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813 S Fred Shuttlesworth Cir
B+ Composite 76.11
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,900

813 S Fred Shuttlesworth Cir · Cincinnati, OH 45229
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,740 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1920 7,754 sqft lot Est $244k · 47% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 bed, 1 bath Avondale home. Located on a cul-de-sac street. Great location, close to downtown Cincinnati, hospitals and universities. Plenty of room with approx. 1740 sq ft per HVA. Off street parking.

Key facts

  • Original hardwood
  • Natural woodwork
  • Covered front porch

Tags

CUL-DE-SACORIGINAL HARDWOODNATURAL WOODWORKUNIQUE ARCHITECTURAL CHARACTERCOVERED FRONT PORCHONE-CAR GARAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Second-floor area approximately 850
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Built-in 1-car garage; Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas
  • Home design: Tudor-style single family home; One and one-half stories; Handyman/needs work
  • Construction: Brick and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Poured foundation; One fireplace (currently inoperable)
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Less than 0.5 acre lot (approx. 50 x 175 irregular); Residential zoning

Interior

  • Kitchen: Tile floor and wood cabinets; Gas cooktop; Oven/Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms total; Primary bedroom about 13 x 12 (located on level 2); Second bedroom about 14 x 13 (located on level 2); Third bedroom about 14 x 13 (located on level 2)
  • Flooring: Wood floors in living room, dining room, study/den, and entry; Tile floor in kitchen
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (located on level 2)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air gas heating; Gas water heating
  • Interior features: 9+ foot ceilings with beam ceiling; Multi-panel doors; Natural woodwork; Full unfinished walkout basement with concrete floor
  • Laundry & utility: Basement utility area (basement is full and unfinished)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $466 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
  • Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 3.9% in Cincinnati — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#130 in OH, #1,856 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
  • Cincinnati Public Schools (urban): math 25% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #581 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 49 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,776/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($32k/yr) (locally 1730% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 7 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $105k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $129,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
10.60%
Cash-on-cash
15.38%
DSCR
1.68
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$243,600
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
813 S Fred Shuttlesworth Cir 0.00mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,740 (0%) 10mo $104,900 $60 87
810 S Fred Shuttlesworth Cir 0.03mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,751 (+1%) 1mo $165,000 $94 86
723 N Fred Shuttlesworth Cir 0.34mi 4/1.5 1,780 (+2%) 16mo $226,000 $127 65
634 Greenwood Ave 0.42mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,777 (+2%) 6mo $314,000 $177 61
3935 Warwick Ave 0.66mi 4/2.0 1,796 (+3%) 6mo $260,000 $145 54
3970 Abington Ave 0.68mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,693 (-3%) 2mo $405,000 $239 51
3970 Ardmore Ave 0.68mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,766 (+2%) 10mo $247,000 $140 51
1608 Brewster Ave 0.75mi 4/1.0 1,576 (-9%) 2mo $147,500 $94 48
1606 Brewster Ave 0.74mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,600 (-8%) 2mo $150,000 $94 41
3552 Woodburn Ave 0.73mi 4/2.0 1,572 (-10%) 12mo $275,000 $175 36
3319 Milton Ct 0.69mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,889 (+9%) 17mo $106,000 $56 34
3959 Warwick Ave 0.71mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,634 (-6%) 15mo $373,000 $228 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.55% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.1%
Equity multiple
1.37×
Total profit
$13,364
Equity at exit
$19,369
10-year hold
IRR
20.4%
Equity multiple
2.93×
Total profit
$70,276
Equity at exit
$11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45229

Home prices YoY
-24.0%
Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
49
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,776 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$201 /mo · $2,417/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$373
Net cashflow
$466

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,186
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $540 -5% $503 +0% $466 +5% $429 +10% $393
Rent -10% $326 -5% $396 +0% $466 +5% $536 +10% $606
Rate -1.0pp $532 -0.5pp $499 base $466 +0.5pp $432 +1.0pp $398

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 32 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3640 Reading Rd Unit 3640-1 Cincinnati, OH 3.0 1.0 1113 $1,295 $1.16 24d 1 0.08mi
979 Burton Ave Cincinnati, OH 3.0 1.0 1725 $1,595 $0.92 3d 1 0.16mi
870 Rockdale Ave Cincinnati, OH 4.0 2.0 1749 $1,800 $1.03 24d 1 0.41mi
3564 Estes Pl Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH 3.0 1.0 1662 $1,500 $0.90 2d 1 0.42mi
3595 Harvey Ave Cincinnati, OH 3.0 3.0 1200 $2,250 $1.88 2d 1 0.60mi
3550 Woodburn Ave Cincinnati, OH 3.0 1.0 1308 $2,000 $1.53 15d 1 0.73mi
1607 Asmann Ave Cincinnati, OH 1.0–4.0 1.0–1.5 1069 $1,695 $1.58 13d 6 0.73mi
575 Blair Ave Unit 575-3 Cincinnati, OH 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,375 $1.15 15d 1 0.78mi
1512 Blair Ave Apt B Cincinnati, OH 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,795 $1.63 24d 1 0.79mi
434 Northern Ave Cincinnati, OH 3.0 2.5 1518 $2,700 $1.78 5d 1 0.79mi
3139 Gaff Ave Cincinnati, OH 3.0 2.0 1711 $1,795 $1.05 16d 1 0.80mi
1524 Ruth Ave Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH 4.0 1.0 1971 $1,595 $0.81 24d 1 0.84mi
1725 Cleneay Ave Norwood, OH 1.0–5.0 1.0–5.0 1060 $2,827 $2.67 2d 46 0.94mi
3209 Gilbert Ave Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH 4.0 2.0 1548 $1,395 $0.90 3d 1 0.98mi
3028 Gilbert Ave Cincinnati, OH 5.0 1.5 1936 $1,700 $0.88 20d 1 1.02mi
4133 Huston Ave Cincinnati, OH 3.0 1.0 1210 $1,725 $1.43 13d 1 1.03mi
4133 Huston Ave Cincinnati, OH 3.0 1.0 1210 $1,725 $1.43 44d 1 1.03mi
3131 Harvard Ave Cincinnati, OH 3.0 1.0 1264 $1,645 $1.30 24d 1 1.08mi
3326 Fairfield Ave Cincinnati, OH 3.0 2.0 1566 $1,600 $1.02 11d 1 1.12mi
3113 Harvard Ave Cincinnati, OH 4.0 3.0 1895 $2,700 $1.42 15d 1 1.12mi
1710 Fairfax Ave Unit 1710 Cincinnati, OH 5.0 2.0 1500 $2,000 $1.33 24d 1 1.20mi
21 Clinton Springs Ln Cincinnati, OH 3.0 1.0 1304 $1,650 $1.27 24d 1 1.22mi
1709 Sherman Ave Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH 4.0 2.0 1500 $2,300 $1.53 2d 1 1.24mi
3508 Bevis Ave Cincinnati, OH 5.0 2.0 1744 $2,400 $1.38 2d 1 1.25mi
1931 Delaware Ave Unit 2 Norwood, OH 3.0 2.0 1650 $1,810 $1.10 44d 1 1.27mi
3915 Lindley Ave Unit 2 Norwood, OH 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,950 $1.30 44d 1 1.27mi
15 Bertus St Cincinnati, OH 3.0 2.0 1520 $1,895 $1.25 15d 1 1.30mi
4342 Vine St #2 Cincinnati, OH 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,400 $1.27 24d 1 1.31mi
28 Juergens Ave Cincinnati, OH 4.0 2.0 1306 $1,625 $1.24 5d 1 1.35mi
3921 Spencer Ave Apt 2 Norwood, OH 4.0 1.0 1636 $2,400 $1.47 17d 1 1.40mi
2123 Cameron Ave Cincinnati, OH 4.0 2.5 2165 $4,500 $2.08 44d 1 1.46mi
3901 Elsmere Ave Cincinnati, OH 3.0 2.0 1415 $1,995 $1.41 3d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    status $129,900 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,900 Contingency Pending 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,900 Contingency Pending 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,900 Contingency Pending 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,900 Contingency Pending 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,900 Contingency Pending 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,900 Contingency Pending 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,900 Contingency Pending 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    statusdays on market $129,900 Contingency Pending 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 586-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    listed $129,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,417 · $201/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,417 · $201/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,311
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$2,417
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,705
− Management
−$1,705
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable income
$3,779
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$907
After-tax cash flow
$4,687/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cincinnati Public Schools
NCES district ID
3904375
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$35,743
Composite
25.21/100
National rank
#7508
State rank
#581 of 656 in OH

Livability — Cincinnati

Score
80/100
State rank
#130
US rank
#1856

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cincinnati, OH
County
Hamilton County · 701,295 people
City population
505,555
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
13,529
Household income
$32,263
Rent vs Own
69.4% rent · 30.6% own
Severe rent burden
1730.0

Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
826,054 people
By 2030
830,947 · +0.6%
By 2040
832,319 · +0.8%
By 2050
822,428 · -0.4%
By 2075
788,688 · -4.5%
By 2100
710,674 · -14.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (65%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 65% White 24% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton

2024 margin
D (+14.9) · D 57.0% · R 42.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.9pp toward D · 2008: 7.0pp · 2024: 14.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+14.9 2020: D+15.9 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+7.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.34%
Current HPI
254.492
Rent YoY
▲ 5.55%
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+49.5% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $129,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2025-09-04 Sold (MLS) $104,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2025-09-04 Sold (MLS) $104,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2025-07-17 Contingent Dayton MLS
  • 2025-07-17 Contingent Cincy MLS
  • 2025-06-24 Listed $104,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2025-06-24 Listed $104,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2025-03-16 Listing Removed Cincy MLS
  • 2025-01-09 Price Changed $115,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2025-01-02 Relisted Cincy MLS
  • 2024-12-27 Contingent Cincy MLS
  • 2024-12-19 Listed $99,999 Cincy MLS
  • 2017-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $109,900 Public Records
  • 2017-04-25 Sold (MLS) $109,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2017-03-09 Contingent Cincy MLS
  • 2016-11-11 Price Changed $114,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2016-10-13 Listed $116,500 Cincy MLS
  • 2004-08-25 Sold (Public Records) $83,800 Public Records
  • 2004-08-18 Sold (MLS) $83,731 Cincy MLS
  • 2004-05-22 Listed $86,900 Cincy MLS

Property tax history

+9.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,417 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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