2184 Bayside St SW · Holden Beach, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.9/30.0
- ARV discount +10.8/15.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$269,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
You will love this DELIGHTFUL NEW Single-Story Home in the Harbor Bay Community! The desirable Radford Plan boasts an open design encompassing the Living, Dining, and Kitchen spaces. The Kitchen features gorgeous cabinets, granite countertops, and Stainless-Steel Appliances (Includes: Range, Microwave hood, and Dishwasher). Additionally, the primary suite has a private bath with dual vanity sinks and a walk-in closet. This home also includes 3 more bedrooms and a full secondary bath. Outside, there is a relaxing patio space.
Key facts
- Open design
- Gorgeous cabinets
- Granite countertops
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee of $600 (approximately $50/month); Association provides management and tax services
Exterior
- Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2-car attached garage; Additional parking on concrete, off-street paved area
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Water service available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Entry level: main floor living
- Construction: Vinyl siding on frame construction; Shingle/composition roof; Slab foundation; Built as single-story (one level)
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Open lot; Paved road frontage on city street and state road; Has view; Accessible doors; No fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Dishwasher; Microwave; Pantry
- Bedrooms: Master downstairs
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central Air conditioning; Electric forced-air heating
- Interior features: Master suite on the main level; Walk-in closet(s); Pantry; Insulated windows
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $269k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $31 ($371/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $216k (19.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $216k (19.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.0% in Holden Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#334 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, crime A, housing A; Watch: cost of living D, health & safety D, amenities F.
- Brunswick County Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #82 of 178 in NC (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Supply Elementary (math 46% / reading 39%, grade F, #625 of 1,410 statewide, top 45%, 539 students, 99% FRL); Cedar Grove Middle (math 30% / reading 36%, grade F, #305 of 475 statewide, top 65%, 434 students, 99% FRL); West Brunswick High (math 50% / reading 56%, grade C-, #281 of 535 statewide, top 53%, 1,526 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 53% district-wide (46 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 513 active listings in the ZIP; 6,112 units permitted in Brunswick County in 2024 (990 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brunswick County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($253k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.49%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $290,303
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2185 Bayside St SW | 0.04mi | 4/3.0 | 1,852 (+4%) | 16mo | $287,900 | $155 | 74 |
| 2162 Bayview Dr SW | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,635 (-8%) | 12mo | $267,000 | $163 | 65 |
| 2187 Bayview Dr SW | 0.14mi | 4/2.0 | 1,636 (-8%) | 21mo | $270,000 | $165 | 62 |
| 2165 Bayside St SW | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,525 (-14%) | 17mo | $276,000 | $181 | 52 |
| 2155 Bayview Dr SW | 0.18mi | 4/2.5 | 2,040 (+14%) | 24mo | $308,000 | $151 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-41,704
- Equity at exit
- $40,109
- IRR
- -7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-34,116
- Equity at exit
- $23,258
Cash invested: $75,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28462
- Active inventory
- 513
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,156 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,411
- Tax from tax record
- −$100 /mo · $1,195/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$50
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$453
- Net cashflow
- $31
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $183 | -5% $107 | +0% $31 | +5% $-45 | +10% $-121 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-139 | -5% $-54 | +0% $31 | +5% $116 | +10% $201 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $166 | -0.5pp $99 | base $31 | +0.5pp $-39 | +1.0pp $-110 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,250
- Closing costs
- $8,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $50 · $600/yr
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $269,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $269,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $269,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $269,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $269,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $269,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $269,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $269,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-09pricedays on market $269,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $274,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $274,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $274,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $274,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $274,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $274,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $274,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $274,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $274,900
-
2026-04-13$279,900 Active
-
2022-03-30soldstatus $266,990 530-char remark
Show marketing remark (530 chars)
You will love this DELIGHTFUL NEW Single-Story Home in the Harbor Bay Community! The desirable Radford Plan boasts an open design encompassing the Living, Dining, and Kitchen spaces. The Kitchen features gorgeous cabinets, granite countertops, and Stainless-Steel Appliances (Includes: Range, Microwave hood, and Dishwasher). Additionally, the primary suite has a private bath with dual vanity sinks and a walk-in closet. This home also includes 3 more bedrooms and a full secondary bath. Outside, there is a relaxing patio space.
-
2021-07-19$266,990 530-char remark
Show marketing remark (530 chars)
You will love this DELIGHTFUL NEW Single-Story Home in the Harbor Bay Community! The desirable Radford Plan boasts an open design encompassing the Living, Dining, and Kitchen spaces. The Kitchen features gorgeous cabinets, granite countertops, and Stainless-Steel Appliances (Includes: Range, Microwave hood, and Dishwasher). Additionally, the primary suite has a private bath with dual vanity sinks and a walk-in closet. This home also includes 3 more bedrooms and a full secondary bath. Outside, there is a relaxing patio space.
-
2020-12-29soldstatus $1,960,000
-
2014-06-06soldstatus $300,000
-
2013-10-17soldstatus $260,000
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2008-06-07historical
-
2008-05-19$50,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,195 · $100/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,206 · $184/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,011/yr (+$84/mo · 84.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,871
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,068
- − Property taxes
- −$1,195
- − Insurance
- −$1,345
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,070
- − Management
- −$2,070
- − HOA
- −$600
- − Depreciation
- −$7,825
- Taxable loss
- −$4,301
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,032
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,403/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brunswick County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700420
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▲ 4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,494
- Composite
- 39.23/100
- National rank
- #4011
- State rank
- #82 of 178 in NC
Livability — Holden Beach
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #334
- US rank
- #13586
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Brunswick County · 131,536 people
- Metro
- Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,340
- Household income
- $60,349
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 269.0
Population outlook (Brunswick County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 152,111 people
- By 2030
- 165,705 · +8.9%
- By 2040
- 188,494 · +23.9%
- By 2050
- 206,228 · +35.6%
- By 2075
- 237,876 · +56.4%
- By 2100
- 251,451 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Black 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Brunswick
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.9) · D 37.2% · R 62.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.9pp · 2024: -24.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.9 2020: R+25.0 2016: R+28.7 2012: R+22.2 2008: R+17.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -259.44%
- Current HPI
- 144.2462
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+449.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $274,900 Hive MLS
- 2026-04-13 Listed $279,900 Hive MLS
- 2022-03-30 Sold (MLS) $266,990 Hive MLS
- 2021-07-19 Listed $266,990 Hive MLS
- 2020-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $1,960,000 Public Records
- 2014-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $300,000 Public Records
- 2013-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $260,000 Public Records
- 2008-06-07 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2008-05-19 Listed $50,000 Hive MLS
Property tax history
+34.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,195 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…