2717 E Park Ln · Erie, PA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Ready to simplify and enjoy easy living? Welcome to Meadow Green Acres - this spacious double-wide Champion manufactured home offers a comfortable layout and a warm, homey feel. Most interior walls are finished in drywall (excluding the bathrooms and laundry room), and you'll be relaxing on either of the two porches with low-maintenance composite decking. Outside, you'll also find a storage shed, and custom blinds were installed throughout the home in 2025. The primary bedroom features an ensuite bath and a large walk-in closet for plenty of storage. Community amenities include a beautiful inground pool and a recreational center available for gatherings. Conveniently located near the Erie I
Key facts
- Ensuite bath
- Storage shed
- Inground pool
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located on a private, privately maintained paved road; Zoning: R-1
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $417 monthly fee; Association fee covers snow removal and trash
Exterior
- Parking: Paved parking; 2 parking spaces
- Security: Fire alarm
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential mobile home (double wide)
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Window coverings and drapes; Storage
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $196 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 5.2% in Erie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#109 in PA, #840 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime D+, employment F.
- Millcreek Township SD (suburban): math 46% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #105 of 539 in PA (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 364 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Erie County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.64%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $69,136
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- 59.11%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4065 W Ridge Rd Lot 11 | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,404 (-9%) | 22mo | $37,000 | $26 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-5,047
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.42×
- Total profit
- $12,845
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16506
- Active inventory
- 96
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,740 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$139 /mo · $1,666/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$417
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$365
- Net cashflow
- $196
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2412 Powell Ave Erie, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,550 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $417 · $5,004/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending 749-char remark
-
2026-04-28$110,000 Active 749-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,666 · $139/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,702 · $142/mo
- Expected delta
- +$36/yr (+$3/mo · 2.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,882
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,666
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,671
- − Management
- −$1,671
- − HOA
- −$5,004
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $959
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$230
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,124/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Millcreek Township SD
- NCES district ID
- 4215330
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,734
- Composite
- 47.82/100
- National rank
- #2224
- State rank
- #105 of 539 in PA
Livability — Erie
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #109
- US rank
- #840
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Erie County · 92,215 people
- City population
- 92,215
- Metro
- Erie, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,070
- Household income
- $81,060
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 894.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 272,159 people
- By 2030
- 266,299 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 250,987 · -7.8%
- By 2050
- 234,925 · -13.7%
- By 2075
- 199,164 · -26.8%
- By 2100
- 162,985 · -40.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 5% Asian 4% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.0% · R 50.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.9pp toward R · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: -1.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.0 2020: D+1.0 2016: R+2.0 2012: D+16.9 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -152.21%
- Current HPI
- 228.7506
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Erie, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Pending — GEBOR
- 2026-04-28 Listed $110,000 GEBOR
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2026): $1,666 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…