715 Grove Ave · Chase City, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 22.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.6/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +6.7/15.0
- Appreciation +6.0/10.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 1950 Cape Cod offering 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,632 sq. ft. of living space on a 0.23-acre lot in a quiet small-town neighborhood. This home is full of character and offers a great opportunity for buyers looking to add their own updates and personal touches. The eat-in kitchen features a vaulted ceiling and skylight. Updated vinyl windows provide improved efficiency, and the electric water heater was replaced approximately three years ago. Brand-new gutters with leaf guards help make exterior maintenance easier. Upstairs offers a flexible layout with a bedroom on one side and additional bonus space on the other, perfect for a hobby room or craft space. Outdoor features include a covered back deck, two elevated garden boxes, and a spacious backyard. A detached 21x21 outbuilding with electricity provides excellent workshop or storage space, and a 6x14 tool shed with electric service is attached to the covered carport. Great potential, bonus space, and workshop options. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Finished attic
- Spacious backyard
- Covered back deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $462 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $127k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 7.3% in Chase City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#238 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Mecklenburg County Public School District (rural): math 57% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #49 of 131 in VA (top 37%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 153 units permitted in Mecklenburg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
- Mecklenburg County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $55k; list at $140k implies a 154% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 22% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.17%
- DSCR
- 1.63
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $137,374
- List price
- $139,900
- Delta
- 1.84%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 225 Boswell Ave | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,501 (-8%) | 18mo | $173,000 | $115 | 62 |
| 953 N Main St | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,854 (+14%) | 10mo | $225,000 | $121 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.04% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.00×
- Total profit
- $39,351
- Equity at exit
- $55,480
- IRR
- 20.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.75×
- Total profit
- $107,906
- Equity at exit
- $80,123
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23924
- Home prices YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 41
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,809 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$175 /mo · $2,098/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$380
- Net cashflow
- $462
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $559 | -5% $511 | +0% $462 | +5% $414 | +10% $366 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $319 | -5% $391 | +0% $462 | +5% $534 | +10% $605 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $533 | -0.5pp $498 | base $462 | +0.5pp $426 | +1.0pp $389 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $139,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $139,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $139,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-04-24price $139,900 1025-char remark
Show marketing remark (1025 chars)
Charming 1950 Cape Cod offering 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,632 sq. ft. of living space on a 0.23-acre lot in a quiet small-town neighborhood. This home is full of character and offers a great opportunity for buyers looking to add their own updates and personal touches. The eat-in kitchen features a vaulted ceiling and skylight. Updated vinyl windows provide improved efficiency, and the electric water heater was replaced approximately three years ago. Brand-new gutters with leaf guards help make exterior maintenance easier. Upstairs offers a flexible layout with a bedroom on one side and additional bonus space on the other, perfect for a hobby room or craft space. Outdoor features include a covered back deck, two elevated garden boxes, and a spacious backyard. A detached 21x21 outbuilding with electricity provides excellent workshop or storage space, and a 6x14 tool shed with electric service is attached to the covered carport. Great potential, bonus space, and workshop options. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-02-28$149,000 Active 1025-char remark
Show marketing remark (1025 chars)
Charming 1950 Cape Cod offering 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,632 sq. ft. of living space on a 0.23-acre lot in a quiet small-town neighborhood. This home is full of character and offers a great opportunity for buyers looking to add their own updates and personal touches. The eat-in kitchen features a vaulted ceiling and skylight. Updated vinyl windows provide improved efficiency, and the electric water heater was replaced approximately three years ago. Brand-new gutters with leaf guards help make exterior maintenance easier. Upstairs offers a flexible layout with a bedroom on one side and additional bonus space on the other, perfect for a hobby room or craft space. Outdoor features include a covered back deck, two elevated garden boxes, and a spacious backyard. A detached 21x21 outbuilding with electricity provides excellent workshop or storage space, and a 6x14 tool shed with electric service is attached to the covered carport. Great potential, bonus space, and workshop options. Schedule your showing today!
-
2025-12-03price $149,900
-
2025-10-25$153,000 Active
-
2025-04-11price $159,000
-
2025-03-17$169,000 Active
-
2009-09-22historical
-
2007-06-22soldstatus $55,000
-
2005-12-07$140,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,710
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$2,098
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,737
- − Management
- −$1,737
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable income
- $3,532
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$848
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,701/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mecklenburg County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5102460
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -29.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,491
- Composite
- 53.55/100
- National rank
- #1446
- State rank
- #49 of 131 in VA
Livability — Chase City
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #238
- US rank
- #8038
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chase City, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,709
Population outlook (Mecklenburg County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 28,332 people
- By 2030
- 26,742 · -5.6%
- By 2040
- 23,502 · -17.0%
- By 2050
- 20,851 · -26.4%
- By 2075
- 17,525 · -38.1%
- By 2100
- 14,524 · -48.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 36% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Mecklenburg
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 39.4% · R 60.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.2pp toward R · 2008: -4.6pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+15.2 2016: R+11.3 2012: R+7.2 2008: R+4.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.04%
- Current HPI
- 155.5959
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
-0.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $139,900 SPLLAR
- 2026-02-28 Listed $149,000 SPLLAR
- 2025-12-03 Price Changed $149,900 SPLLAR
- 2025-10-25 Listed $153,000 SPLLAR
- 2025-04-11 Price Changed $159,000 SPLLAR
- 2025-03-17 Listed $169,000 SPLLAR
- 2009-09-22 Listing Removed — CVRMLS
- 2007-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2005-12-07 Listed $140,000 CVRMLS
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $273 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…