6426 Southgrove Rd · Mentor, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.6/30.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$210,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming brick-front ranch with a park-like backyard on a quiet dead end street! Remodeled kitchen with newer Solid oak cabinetry featuring custom pull out drawers! Living room/dining room combination great for entertaining! The dining rm walks out to a gorgeous 3-season sunroom with nature stone flooring. The sunroom leads to a nice concrete patio and a beautiful, partially fenced in backyard with a large storage shed. The bathroom has been remodeled over the years and features a nice glass shower. Other updates include: furnace/AC in 2017 & HWT 2015. Great home won’t Last!
Key facts
- Attached garage
- Large seasonal room
- First-floor laundry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-64 ($-769/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $199k (5.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (20.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $167k (20.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.7% in Mentor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#53 in OH, #739 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
- Mentor Exempted Village (suburban): math 58% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #201 of 656 in OH (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 266 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 448 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $180k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.31%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $164,304
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6426 Southgrove Rd | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (0%) | 1mo | $216,000 | $214 | 99 |
| 6432 Ambrose Dr | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 961 (-5%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $229 | 85 |
| 6399 Seminole Trl | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,010 (+0%) | 4mo | $135,000 | $134 | 84 |
| 635 Tioga Trl | 0.62mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (-1%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $100 | 64 |
| 766 Cherokee Trl | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 | 1,080 (+7%) | 3mo | $100,000 | $93 | 61 |
| 6598 Seneca Trl | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (-14%) | 2mo | $137,500 | $159 | 56 |
| 7506 Jeremy Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,052 (+4%) | 3mo | $313,000 | $298 | 56 |
| 6247 Seneca Trl | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (-10%) | 12mo | $120,220 | $132 | 55 |
| 7275 Eric Dr | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 | 1,056 (+5%) | 11mo | $230,000 | $218 | 52 |
| 1171 Garden Rd | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 1,135 (+13%) | 3mo | $185,000 | $163 | 50 |
| 1053 Eaglewood Dr | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,060 (+5%) | 8mo | $116,000 | $109 | 45 |
| 919 Eaglewood Dr | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 880 (-13%) | 9mo | $169,000 | $192 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.54% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-33,751
- Equity at exit
- $31,312
- IRR
- -3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-15,787
- Equity at exit
- $18,157
Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44060
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 266
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,671 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$195 /mo · $2,343/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$351
- Net cashflow
- $-64
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $55 | -5% $-5 | +0% $-64 | +5% $-124 | +10% $-183 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-196 | -5% $-130 | +0% $-64 | +5% $2 | +10% $68 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $42 | -0.5pp $-11 | base $-64 | +0.5pp $-119 | +1.0pp $-174 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,500
- Closing costs
- $6,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6247 Seneca Rd Mentor, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,750 | $1.92 | 3d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 6177 Iroquois Trl Mentor, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $1,700 | $1.52 | 3d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 38280 North Ln Unit J-208 Willoughby, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 25d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 38280 North Ln Unit H-206 Willoughby, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 38360 Tamarac Blvd Willoughby, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $1,835 | $1.93 | 3d | 29 | 1.24mi |
| 5950 Andrews Rd Mentor on the Lake, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,025 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 5950 Andrews Rd Unit 8 Mentor-On-The-Lake, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,100 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-04-26status Pending
-
2026-04-23$210,000 Active
-
2023-07-20soldstatus $180,000 Closed 594-char remark
Show marketing remark (594 chars)
Charming brick-front ranch with a park-like backyard on a quiet dead end street! Remodeled kitchen with newer Solid oak cabinetry featuring custom pull out drawers! Living room/dining room combination great for entertaining! The dining rm walks out to a gorgeous 3-season sunroom with nature stone flooring. The sunroom leads to a nice concrete patio and a beautiful, partially fenced in backyard with a large storage shed. The bathroom has been remodeled over the years and features a nice glass shower. Other updates include: furnace/AC in 2017 & HWT 2015. Great home won’t Last!
-
2023-06-28status Pending 594-char remark
Show marketing remark (594 chars)
Charming brick-front ranch with a park-like backyard on a quiet dead end street! Remodeled kitchen with newer Solid oak cabinetry featuring custom pull out drawers! Living room/dining room combination great for entertaining! The dining rm walks out to a gorgeous 3-season sunroom with nature stone flooring. The sunroom leads to a nice concrete patio and a beautiful, partially fenced in backyard with a large storage shed. The bathroom has been remodeled over the years and features a nice glass shower. Other updates include: furnace/AC in 2017 & HWT 2015. Great home won’t Last!
-
2023-06-19historical Contingent 594-char remark
Show marketing remark (594 chars)
Charming brick-front ranch with a park-like backyard on a quiet dead end street! Remodeled kitchen with newer Solid oak cabinetry featuring custom pull out drawers! Living room/dining room combination great for entertaining! The dining rm walks out to a gorgeous 3-season sunroom with nature stone flooring. The sunroom leads to a nice concrete patio and a beautiful, partially fenced in backyard with a large storage shed. The bathroom has been remodeled over the years and features a nice glass shower. Other updates include: furnace/AC in 2017 & HWT 2015. Great home won’t Last!
-
2023-06-13price $179,900 594-char remark
Show marketing remark (594 chars)
Charming brick-front ranch with a park-like backyard on a quiet dead end street! Remodeled kitchen with newer Solid oak cabinetry featuring custom pull out drawers! Living room/dining room combination great for entertaining! The dining rm walks out to a gorgeous 3-season sunroom with nature stone flooring. The sunroom leads to a nice concrete patio and a beautiful, partially fenced in backyard with a large storage shed. The bathroom has been remodeled over the years and features a nice glass shower. Other updates include: furnace/AC in 2017 & HWT 2015. Great home won’t Last!
-
2023-06-06$189,900 Active 594-char remark
Show marketing remark (594 chars)
Charming brick-front ranch with a park-like backyard on a quiet dead end street! Remodeled kitchen with newer Solid oak cabinetry featuring custom pull out drawers! Living room/dining room combination great for entertaining! The dining rm walks out to a gorgeous 3-season sunroom with nature stone flooring. The sunroom leads to a nice concrete patio and a beautiful, partially fenced in backyard with a large storage shed. The bathroom has been remodeled over the years and features a nice glass shower. Other updates include: furnace/AC in 2017 & HWT 2015. Great home won’t Last!
-
2000-04-28soldstatus $114,000 167-char remark
Show marketing remark (167 chars)
Gardeners Dream Home Back Yrd In Spring Time Is Beautiful Newer Roof/Furnance * Very Tastefully Decorated * Great Starter Home On Quiet Cul De Sac St. Home Warranty
-
2000-04-26soldstatus $114,000
-
2000-02-28$115,000 167-char remark
Show marketing remark (167 chars)
Gardeners Dream Home Back Yrd In Spring Time Is Beautiful Newer Roof/Furnance * Very Tastefully Decorated * Great Starter Home On Quiet Cul De Sac St. Home Warranty
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,343 · $195/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,810 · $234/mo
- Expected delta
- +$466/yr (+$39/mo · 19.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,050
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,763
- − Property taxes
- −$2,343
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,604
- − Management
- −$1,604
- − Depreciation
- −$6,109
- Taxable loss
- −$4,424
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,062
- After-tax cash flow
- $292/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mentor Exempted Village
- NCES district ID
- 3904549
- Math proficiency
- 58% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,267
- Composite
- 55.71/100
- National rank
- #1221
- State rank
- #201 of 656 in OH
Livability — Mentor
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #53
- US rank
- #739
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mentor, OH
- County
- Lake County · 204,927 people
- City population
- 60,779
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 60,779
- Household income
- $87,599
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 883.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 230,022 people
- By 2030
- 228,151 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 221,018 · -3.9%
- By 2050
- 212,754 · -7.5%
- By 2075
- 200,309 · -12.9%
- By 2100
- 183,315 · -20.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.3) · D 42.4% · R 56.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.2pp toward R · 2008: 0.8pp · 2024: -14.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.3 2020: R+13.6 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.7 2008: D+0.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -203.36%
- Current HPI
- 188.9887
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.54%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+82.6% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-26 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-04-23 Listed $210,000 MLSNOW
- 2023-07-20 Sold (MLS) $180,000 MLSNOW
- 2023-06-28 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2023-06-19 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2023-06-13 Price Changed $179,900 MLSNOW
- 2023-06-06 Listed $189,900 MLSNOW
- 2000-04-28 Sold (MLS) $114,000 MLSNOW
- 2000-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $114,000 Public Records
- 2000-02-28 Listed $115,000 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,343 · -2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…