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2184 Bayside St SW
D Composite 44.14
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.8/15.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$269,000

2184 Bayside St SW · Holden Beach, NC 28462
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,781 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 69 Days on market
Built 2021 10,454 sqft lot Est $290k · 7% under $50/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

You will love this DELIGHTFUL NEW Single-Story Home in the Harbor Bay Community! The desirable Radford Plan boasts an open design encompassing the Living, Dining, and Kitchen spaces. The Kitchen features gorgeous cabinets, granite countertops, and Stainless-Steel Appliances (Includes: Range, Microwave hood, and Dishwasher). Additionally, the primary suite has a private bath with dual vanity sinks and a walk-in closet. This home also includes 3 more bedrooms and a full secondary bath. Outside, there is a relaxing patio space.

Key facts

  • Open design
  • Gorgeous cabinets
  • Granite countertops

Tags

SINGLE-STORY HOMEHARBOR BAY COMMUNITYOPEN DESIGNGORGEOUS CABINETSGRANITE COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS-STEEL APPLIANCES

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee of $600 (approximately $50/month); Association provides management and tax services

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2-car attached garage; Additional parking on concrete, off-street paved area
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Water service available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Entry level: main floor living
  • Construction: Vinyl siding on frame construction; Shingle/composition roof; Slab foundation; Built as single-story (one level)
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Open lot; Paved road frontage on city street and state road; Has view; Accessible doors; No fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Dishwasher; Microwave; Pantry
  • Bedrooms: Master downstairs
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central Air conditioning; Electric forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Master suite on the main level; Walk-in closet(s); Pantry; Insulated windows
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $269k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $31 ($371/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $216k (19.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $216k (19.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.0% in Holden Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#334 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, crime A, housing A; Watch: cost of living D, health & safety D, amenities F.
  • Brunswick County Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #82 of 178 in NC (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Supply Elementary (math 46% / reading 39%, grade F, #625 of 1,410 statewide, top 45%, 539 students, 99% FRL); Cedar Grove Middle (math 30% / reading 36%, grade F, #305 of 475 statewide, top 65%, 434 students, 99% FRL); West Brunswick High (math 50% / reading 56%, grade C-, #281 of 535 statewide, top 53%, 1,526 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 53% district-wide (46 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 513 active listings in the ZIP; 6,112 units permitted in Brunswick County in 2024 (990 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Brunswick County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($253k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $215,592 (19.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.43%
Cash-on-cash
0.49%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$290,303
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2185 Bayside St SW 0.04mi 4/3.0 1,852 (+4%) 16mo $287,900 $155 74
2162 Bayview Dr SW 0.13mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,635 (-8%) 12mo $267,000 $163 65
2187 Bayview Dr SW 0.14mi 4/2.0 1,636 (-8%) 21mo $270,000 $165 62
2165 Bayside St SW 0.11mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,525 (-14%) 17mo $276,000 $181 52
2155 Bayview Dr SW 0.18mi 4/2.5 2,040 (+14%) 24mo $308,000 $151 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.6%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-41,704
Equity at exit
$40,109
10-year hold
IRR
-7.1%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-34,116
Equity at exit
$23,258

Cash invested: $75,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28462

Active inventory
513
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,156 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,411
Tax from tax record
$100 /mo · $1,195/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$50
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$453
Net cashflow
$31

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,117
Max offer price $269,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $183 -5% $107 +0% $31 +5% $-45 +10% $-121
Rent -10% $-139 -5% $-54 +0% $31 +5% $116 +10% $201
Rate -1.0pp $166 -0.5pp $99 base $31 +0.5pp $-39 +1.0pp $-110

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,250
Closing costs
$8,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$50 · $600/yr

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $269,000 Active 69 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $269,000 Active 66 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $269,000 Active 65 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $269,000 Active 64 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $269,000 Active 63 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $269,000 Active 61 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $269,000 Active 60 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $269,000 Active 58 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    pricedays on market $269,000 Active 57 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $274,900 Active 56 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $274,900 Active 55 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $274,900 Active 52 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $274,900 Active 51 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $274,900 Active 50 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $274,900 Active 49 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $274,900 Active 48 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $274,900 Active 47 DOM
  18. 2026-05-12
    price $274,900
  19. 2026-04-13
    listed $279,900 Active
  20. 2022-03-30
    soldstatus $266,990 530-char remark
    Show marketing remark (530 chars)

    You will love this DELIGHTFUL NEW Single-Story Home in the Harbor Bay Community! The desirable Radford Plan boasts an open design encompassing the Living, Dining, and Kitchen spaces. The Kitchen features gorgeous cabinets, granite countertops, and Stainless-Steel Appliances (Includes: Range, Microwave hood, and Dishwasher). Additionally, the primary suite has a private bath with dual vanity sinks and a walk-in closet. This home also includes 3 more bedrooms and a full secondary bath. Outside, there is a relaxing patio space.

  21. 2021-07-19
    listed $266,990 530-char remark
    Show marketing remark (530 chars)

    You will love this DELIGHTFUL NEW Single-Story Home in the Harbor Bay Community! The desirable Radford Plan boasts an open design encompassing the Living, Dining, and Kitchen spaces. The Kitchen features gorgeous cabinets, granite countertops, and Stainless-Steel Appliances (Includes: Range, Microwave hood, and Dishwasher). Additionally, the primary suite has a private bath with dual vanity sinks and a walk-in closet. This home also includes 3 more bedrooms and a full secondary bath. Outside, there is a relaxing patio space.

  22. 2020-12-29
    soldstatus $1,960,000
  23. 2014-06-06
    soldstatus $300,000
  24. 2013-10-17
    soldstatus $260,000
  25. 2008-06-07
    historical
  26. 2008-05-19
    listed $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,195 · $100/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,206 · $184/mo
Expected delta
+$1,011/yr (+$84/mo · 84.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,871
− Mortgage interest
−$15,068
− Property taxes
−$1,195
− Insurance
−$1,345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,070
− Management
−$2,070
− HOA
−$600
− Depreciation
−$7,825
Taxable loss
−$4,301
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,032
After-tax cash flow
$1,403/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brunswick County Schools
NCES district ID
3700420
Math proficiency
45% ▲ 4.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$47,494
Composite
39.23/100
National rank
#4011
State rank
#82 of 178 in NC

Livability — Holden Beach

Score
65/100
State rank
#334
US rank
#13586

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D Crime A Employment A+ Housing A Health & safety D User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Brunswick County · 131,536 people
Metro
Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
Population (ZIP)
12,340
Household income
$60,349
Rent vs Own
15.5% rent · 84.5% own
Severe rent burden
269.0

Population outlook (Brunswick County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
152,111 people
By 2030
165,705 · +8.9%
By 2040
188,494 · +23.9%
By 2050
206,228 · +35.6%
By 2075
237,876 · +56.4%
By 2100
251,451 · +65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Black 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Brunswick

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.9) · D 37.2% · R 62.0%
2008→2024 swing
-6.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.9pp · 2024: -24.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.9 2020: R+25.0 2016: R+28.7 2012: R+22.2 2008: R+17.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -259.44%
Current HPI
144.2462
Rent YoY
Metro
Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+449.8% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $274,900 Hive MLS
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $279,900 Hive MLS
  • 2022-03-30 Sold (MLS) $266,990 Hive MLS
  • 2021-07-19 Listed $266,990 Hive MLS
  • 2020-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $1,960,000 Public Records
  • 2014-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $300,000 Public Records
  • 2013-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $260,000 Public Records
  • 2008-06-07 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2008-05-19 Listed $50,000 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+34.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,195 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…