401 E 5th St · Sweeny, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This property features three bedrooms and two bathrooms, set on a spacious lot with road frontage on 6th Street. The backyard is fenced with chain-link fencing and boasts a large, mature loquat tree. Two of the bedrooms are located on the ground floor, while the third bedroom and a second bathroom are situated on the upper level. There is a versatile bonus room upstairs, perfect for an office or study. The kitchen is well-appointed, featuring an island with a gas cooktop and ample storage space. The utility room is conveniently located off the kitchen. Two water heaters service the home. For relaxing, there is a large family room and a sunroom positioned in the center of the house. The second bedroom on the main floor is adjacent to the one-car garage, providing easy access. This property presents a great opportunity for those looking to expand their living space.
Key facts
- Ample storage space
- Versatile bonus room
- Fenced backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.7% vs local median 3.6% in Sweeny — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#306 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Sweeny ISD (town): math 32% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #480 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Sweeny El (math 34% / reading 41%, grade F, #1,744 of 4,322 statewide, top 41%, 864 students, 67% FRL); Sweeny J H (math 29% / reading 36%, grade F, #947 of 1,662 statewide, top 58%, 445 students, 57% FRL); Sweeny H S (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #730 of 1,632 statewide, top 47%, 589 students, 51% FRL).
- Market conditions: 136 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,960 units permitted in Brazoria County in 2024 (593 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,400/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($64k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($760 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Brazoria County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 232 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 232 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 44.32%
- DSCR
- 2.97
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $259,147
- List price
- $109,900
- Delta
- -51.80%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 707 Maple St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 2,090 (-23%) | 11mo | $265,000 | $127 | 52 |
| 1225 County Road 878b | 1.06mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,973 (+9%) | 4mo | $180,000 | $61 | 41 |
| 1617 Azalea St | 1.33mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,577 (-6%) | 15mo | $300,000 | $116 | 32 |
| 1510 County Road 878 | 1.23mi | 3/2.0 | 2,182 (-20%) | 11mo | $389,900 | $179 | 31 |
| 1319 County Road 878b | 1.25mi | 3/2.0 | 2,088 (-23%) | 15mo | $120,000 | $57 | 28 |
| 1628 Azalea St | 1.38mi | 3/3.0 | 2,399 (-12%) | 17mo | $279,900 | $117 | 27 |
| 22800-5 County Road 332 1st Shell | 1.45mi | 3/2.0 | 2,432 (-11%) | 28mo | $295,000 | $121 | 27 |
| 1002 Brockman St | 0.41mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 3,174 (+16%) | 27mo | $275,000 | $87 | 27 |
| 203 Victory Ln | 0.62mi | 3/3.0 | 2,100 (-23%) | 30mo | $477,893 | $228 | 22 |
| 1322 County Road 878b | 1.21mi | 3/2.0 | 2,118 (-22%) | 25mo | $315,000 | $149 | 20 |
| 1502 E Ashley Wilson Rd | 1.07mi | 3/2.0 | 2,146 (-21%) | 29mo | $275,000 | $128 | 20 |
| 939 W Ashley Wilson Rd | 0.96mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,100 (-23%) | 22mo | $547,000 | $260 | 15 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 58.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.30×
- Total profit
- $132,275
- Equity at exit
- $99,007
- IRR
- 52.3%
- Equity multiple
- 11.81×
- Total profit
- $332,678
- Equity at exit
- $213,512
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 2 active · 2 under contract
- Median asking
- $167,000 ($71/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 197 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +33.0% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 77480
- Home prices YoY
- 12.0%
- Active inventory
- 136
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,400 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$137 /mo · $1,648/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$504
- Net cashflow
- $1,137
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,212 | -5% $1,174 | +0% $1,137 | +5% $1,099 | +10% $1,061 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $947 | -5% $1,042 | +0% $1,137 | +5% $1,231 | +10% $1,326 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,192 | -0.5pp $1,164 | base $1,137 | +0.5pp $1,108 | +1.0pp $1,079 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 208 Silver Leaf St Sweeny, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1984 | $2,400 | $1.21 | 93d | 1 | 0.83mi |
Listing history 50 events
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2026-08-08days on market $109,900 Active 232 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $109,900 Active 231 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $109,900 Active 230 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $109,900 Active 229 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $109,900 Active 228 DOM
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2026-08-03pricedays on market $109,900 Active 227 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $124,900 Active 224 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $124,900 Active 223 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $124,900 Active 222 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $124,900 Active 220 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $124,900 Active 218 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $124,900 Active 217 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $124,900 Active 216 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $124,900 Active 215 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $124,900 Active 214 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $124,900 Active 211 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $124,900 Active 209 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $124,900 Active 208 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $124,900 Active 207 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $124,900 Active 206 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $124,900 Active 205 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $124,900 Active 204 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $124,900 Active 203 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $124,900 Active 202 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $124,900 Active 201 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $124,900 Active 200 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $124,900 Active 199 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $124,900 Active 198 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $124,900 Active 197 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $124,900 Active 196 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $124,900 Active 195 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $124,900 Active 194 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $124,900 Active 193 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $124,900 Active 192 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $124,900 Active 191 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $124,900 Active 190 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $124,900 Active 188 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $124,900 Active 185 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $124,900 Active 184 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $124,900 Active 182 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $124,900 Active 181 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $124,900 Active 180 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $124,900 Active 179 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $124,900 Active 178 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $124,900 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $124,900 Active 175 DOM
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2026-06-09pricedays on market $124,900 Active 172 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $135,500 Active 171 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $135,500 Active 170 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $135,500 Active 169 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$1,648
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,304
- − Management
- −$2,304
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $12,641
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,034
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,604/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
The home requires significant repairs and maintenance, including a new roof and exterior painting, to improve its condition and value. Landscaping and fence repair would also enhance its curb appeal and rental value.
Components & finishes AI
Deferred maintenance Est. $2,500–$10,000 screening
- Minor Roof (roof) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the roof.
- Minor Windows (windows) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the windows.
- Minor Electrical (electrical) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the electrical components.
- Minor Plumbing (plumbing) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the plumbing.
- Minor Exterior (exterior) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the exterior.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — The roof appears to be in poor condition, with visible wear and tear and potential damage.
- Moderate exterior siding — The exterior siding is in fair condition, with some discoloration and wear visible.
- Minor flooring — The flooring in the interior appears to be in fair condition, with some wear and tear visible.
- Minor interior walls — The interior walls appear to be in fair condition, with some discoloration and wear visible.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale repair and replace roof — A new roof would significantly improve the home's curb appeal and overall condition, making it more attractive to potential buyers. ↑
- Resale paint exterior and interior — Painting the exterior and interior would improve the home's appearance and make it more attractive to potential buyers. ↑
- Both landscaping and fence repair — Landscaping and repairing the fence would improve the home's curb appeal and increase its rental value. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sweeny ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4841970
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,607
- Composite
- 31.49/100
- National rank
- #5975
- State rank
- #480 of 826 in TX
Livability — Sweeny
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #306
- US rank
- #6914
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sweeny, TX
- County
- Brazoria · 420,414 people
- Metro
- Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,252
- Household income
- $63,981
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2% of renters
Population outlook (Brazoria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,414 people
- By 2030
- 457,585 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 532,232 · +26.6%
- By 2050
- 605,399 · +44.0%
- By 2075
- 779,358 · +85.4%
- By 2100
- 883,759 · +110.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 17% Black 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 3% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Brazoria
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.7) · D 39.5% · R 59.2% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.9pp toward D · 2008: -29.6pp · 2024: -19.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.7 2020: R+18.2 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+29.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 35.27%
- Current HPI
- 328.8657
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-32.2% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Price Changed $135,500 HARMLS
- 2026-03-21 Price Changed $139,900 HARMLS
- 2026-01-27 Price Changed $147,500 HARMLS
- 2025-12-20 Listed $149,900 HARMLS
- 2023-03-27 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2022-11-04 Listed $199,900 HARMLS
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $5,738 · -15.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…