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715 Grove Ave
B Composite 73.1
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.6/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.7/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$139,900

715 Grove Ave · Chase City, VA 23924
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,632 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 110 Days on market
Built 1950 10,018 sqft lot $86/sqft · at area comps Est $137k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 1950 Cape Cod offering 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,632 sq. ft. of living space on a 0.23-acre lot in a quiet small-town neighborhood. This home is full of character and offers a great opportunity for buyers looking to add their own updates and personal touches. The eat-in kitchen features a vaulted ceiling and skylight. Updated vinyl windows provide improved efficiency, and the electric water heater was replaced approximately three years ago. Brand-new gutters with leaf guards help make exterior maintenance easier. Upstairs offers a flexible layout with a bedroom on one side and additional bonus space on the other, perfect for a hobby room or craft space. Outdoor features include a covered back deck, two elevated garden boxes, and a spacious backyard. A detached 21x21 outbuilding with electricity provides excellent workshop or storage space, and a 6x14 tool shed with electric service is attached to the covered carport. Great potential, bonus space, and workshop options. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Finished attic
  • Spacious backyard
  • Covered back deck

Tags

FINISHED ATTICUPDATED VINYL WINDOWSNEWER ELECTRIC WATER HEATERBRAND-NEW GUTTERSCOVERED BACK DECKSPACIOUS BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $462 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $127k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 7.3% in Chase City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#238 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Mecklenburg County Public School District (rural): math 57% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #49 of 131 in VA (top 37%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 153 units permitted in Mecklenburg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
  • Mecklenburg County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $55k; list at $140k implies a 154% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 22% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $127,309 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
10.26%
Cash-on-cash
14.17%
DSCR
1.63
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$137,374
List price
$139,900
Delta
1.84%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
225 Boswell Ave 0.10mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,501 (-8%) 18mo $173,000 $115 62
953 N Main St 0.45mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,854 (+14%) 10mo $225,000 $121 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.04% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.6%
Equity multiple
2.00×
Total profit
$39,351
Equity at exit
$55,480
10-year hold
IRR
20.8%
Equity multiple
3.75×
Total profit
$107,906
Equity at exit
$80,123

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23924

Home prices YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
41
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,809 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax est. 1.5%
$175 /mo · $2,098/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$380
Net cashflow
$462

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,224
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $559 -5% $511 +0% $462 +5% $414 +10% $366
Rent -10% $319 -5% $391 +0% $462 +5% $534 +10% $605
Rate -1.0pp $533 -0.5pp $498 base $462 +0.5pp $426 +1.0pp $389

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 110 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,900 Active 109 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,900 Active 108 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,900 Active 107 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $139,900 Active 105 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,900 Active 104 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $139,900 Active 102 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,900 Active 101 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 100 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,900 Active 99 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $139,900 Active 96 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,900 Active 95 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,900 Active 94 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,900 Active 93 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 92 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 91 DOM
  17. 2026-04-24
    price $139,900 1025-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1025 chars)

    Charming 1950 Cape Cod offering 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,632 sq. ft. of living space on a 0.23-acre lot in a quiet small-town neighborhood. This home is full of character and offers a great opportunity for buyers looking to add their own updates and personal touches. The eat-in kitchen features a vaulted ceiling and skylight. Updated vinyl windows provide improved efficiency, and the electric water heater was replaced approximately three years ago. Brand-new gutters with leaf guards help make exterior maintenance easier. Upstairs offers a flexible layout with a bedroom on one side and additional bonus space on the other, perfect for a hobby room or craft space. Outdoor features include a covered back deck, two elevated garden boxes, and a spacious backyard. A detached 21x21 outbuilding with electricity provides excellent workshop or storage space, and a 6x14 tool shed with electric service is attached to the covered carport. Great potential, bonus space, and workshop options. Schedule your showing today!

  18. 2026-02-28
    listed $149,000 Active 1025-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1025 chars)

    Charming 1950 Cape Cod offering 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,632 sq. ft. of living space on a 0.23-acre lot in a quiet small-town neighborhood. This home is full of character and offers a great opportunity for buyers looking to add their own updates and personal touches. The eat-in kitchen features a vaulted ceiling and skylight. Updated vinyl windows provide improved efficiency, and the electric water heater was replaced approximately three years ago. Brand-new gutters with leaf guards help make exterior maintenance easier. Upstairs offers a flexible layout with a bedroom on one side and additional bonus space on the other, perfect for a hobby room or craft space. Outdoor features include a covered back deck, two elevated garden boxes, and a spacious backyard. A detached 21x21 outbuilding with electricity provides excellent workshop or storage space, and a 6x14 tool shed with electric service is attached to the covered carport. Great potential, bonus space, and workshop options. Schedule your showing today!

  19. 2025-12-03
    price $149,900
  20. 2025-10-25
    listed $153,000 Active
  21. 2025-04-11
    price $159,000
  22. 2025-03-17
    listed $169,000 Active
  23. 2009-09-22
    historical
  24. 2007-06-22
    soldstatus $55,000
  25. 2005-12-07
    listed $140,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,710
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$2,098
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,737
− Management
−$1,737
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$3,532
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$848
After-tax cash flow
$4,701/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mecklenburg County Public School District
NCES district ID
5102460
Math proficiency
57% ▼ -29.00%
Reading proficiency
72% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$37,491
Composite
53.55/100
National rank
#1446
State rank
#49 of 131 in VA

Livability — Chase City

Score
70/100
State rank
#238
US rank
#8038

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Chase City, VA
Population (ZIP)
5,709

Population outlook (Mecklenburg County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,332 people
By 2030
26,742 · -5.6%
By 2040
23,502 · -17.0%
By 2050
20,851 · -26.4%
By 2075
17,525 · -38.1%
By 2100
14,524 · -48.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (60%)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 36% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Mecklenburg

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.8) · D 39.4% · R 60.2%
2008→2024 swing
-16.2pp toward R · 2008: -4.6pp · 2024: -20.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.8 2020: R+15.2 2016: R+11.3 2012: R+7.2 2008: R+4.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.04%
Current HPI
155.5959
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.1% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $139,900 SPLLAR
  • 2026-02-28 Listed $149,000 SPLLAR
  • 2025-12-03 Price Changed $149,900 SPLLAR
  • 2025-10-25 Listed $153,000 SPLLAR
  • 2025-04-11 Price Changed $159,000 SPLLAR
  • 2025-03-17 Listed $169,000 SPLLAR
  • 2009-09-22 Listing Removed CVRMLS
  • 2007-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 2005-12-07 Listed $140,000 CVRMLS

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $273 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…