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The Coleman Plan 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 34.86
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • DSCR +2.5/10.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$284,990

The Coleman Plan · Bessemer, AL 35022
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,053 sqft · SingleFamily · 327 Days on market
Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The Coleman greets you with a covered front porch entry that opens to a welcoming dining room, or study if you prefer. Expansive sight lines across the back of the home connect the family room, breakfast nook, and kitchen with an optional center island. Upstairs you'll find four bedrooms including an owner's suite with a large walk-in closet, a secondary bathroom with compartmentalized space that allows for multiple people to use it at the same time, and a convenient, central laundry room.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Breakfast nook
  • Kitchen

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHDINING ROOMFAMILY ROOMBREAKFAST NOOKKITCHENOWNER'S SUITE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $284,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $297,276.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $285k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-235 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $263k (7.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (19.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $230k (19.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#331 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment F.
  • Bessemer City (suburban): math 3% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #120 of 129 in AL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 87% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Westhills Elementary School (math 8% / reading 27%, grade F, #486 of 627 statewide, top 79%, 315 students, 75% FRL); Bessemer City Middle School (math 3% / reading 23%, grade F, #215 of 257 statewide, top 84%, 674 students, 88% FRL); Bessemer City High School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #276 of 305 statewide, top 95%, 850 students, 61% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.8%/yr); 390 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 327 days — a 12% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $230,332 (19.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 327 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
5.35%
Cash-on-cash
-3.38%
DSCR
0.85
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$297,276
List price
$284,990
Delta
-4.13%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5376 Tailwinds Dr 0.01mi 4/2.5 2,053 (0%) 1mo $295,945 $144 99
5368 Tailwinds Dr 0.01mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,933 (-6%) 1mo $281,790 $146 84
5380 Tailwinds Dr 0.01mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,933 (-6%) 2mo $293,010 $152 83
5384 Tailwinds Dr 0.01mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,933 (-6%) 2mo $303,175 $157 83
5393 Tailwinds Dr 0.06mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,933 (-6%) 3mo $288,435 $149 80
5360 Tailwinds Dr 0.01mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,231 (+9%) 0mo $299,995 $134 80
5365 Tailwinds Dr 0.06mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,231 (+9%) 0mo $314,235 $141 78
5457 Headwinds Ln 0.09mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,933 (-6%) 5mo $282,850 $146 77
5452 Headwinds Ln 0.09mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,231 (+9%) 4mo $297,320 $133 73
5445 Headwinds Ln 0.09mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,231 (+9%) 5mo $315,360 $141 72
87 Carriage House Rd 0.33mi 4/2.0 1,926 (-6%) 5mo $218,000 $113 68
79 Carriage House Rd 0.35mi 4/2.0 1,926 (-6%) 5mo $215,000 $112 67

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.5%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-50,918
Equity at exit
$44,325
10-year hold
IRR
-1.2%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-8,050
Equity at exit
$25,703

Cash invested: $83,237 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.
Balanced market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
19 active · 30 under contract
Months of supply
3.7 mo (27%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$284,990 ($153/sqft)
Median days on market
187 d
This list price
47% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
-5.6% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 35022

Home prices YoY
-20.2%
Rents YoY
14.8%
Active inventory
390
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,303 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,559
Tax est. 1.5%
$372 /mo · $4,459/yr
Insurance
$124
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$484
Net cashflow
$-235

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,601
Max offer price $263,302
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-29 -5% $-132 +0% $-235 +5% $-338 +10% $-440
Rent -10% $-417 -5% $-326 +0% $-235 +5% $-144 +10% $-53
Rate -1.0pp $-85 -0.5pp $-159 base $-235 +0.5pp $-312 +1.0pp $-390

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,319
Closing costs
$8,918
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5475 Cedar Creek Dr Bessemer, AL 4.0 2.5 2565 $2,550 $0.99 41d 1 0.26mi
63 Carriage House Rd SW Bessemer, AL 3.0 2.0 1802 $1,780 $0.99 65d 1 0.39mi
505 Westchester Dr Bessemer, AL 4.0 2.0 1706 $1,850 $1.08 92d 1 0.66mi
26 Royal Coach Cir Bessemer, AL 3.0 2.0 1612 $1,676 $1.04 19d 1 0.66mi
4737 Rosser Loop Dr Bessemer, AL 3.0 2.0 1638 $1,646 $1.00 25d 1 1.13mi
4758 Rosser Loop Dr Bessemer, AL 3.0 2.0 1469 $1,880 $1.28 15d 1 1.18mi
5725 Riverbirch Dr Bessemer, AL 3.0 2.0 1620 $2,050 $1.27 15d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $284,990 Active 327 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    days on market $284,990 Active 326 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $284,990 Active 325 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $284,990 Active 324 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $284,990 Active 323 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    pricedays on market $284,990 Active 322 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $283,900 Active 319 DOM
  8. 2026-07-30
    days on market $283,900 Active 317 DOM
  9. 2026-07-28
    days on market $283,900 Active 316 DOM
  10. 2026-07-26
    days on market $283,900 Active 314 DOM
  11. 2026-07-24
    days on market $283,900 Active 312 DOM
  12. 2026-07-23
    days on market $283,900 Active 311 DOM
  13. 2026-07-22
    days on market $283,900 Active 310 DOM
  14. 2026-07-21
    days on market $283,900 Active 309 DOM
  15. 2026-07-20
    days on market $283,900 Active 308 DOM
  16. 2026-07-19
    days on market $283,900 Active 306 DOM
  17. 2026-07-18
    days on market $283,900 Active 305 DOM
  18. 2026-07-16
    days on market $283,900 Active 304 DOM
  19. 2026-07-15
    days on market $283,900 Active 303 DOM
  20. 2026-07-14
    days on market $283,900 Active 302 DOM
  21. 2026-07-13
    days on market $283,900 Active 301 DOM
  22. 2026-07-13
    days on market $283,900 Active 300 DOM
  23. 2026-07-11
    days on market $283,900 Active 299 DOM
  24. 2026-07-10
    days on market $283,900 Active 298 DOM
  25. 2026-07-09
    days on market $283,900 Active 297 DOM
  26. 2026-07-07
    days on market $283,900 Active 295 DOM
  27. 2026-07-06
    days on market $283,900 Active 294 DOM
  28. 2026-07-05
    days on market $283,900 Active 293 DOM
  29. 2026-07-03
    days on market $283,900 Active 291 DOM
  30. 2026-07-02
    pricedays on market $283,900 Active 290 DOM
  31. 2026-07-01
    days on market $281,900 Active 289 DOM
  32. 2026-06-30
    days on market $281,900 Active 288 DOM
  33. 2026-06-29
    days on market $281,900 Active 287 DOM
  34. 2026-06-28
    days on market $281,900 Active 286 DOM
  35. 2026-06-27
    days on market $281,900 Active 285 DOM
  36. 2026-06-27
    days on market $281,900 Active 284 DOM
  37. 2026-06-25
    days on market $281,900 Active 282 DOM
  38. 2026-06-22
    days on market $281,900 Active 280 DOM
  39. 2026-06-21
    days on market $281,900 Active 279 DOM
  40. 2026-06-18
    days on market $281,900 Active 276 DOM
  41. 2026-06-17
    days on market $281,900 Active 275 DOM
  42. 2026-06-16
    days on market $281,900 Active 274 DOM
  43. 2026-06-15
    days on market $281,900 Active 273 DOM
  44. 2026-06-13
    days on market $281,900 Active 271 DOM
  45. 2026-06-10
    days on market $281,900 Active 268 DOM
  46. 2026-06-09
    days on market $281,900 Active 267 DOM
  47. 2026-06-08
    days on market $281,900 Active 266 DOM
  48. 2026-06-07
    days on market $281,900 Active 265 DOM
  49. 2026-06-05
    days on market $281,900 Active 262 DOM
  50. 2026-06-03
    days on market $281,900 Active 261 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,640
− Mortgage interest
−$16,652
− Property taxes
−$4,459
− Insurance
−$1,486
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,211
− Management
−$2,211
− Depreciation
−$8,648
Taxable loss
−$8,028
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,927
After-tax cash flow
$-891/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

The Coleman Plan is a move-in-ready single-family home with a good condition score, featuring a modern kitchen, well-maintained bathrooms, and a good exterior. It has a good potential for value increase with minor exterior painting and landscaping improvements.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property.
F Composite school gradezoned avg 12/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Westhills Elementary School F AL #486/627 Nat'l #35,051/41,679 Middle Bessemer City Middle School F AL #215/257 Nat'l #12,966/14,009 High Bessemer City High School F AL #276/305 Nat'l #16,861/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bessemer City
NCES district ID
0100330
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$29,721
Composite
8.45/100
National rank
#9905
State rank
#120 of 129 in AL
D Composite livability gradescore 59/100

Livability — Bessemer

Score
59/100
State rank
#331
US rank
#20078

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bessemer, AL
County
Jefferson County · 669,185 people
City population
48,018
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
23,126
Household income
$81,846
Rent vs Own
22.7% rent · 77.3% own
Severe rent burden
4% of renters

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 53% White 41% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+1.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $281,900 Zillow
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $280,900 Zillow
  • 2026-02-03 Price Changed $279,900 Zillow
  • 2025-12-02 Price Changed $278,900 Zillow
  • 2025-11-17 Price Changed $277,900 Zillow
  • 2025-09-16 Listed $276,900 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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