6426 Beryl St · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.73%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$127,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Like new! Clean and move in ready 3 bedroom, 2 full bath, manufactured in 2021, mobile home! This beautiful home offers open concept family room and kitchen, good size kitchen with lots of cabinets and counter space, all appliances included including washer and dryer, and vinyl flooring throughout. Outside you'll find a well maintained, partially fenced yard with a carport.
Key facts
- Vinyl flooring
- Good size kitchen
- Lots of cabinets
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single wide mobile home; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Refrigerator; Breakfast bar / eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Eat-in kitchen; Open floor plan; Primary bathroom with tub and shower; Split bedroom layout
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $128k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $497 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $128k).
- Recommended offer: $124k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 546 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $882 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($124k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.72%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $162,006
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8103 Harding Ave | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 840 (-4%) | 6mo | $156,000 | $186 | 81 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $5,956
- Equity at exit
- $19,011
- IRR
- 11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.74×
- Total profit
- $26,426
- Equity at exit
- $11,024
Cash invested: $35,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32219
- Home prices YoY
- -22.3%
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 546
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,734 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$669
- Tax from tax record
- −$150 /mo · $1,805/yr
- Insurance
- −$53
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$364
- Net cashflow
- $497
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,875
- Closing costs
- $3,825
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7860 Rondo Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $1,410 | $1.33 | 7d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 8119 Siskin Ave Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1102 | $1,650 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 8119 Siskin Ave Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1102 | $1,650 | $1.50 | 17d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 7623 John F Kennedy Dr E Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $1,501 | $1.49 | 23d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 9206 Greenleaf Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 888 | $1,400 | $1.58 | 17d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 9436 Gisborne Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,440 | $1.52 | 20d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 4935 Portsmouth Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,163 | $1.30 | 10d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $127,500 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $127,500 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $127,500 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $127,500 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $127,500 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $127,500 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $127,500 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $127,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $127,500 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $127,500 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $127,500 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $127,500 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $127,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-04$130,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,805 · $150/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,805 · $150/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,802
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,142
- − Property taxes
- −$1,805
- − Insurance
- −$638
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,664
- − Management
- −$1,664
- − Depreciation
- −$3,709
- Taxable income
- $4,181
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,003
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,965/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,302
- Household income
- $72,184
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 173.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (55%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% White 39% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -75.90%
- Current HPI
- 263.8901
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.25%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Listed $130,000 realMLS
Property tax history
+22.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,805 · +13.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…