813 S Fred Shuttlesworth Cir · Cincinnati, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bed, 1 bath Avondale home. Located on a cul-de-sac street. Great location, close to downtown Cincinnati, hospitals and universities. Plenty of room with approx. 1740 sq ft per HVA. Off street parking.
Key facts
- Original hardwood
- Natural woodwork
- Covered front porch
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Second-floor area approximately 850
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Built-in 1-car garage; Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas
- Home design: Tudor-style single family home; One and one-half stories; Handyman/needs work
- Construction: Brick and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Poured foundation; One fireplace (currently inoperable)
- Exterior features: Front porch; Less than 0.5 acre lot (approx. 50 x 175 irregular); Residential zoning
Interior
- Kitchen: Tile floor and wood cabinets; Gas cooktop; Oven/Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms total; Primary bedroom about 13 x 12 (located on level 2); Second bedroom about 14 x 13 (located on level 2); Third bedroom about 14 x 13 (located on level 2)
- Flooring: Wood floors in living room, dining room, study/den, and entry; Tile floor in kitchen
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (located on level 2)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air gas heating; Gas water heating
- Interior features: 9+ foot ceilings with beam ceiling; Multi-panel doors; Natural woodwork; Full unfinished walkout basement with concrete floor
- Laundry & utility: Basement utility area (basement is full and unfinished)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $466 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 3.9% in Cincinnati — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#130 in OH, #1,856 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Cincinnati Public Schools (urban): math 25% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #581 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 49 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,776/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($32k/yr) (locally 1730% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $105k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.38%
- DSCR
- 1.68
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $243,600
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 813 S Fred Shuttlesworth Cir | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,740 (0%) | 10mo | $104,900 | $60 | 87 |
| 810 S Fred Shuttlesworth Cir | 0.03mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,751 (+1%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $94 | 86 |
| 723 N Fred Shuttlesworth Cir | 0.34mi | 4/1.5 | 1,780 (+2%) | 16mo | $226,000 | $127 | 65 |
| 634 Greenwood Ave | 0.42mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,777 (+2%) | 6mo | $314,000 | $177 | 61 |
| 3935 Warwick Ave | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 | 1,796 (+3%) | 6mo | $260,000 | $145 | 54 |
| 3970 Abington Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,693 (-3%) | 2mo | $405,000 | $239 | 51 |
| 3970 Ardmore Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,766 (+2%) | 10mo | $247,000 | $140 | 51 |
| 1608 Brewster Ave | 0.75mi | 4/1.0 | 1,576 (-9%) | 2mo | $147,500 | $94 | 48 |
| 1606 Brewster Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,600 (-8%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $94 | 41 |
| 3552 Woodburn Ave | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 | 1,572 (-10%) | 12mo | $275,000 | $175 | 36 |
| 3319 Milton Ct | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,889 (+9%) | 17mo | $106,000 | $56 | 34 |
| 3959 Warwick Ave | 0.71mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,634 (-6%) | 15mo | $373,000 | $228 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.55% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $13,364
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.93×
- Total profit
- $70,276
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45229
- Home prices YoY
- -24.0%
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 49
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,776 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$201 /mo · $2,417/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$373
- Net cashflow
- $466
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $540 | -5% $503 | +0% $466 | +5% $429 | +10% $393 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $326 | -5% $396 | +0% $466 | +5% $536 | +10% $606 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $532 | -0.5pp $499 | base $466 | +0.5pp $432 | +1.0pp $398 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3640 Reading Rd Unit 3640-1 Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1113 | $1,295 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 979 Burton Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1725 | $1,595 | $0.92 | 3d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 870 Rockdale Ave Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1749 | $1,800 | $1.03 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 3564 Estes Pl Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1662 | $1,500 | $0.90 | 2d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 3595 Harvey Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1200 | $2,250 | $1.88 | 2d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3550 Woodburn Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1308 | $2,000 | $1.53 | 15d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1607 Asmann Ave Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1069 | $1,695 | $1.58 | 13d | 6 | 0.73mi |
| 575 Blair Ave Unit 575-3 Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,375 | $1.15 | 15d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1512 Blair Ave Apt B Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,795 | $1.63 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 434 Northern Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1518 | $2,700 | $1.78 | 5d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3139 Gaff Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1711 | $1,795 | $1.05 | 16d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1524 Ruth Ave Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1971 | $1,595 | $0.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1725 Cleneay Ave Norwood, OH | 1.0–5.0 | 1.0–5.0 | 1060 | $2,827 | $2.67 | 2d | 46 | 0.94mi |
| 3209 Gilbert Ave Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1548 | $1,395 | $0.90 | 3d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3028 Gilbert Ave Cincinnati, OH | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1936 | $1,700 | $0.88 | 20d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 4133 Huston Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1210 | $1,725 | $1.43 | 13d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4133 Huston Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1210 | $1,725 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3131 Harvard Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1264 | $1,645 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 3326 Fairfield Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1566 | $1,600 | $1.02 | 11d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3113 Harvard Ave Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1895 | $2,700 | $1.42 | 15d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1710 Fairfax Ave Unit 1710 Cincinnati, OH | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 21 Clinton Springs Ln Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1304 | $1,650 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1709 Sherman Ave Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,300 | $1.53 | 2d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3508 Bevis Ave Cincinnati, OH | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1744 | $2,400 | $1.38 | 2d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1931 Delaware Ave Unit 2 Norwood, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $1,810 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3915 Lindley Ave Unit 2 Norwood, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,950 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 15 Bertus St Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1520 | $1,895 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 4342 Vine St #2 Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 28 Juergens Ave Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1306 | $1,625 | $1.24 | 5d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3921 Spencer Ave Apt 2 Norwood, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1636 | $2,400 | $1.47 | 17d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2123 Cameron Ave Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2165 | $4,500 | $2.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 3901 Elsmere Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1415 | $1,995 | $1.41 | 3d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-19status $129,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,900 Contingency Pending 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Contingency Pending 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Contingency Pending 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Contingency Pending 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Contingency Pending 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Contingency Pending 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Contingency Pending 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $129,900 Contingency Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 586-char remark
-
2026-06-07$129,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,417 · $201/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,417 · $201/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,311
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$2,417
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,705
- − Management
- −$1,705
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $3,779
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$907
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,687/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cincinnati Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3904375
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,743
- Composite
- 25.21/100
- National rank
- #7508
- State rank
- #581 of 656 in OH
Livability — Cincinnati
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #130
- US rank
- #1856
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cincinnati, OH
- County
- Hamilton County · 701,295 people
- City population
- 505,555
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,529
- Household income
- $32,263
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1730.0
Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 826,054 people
- By 2030
- 830,947 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 832,319 · +0.8%
- By 2050
- 822,428 · -0.4%
- By 2075
- 788,688 · -4.5%
- By 2100
- 710,674 · -14.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 65% White 24% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.9) · D 57.0% · R 42.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: 7.0pp · 2024: 14.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.9 2020: D+15.9 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.34%
- Current HPI
- 254.492
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.55%
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+49.5% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $129,900 Cincy MLS
- 2025-09-04 Sold (MLS) $104,900 Dayton MLS
- 2025-09-04 Sold (MLS) $104,900 Cincy MLS
- 2025-07-17 Contingent — Dayton MLS
- 2025-07-17 Contingent — Cincy MLS
- 2025-06-24 Listed $104,900 Dayton MLS
- 2025-06-24 Listed $104,900 Cincy MLS
- 2025-03-16 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2025-01-09 Price Changed $115,000 Cincy MLS
- 2025-01-02 Relisted — Cincy MLS
- 2024-12-27 Contingent — Cincy MLS
- 2024-12-19 Listed $99,999 Cincy MLS
- 2017-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $109,900 Public Records
- 2017-04-25 Sold (MLS) $109,900 Cincy MLS
- 2017-03-09 Contingent — Cincy MLS
- 2016-11-11 Price Changed $114,900 Cincy MLS
- 2016-10-13 Listed $116,500 Cincy MLS
- 2004-08-25 Sold (Public Records) $83,800 Public Records
- 2004-08-18 Sold (MLS) $83,731 Cincy MLS
- 2004-05-22 Listed $86,900 Cincy MLS
Property tax history
+9.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,417 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…