137 South St · Allentown, PA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 16.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great opportunity to transform this spacious attached row home in a quiet, desirable neighborhood. Featuring 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, a large living and dining room, dry basement, oversized front porch, and a generously sized backyard with rear street access offering potential for a private parking pad. Ideal for a homeowner looking to build equity or an investor seeking strong upside potential. With solid bones and plenty of space, this fixer-upper is ready for your vision and renovation ideas.
Key facts
- Rear street access
- Private parking pad
- Dry basement
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage; Off-street parking; Parking pad; On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 2-story building
- Construction: Brick, brick veneer, block and wood siding construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Basement and slab foundations
- Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the second floor (13.6 x 9.6)
- Flooring: Hardwood floors; Vinyl floors
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Dining area; Eat-in kitchen; Fireplace in family room
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $159k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $383 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $159k).
- Recommended offer: $157k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 5.3% in Allentown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#171 in PA, #1,440 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D.
- Allentown City SD (urban): math 10% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #513 of 539 in PA (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 58 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 765 units permitted in Lehigh County in 2024 (286 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lehigh County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($157k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.31%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $219,634
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203 E Union St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (-2%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $147 | 85 |
| 268 E Mosser St | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 | 1,138 (0%) | 9mo | $240,000 | $211 | 80 |
| 243 E Elm | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,056 (-7%) | 7mo | $189,900 | $180 | 69 |
| 339 E Howe | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,140 (+0%) | 9mo | $167,000 | $146 | 69 |
| 334 E Mosser St | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 | 1,080 (-5%) | 7mo | $255,900 | $237 | 68 |
| 132 W Chew St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,160 (+2%) | 1mo | $192,000 | $166 | 62 |
| 38 Pittston St | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,208 (+6%) | 6mo | $245,000 | $203 | 56 |
| 172 Chestnut St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,064 (-6%) | 3mo | $197,000 | $185 | 55 |
| 804 S Armour St | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 1,008 (-11%) | 4mo | $245,000 | $243 | 50 |
| 127 Bryan St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,036 (-9%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $145 | 48 |
| 708 S Armour St | 0.52mi | 3/2.5 | 1,008 (-11%) | 6mo | $275,000 | $273 | 45 |
| 701 S Front St | 0.52mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,272 (+12%) | 6mo | $245,000 | $193 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.57% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $5,507
- Equity at exit
- $23,707
- IRR
- 15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.50×
- Total profit
- $66,676
- Equity at exit
- $13,747
Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18109
- Home prices YoY
- -21.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.6%
- Active inventory
- 58
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,852 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$834
- Tax from tax record
- −$181 /mo · $2,170/yr
- Insurance
- −$66
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$389
- Net cashflow
- $383
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $473 | -5% $428 | +0% $383 | +5% $338 | +10% $293 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $236 | -5% $309 | +0% $383 | +5% $456 | +10% $529 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $463 | -0.5pp $423 | base $383 | +0.5pp $341 | +1.0pp $299 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,750
- Closing costs
- $4,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 503 S Austin St Unit 524 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,750 | $1.75 | 24d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 503 S Austin St Unit 520 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 15d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 503 S Austin St Unit A Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 3d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 503 S Austin St Unit 514 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 15d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 503 S Austin St Unit 503 A Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,900 | $1.90 | 15d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 503 S Austin St Unit 517 A Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,900 | $1.90 | 15d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 230 E Fairview St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1414 | $2,300 | $1.63 | 24d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 303 E Union St Unit 1st Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 977 | $1,550 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 333 River Dr Allentown, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 869 | $2,025 | $2.33 | 3d | 13 | 0.45mi |
| 501 E Walnut St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,795 | $2.11 | 3d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 717 S Filmore St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,745 | $1.84 | 3d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 236 N Front St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,800 | $1.76 | 3d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 208 Ridge Ave Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1396 | $1,700 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 208 Ridge Ave Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1396 | $1,600 | $1.15 | 3d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1012 Constitution Dr Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,495 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 132 Chew St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1160 | $1,995 | $1.72 | 15d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 201 N 3rd St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1145 | $2,128 | $1.86 | 3d | 4 | 0.81mi |
| 305 N 2nd St #1 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 757 | $1,500 | $1.98 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 817 E Turner St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,795 | $2.11 | 3d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 605 E Susquehanna St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $2,500 | $2.29 | 15d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 146 W Susquehanna St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,995 | $1.66 | 15d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 949 E Linden St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $1,795 | $2.04 | 15d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 120 N 4th St Unit 2 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,475 | $1.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1509 S Albert St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,750 | $1.90 | 22d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 407 N 4th St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1321 | $1,550 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 45 N 6th St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1002 | $3,616 | $3.61 | 3d | 13 | 1.11mi |
| 26 N 6th St Allentown, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 953 | $2,224 | $2.33 | 3d | 9 | 1.14mi |
| 520 W Cumberland St Allentown, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 929 | $2,293 | $2.47 | 3d | 13 | 1.16mi |
| 517 Elliger St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1235 | $1,700 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 702 Saint John St Apt 3 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 3d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 218 N 6th St Apt 3 Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,600 | $2.13 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 27 N 7th St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 840 | $2,222 | $2.64 | 3d | 11 | 1.22mi |
| 621 W Turner St Apt 14 Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,395 | $1.74 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 107 N 7th St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 855 | $2,972 | $3.47 | 3d | 23 | 1.23mi |
| 427 N 5th St Unit 2 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,400 | $1.75 | 15d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 743 N Halstead St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1356 | $1,800 | $1.33 | 3d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 748 S Hall St Unit 1 Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1183 | $2,000 | $1.69 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 626 Oak St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1396 | $1,900 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 395 W Allen St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,800 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 451 W Liberty St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1126 | $1,395 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $159,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $159,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 498-char remark
-
2026-05-31$159,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,170 · $181/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,341 · $195/mo
- Expected delta
- +$171/yr (+$14/mo · 7.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,229
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,906
- − Property taxes
- −$2,170
- − Insurance
- −$795
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,778
- − Management
- −$1,778
- − Depreciation
- −$4,625
- Taxable income
- $2,176
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$522
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,068/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Allentown City SD
- NCES district ID
- 4202280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,337
- Composite
- 12.43/100
- National rank
- #9630
- State rank
- #513 of 539 in PA
Livability — Allentown
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #171
- US rank
- #1440
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Allentown, PA
- County
- Lehigh County · 333,019 people
- City population
- 172,996
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,446
- Household income
- $58,031
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 898.0
Population outlook (Lehigh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,957 people
- By 2030
- 408,319 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 440,007 · +12.0%
- By 2050
- 475,940 · +21.1%
- By 2075
- 590,448 · +50.3%
- By 2100
- 690,314 · +75.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 55% White 33% Two or more races 15% Black 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 27% Cuban 1% Dominican 18%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2% Romanian 1% Polish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 53% English-only · Spanish 37% Arabic 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lehigh
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.9pp toward R · 2008: 15.6pp · 2024: 2.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.7 2020: D+7.6 2016: D+4.4 2012: D+7.5 2008: D+15.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.00%
- Current HPI
- 342.9027
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.57%
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $159,000 GLVRMLS
Property tax history
-1.9%/yrLatest (2026): $2,170 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…