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 905 $2,500 $2.76 21d 1 0.63mi
199 Heather Croft #199 Egg Harbor Township, NJ 2.0 1.0 944 $2,100 $2.22 21d 1 0.99mi
173 Heather Croft Egg Harbor Township, NJ 2.0 1.0 944 $2,000 $2.12 21d 1 1.03mi
310 Heather Croft Egg Harbor Township, NJ 2.0 2.0 972 $2,200 $2.26 44d 1 1.04mi
272 Heather Croft #272 Egg Harbor Township, NJ 2.0 1.0 944 $2,300 $2.44 21d 1 1.04mi
124 Gravesmith Dr Egg Harbor Township, NJ 3.0 1.0 1288 $2,500 $1.94 44d 1 1.10mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-05-01
    historical Under Contract
  2. 2026-04-25
    status Active
  3. 2026-04-15
    historical Under Contract
  4. 2026-04-06
    price $180,000
  5. 2026-03-23
    status Active
  6. 2026-03-06
    historical Under Contract
  7. 2026-02-10
    listed $190,000 Active
  8. 2007-08-13
    soldstatus $170,000
  9. 2007-07-23
    soldstatus $170,000 177-char remark
    Show marketing remark (177 chars)

    Affordable home near Northfield border. one extra room for storage. Owner anxious to sell, bring your offer ASAP. Tenant on month to month lease. sorry temporarelly no showings.

  10. 2007-07-06
    historical 177-char remark
    Show marketing remark (177 chars)

    Affordable home near Northfield border. one extra room for storage. Owner anxious to sell, bring your offer ASAP. Tenant on month to month lease. sorry temporarelly no showings.

  11. 2007-06-14
    listed $175,000 177-char remark
    Show marketing remark (177 chars)

    Affordable home near Northfield border. one extra room for storage. Owner anxious to sell, bring your offer ASAP. Tenant on month to month lease. sorry temporarelly no showings.

  12. 2003-02-05
    soldstatus $55,000 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    THIS IS A HUD OWNED PROPERTY BEING SOLD AS IS. FOR BID INFORMATION GO TO WWW. FIRSTPRESTON. COM CASE #351-259576. IF NEEDED TERMITE TREATMENT/REPAIRS AT BUYERS EXPENSE. GAS HEAT, PORCH, FENCED YARD OFF STREET PARKING VACANT NO APPOINTMENT MUST USE HUD KEY

  13. 2002-11-19
    historical 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    THIS IS A HUD OWNED PROPERTY BEING SOLD AS IS. FOR BID INFORMATION GO TO WWW. FIRSTPRESTON. COM CASE #351-259576. IF NEEDED TERMITE TREATMENT/REPAIRS AT BUYERS EXPENSE. GAS HEAT, PORCH, FENCED YARD OFF STREET PARKING VACANT NO APPOINTMENT MUST USE HUD KEY

  14. 2002-11-14
    listed $45,500 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    THIS IS A HUD OWNED PROPERTY BEING SOLD AS IS. FOR BID INFORMATION GO TO WWW. FIRSTPRESTON. COM CASE #351-259576. IF NEEDED TERMITE TREATMENT/REPAIRS AT BUYERS EXPENSE. GAS HEAT, PORCH, FENCED YARD OFF STREET PARKING VACANT NO APPOINTMENT MUST USE HUD KEY

  15. 1992-05-07
    soldstatus $58,000
  16. 1980-02-01
    soldstatus $15,500
  17. 1979-10-01
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,613 · $384/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,613 · $384/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,337
− Mortgage interest
−$10,083
− Property taxes
−$4,613
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,187
− Management
−$2,187
− Depreciation
−$5,236
Taxable income
$2,130
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$511
After-tax cash flow
$4,244/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pleasantville Public School District
NCES district ID
3413200
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$39,569
Composite
14.34/100
National rank
#9440
State rank
#451 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Pleasantville

Score
73/100
State rank
#194
US rank
#5487

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living B- Crime C- Employment D- Housing C+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pleasantville, NJ
Population (ZIP)
20,200

Population outlook (Atlantic County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
268,948 people
By 2030
264,497 · -1.7%
By 2040
252,261 · -6.2%
By 2050
237,846 · -11.6%
By 2075
210,650 · -21.7%
By 2100
180,234 · -33.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 52% Black 33% Two or more races 22% White 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 14%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
30% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
44% English-only · Spanish 48% French/Haitian/Cajun 5% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Atlantic

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 50.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-18.1pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -3.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.0 2020: D+6.7 2016: D+6.2 2012: D+17.2 2008: D+15.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -72.51%
Current HPI
346.2085
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1700.0% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Contingent SJSRMLS
  • 2026-04-25 Relisted SJSRMLS
  • 2026-04-15 Contingent SJSRMLS
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $180,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2026-03-23 Relisted SJSRMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Contingent SJSRMLS
  • 2026-02-10 Listed $190,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2007-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
  • 2007-07-23 Sold (MLS) $170,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2007-07-06 Listing Removed SJSRMLS
  • 2007-06-14 Listed $175,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2003-02-05 Sold (MLS) $55,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2002-11-19 Listing Removed SJSRMLS
  • 2002-11-14 Listed $45,500 SJSRMLS
  • 1992-05-07 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
  • 1980-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,500 Public Records
  • 1979-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,613 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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