3736 Park Ave · Hot Springs, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Double the opportunity! Two properties, endless possibilities! Rare offering featuring approximately 1.08 acres across two adjacent parcels on historic Park Avenue, between downtown Hot Springs and Hot Springs Village. This unique package includes a fixer-upper main house ready for renovation, plus a brand-new cabin shell next door, offering exceptional flexibility for investors, contractors, or buyers seeking multiple income opportunities. Features North Garland County water and city sewer. Gorgeous creek runs along the back, adding natural beauty and a peaceful setting that’s increasingly hard to find. Outside the city limits and with no restrictions, the potential here is wide open. Opportunities like this are hard to find, bring your vision and unlock the possibilities! Listing broker owns the subject property. Listing broker does not provide buyer or seller representation in the State of Arkansas.
Key facts
- 1.08 acres
- Historic park avenue
- City sewer
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $251 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (1.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 2.8% in Hot Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#140 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
- Fountain Lake School District (rural): math 43% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #49 of 238 in AR (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 363 active listings in the ZIP; 117 units permitted in Garland County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Garland County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 128 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $145k implies a 607% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1936 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 128 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1936 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.42%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $275,400
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 356 Fox Estates Trl | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,800 (-12%) | 9mo | $243,000 | $135 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-7,564
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- 4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $13,769
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71901
- Home prices YoY
- -3.6%
- Active inventory
- 363
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,423 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$52 /mo · $625/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$299
- Net cashflow
- $251
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $145,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $145,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $145,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $145,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $145,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $145,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $145,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $145,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $145,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $145,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $145,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $145,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-02-11$145,000 Active 921-char remark
Show marketing remark (921 chars)
Double the opportunity! Two properties, endless possibilities! Rare offering featuring approximately 1.08 acres across two adjacent parcels on historic Park Avenue, between downtown Hot Springs and Hot Springs Village. This unique package includes a fixer-upper main house ready for renovation, plus a brand-new cabin shell next door, offering exceptional flexibility for investors, contractors, or buyers seeking multiple income opportunities. Features North Garland County water and city sewer. Gorgeous creek runs along the back, adding natural beauty and a peaceful setting that’s increasingly hard to find. Outside the city limits and with no restrictions, the potential here is wide open. Opportunities like this are hard to find, bring your vision and unlock the possibilities! Listing broker owns the subject property. Listing broker does not provide buyer or seller representation in the State of Arkansas.
-
2025-03-07price $160,000
-
2024-12-21price $172,500
-
2024-10-30price $185,000
-
2019-03-18soldstatus $20,500
-
2019-03-18$20,500
-
2019-03-12status Under Contract
-
2019-03-08soldstatus $20,500 Sold
-
2019-02-05$16,500 New Listing
-
1995-02-22soldstatus $27,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $625 · $52/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $928 · $77/mo
- Expected delta
- +$303/yr (+$25/mo · 48.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,073
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$625
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,366
- − Management
- −$1,366
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $651
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$156
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,857/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fountain Lake School District
- NCES district ID
- 0506420
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,435
- Composite
- 35.99/100
- National rank
- #4789
- State rank
- #49 of 238 in AR
Livability — Hot Springs
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #140
- US rank
- #12498
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Garland County · 76,414 people
- City population
- 76,414
- Metro
- Hot Springs, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,937
- Household income
- $53,514
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 961.0
Population outlook (Garland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 100,343 people
- By 2030
- 101,880 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 104,804 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 107,292 · +6.9%
- By 2075
- 113,182 · +12.8%
- By 2100
- 112,247 · +11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 7% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Garland
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.2) · D 30.8% · R 67.0% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.3pp toward R · 2008: -25.0pp · 2024: -36.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.2 2020: R+34.0 2016: R+34.1 2012: R+29.9 2008: R+25.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -11.75%
- Current HPI
- 317.2542
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Hot Springs, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+437.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-11 Listed $145,000 HARMLS
- 2025-03-07 Price Changed $160,000 HSBOR
- 2024-12-21 Price Changed $172,500 HSBOR
- 2024-10-30 Price Changed $185,000 HSBOR
- 2019-03-18 Listed $20,500 HSBOR
- 2019-03-18 Sold (MLS) $20,500 HSBOR
- 2019-03-12 Pending — CARMLS
- 2019-03-08 Sold (MLS) $20,500 CARMLS
- 2019-02-05 Listed $16,500 CARMLS
- 1995-02-22 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $625 · -1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…