3212 Keemont Dr · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.4/30.0
- ARV discount +10.9/15.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$164,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
All brick bungalow in Washington Local School District. Convenient West Toledo location. 2.5-car detached garage. Eat-in kitchen has access to the enclosed porch. Replacement windows. Finished dormer is a big bedroom. Bsmt has a rec room w/bar & wine storage. Possession at closing. Home warranty. Seller will remove wheelchair ramp if buyer insists.
Key facts
- Brick bungalow
- West toledo location
- Finished dormer
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached concrete garage (2-car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; No shared/common walls; Not attached
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Built (year source: public records)
- Exterior features: Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (approx. 10 x 11); Dining room on main level (approx. 11 x 12)
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on upper level (approx. 14 x 15); Bedroom on main level (approx. 11 x 11); Bedroom on main level (approx. 11 x 11)
- Flooring: Carpet; Plank
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (forced air, natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Storage; 6 total rooms; Basement (block)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2 ($25/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (13.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $142k (13.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Washington Local (urban): math 37% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #528 of 656 in OH (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Meadowvale Elementary School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,055 of 1,584 statewide, top 68%, 528 students, 51% FRL); Whitmer High School (math 38% / reading 48%, grade F, #494 of 781 statewide, top 63%, 2,247 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools at 46% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 118 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $94k; list at $165k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.05%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $178,352
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6139 Secor Rd | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,231 (-2%) | 5mo | $161,000 | $131 | 81 |
| 6115 Burdette St | 0.06mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,144 (-9%) | 2mo | $169,900 | $149 | 74 |
| 5845 Georgedale Rd | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,232 (-2%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $118 | 73 |
| 3125 Brock Dr | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,407 (+12%) | 1mo | $186,000 | $132 | 69 |
| 5925 Murnen Rd | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,310 (+4%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $153 | 66 |
| 5902 Deane Dr | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,210 (-4%) | 6mo | $172,000 | $142 | 64 |
| 5646 Planet Ave | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,298 (+3%) | 1mo | $218,900 | $169 | 55 |
| 6111 Buchanan Dr | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,176 (-6%) | 7mo | $94,500 | $80 | 55 |
| 5718 Rambo Ln | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-8%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $148 | 52 |
| 5934 Midwest Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,360 (+8%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $132 | 51 |
| 5658 Adelaide Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,225 (-2%) | 7mo | $85,000 | $69 | 49 |
| 6704 Summerlyn Lakes Dr | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 1,438 (+14%) | 7mo | $340,000 | $236 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-26,147
- Equity at exit
- $24,587
- IRR
- -7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-20,777
- Equity at exit
- $14,258
Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43613
- Home prices YoY
- -20.7%
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 118
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,423 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$188 /mo · $2,261/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$299
- Net cashflow
- $2
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $95 | -5% $49 | +0% $2 | +5% $-45 | +10% $-91 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-110 | -5% $-54 | +0% $2 | +5% $58 | +10% $114 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $85 | -0.5pp $44 | base $2 | +0.5pp $-41 | +1.0pp $-84 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,225
- Closing costs
- $4,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3145 Brock Dr Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 15d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 5831 Gany Mede Dr Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1004 | $1,600 | $1.59 | 15d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 3065 Tremainsville Rd Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $929 | $1.16 | 15d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 6022 Clover Ln Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $1,750 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 5360 Secor Rd Unit 316 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $699 | $0.78 | 25d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2338 Bodette Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,800 | $1.57 | 23d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2527 Arletta St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 5834 Yermo Dr Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 870 | $909 | $1.04 | 15d | 12 | 1.26mi |
| 7076 Middlebury Dr Lambertville, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $2,495 | $2.00 | 15d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2347 Bucklew Dr Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 15d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2132 Stirrup Ln Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,035 | $1.15 | 45d | 3 | 1.34mi |
| 5941 Tetherwood Dr Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1364 | $1,695 | $1.24 | 25d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 7367 Eaglestone Blvd Lambertville, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 829 | $1,170 | $1.41 | 15d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $164,900 Pending 8 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $164,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $164,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $164,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 249-char remark
-
2026-06-07$164,900 Active 4 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,261 · $188/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,417 · $201/mo
- Expected delta
- +$156/yr (+$13/mo · 6.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,072
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,237
- − Property taxes
- −$2,261
- − Insurance
- −$824
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,366
- − Management
- −$1,366
- − Depreciation
- −$4,797
- Taxable loss
- −$2,778
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$667
- After-tax cash flow
- $692/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Washington Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904823
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,105
- Composite
- 35.36/100
- National rank
- #4957
- State rank
- #528 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,780
- Household income
- $64,384
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 917.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 15% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.37%
- Current HPI
- 239.1345
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.30%
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+581.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $164,900 NORIS
- 2014-06-19 Sold (Public Records) $94,000 Public Records
- 2014-06-06 Sold (MLS) $94,000 NORIS
- 2014-04-25 Listed $94,000 NORIS
- 1989-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 1965-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $24,200 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,261 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…