807 Avenue F NE · Childress, TX 79201

$14,000

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,080 sqft · SingleFamily · 1 Days on market

Built 1960 0.45 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Schools +4.1/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

Located on Us Hwy 287

Key facts

• 0.45 acre lot
• Parking
• Built 1960

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Property suitable for commercial, residential or investment use; Possession in 30-60 days
• Financial info: Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage
• HOA & community: No association

Exterior

• Parking: One covered parking space; One carport space; Additional parking available
• Utilities: City sewer; No municipal utility district
• Home design: Single family residence; Attached property; Built in 1960
• Construction: Year built: 1960
• Exterior features: Lot under 0.5 acre (about 0.4490 acres); Property is being sold as-is (existing home considered non-habitable); Highly visible location on US Highway 287

Interior

• Kitchen: Kitchen on main level, approx. 10 x 12; Appliances: Other
• Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on main level); Primary bedroom on main level, approx. 12 x 12; Bedroom on main level, approx. 10 x 10
• Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
• Interior features: One-level layout; Five total rooms; One living area; One dining area; Other interior features

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $14k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $731 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $14k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 67/100 on livability (#516 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
• Childress ISD (town): math 54% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #204 of 826 in TX (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Childress El (math 55% / reading 48%, grade C-, #808 of 4,322 statewide, top 19%, 451 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 50% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $1k of equity ($97 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Childress County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Recommended offer $14,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 7.49% ✓
• Cap rate: 68.97%
• Cash-on-cash: 223.86%
• DSCR: 10.96
• GRM: 1.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 14.83×
• Total profit: $54,216
• Equity at exit: $12,612

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 32.39×
• Total profit: $123,061
• Equity at exit: $27,199

Cash invested: $3,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 79201

• Home prices YoY: 6.2%
• Active inventory: 36
• Price-to-rent: 1.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,048 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$73
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$18 /mo · $210/yr
• Insurance: −$6
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$220
• Net cashflow: $731

Break-even live

Break-even rent $122

Max offer price $14,000

Occupancy floor 25%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $741	-5% $736	+0% $731	+5% $726	+10% $722
Rent	-10% $648	-5% $690	+0% $731	+5% $773	+10% $814
Rate	-1.0pp $738	-0.5pp $735	base $731	+0.5pp $728	+1.0pp $724

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $3,500
• Closing costs: $420
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-05-14
   status Pending
2. 2026-05-11
   listed $14,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,578
• − Mortgage interest: −$784
• − Property taxes: −$210
• − Insurance: −$70
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,006
• − Management: −$1,006
• − Depreciation: −$407
• Taxable income: $9,094
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,182
• After-tax cash flow: $6,593/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Childress ISD
• NCES district ID: 4813860
• Math proficiency: 54% ▼ -6.00%
• Reading proficiency: 44% ▼ -8.00%
• Median HH income: $42,072
• Composite: 41.25/100
• National rank: #3529
• State rank: #204 of 826 in TX

Livability — Childress

• Score: 67/100
• State rank: #516
• US rank: #10179

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Childress, TX
• Population (ZIP): 6,817

Population outlook (Childress County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 7,082 people
• By 2030: 7,249 · +2.4%
• By 2040: 7,425 · +4.8%
• By 2050: 7,451 · +5.2%
• By 2075: 7,067 · -0.2%
• By 2100: 5,510 · -22.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
• Race & ethnicity: White 54% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 18% Black 7%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 26%
• Common ancestry: Italian 4% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada
• Languages at home: 79% English-only · Spanish 21%

Political lean MEDSL · Childress

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+76.0) · D 11.6% · R 87.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -20.1pp toward R · 2008: -56.0pp · 2024: -76.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+76.0 2020: R+71.7 2016: R+74.3 2012: R+67.4 2008: R+56.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 10.42%
• Current HPI: 179.442
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-14 Pending — NTREIS
• 2026-05-11 Listed $14,000 NTREIS