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1711 N Oak Grove Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
C- Composite 51.7
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,900

1711 N Oak Grove Ave · Springfield, MO 65803
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 864 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 60 Days on market
Built 1948 9,017 sqft lot $139/sqft · 12% below area Est $161k · 25% under ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor and opportunity seekers -- take note! Located in a sought-after NE Springfield neighborhood, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers strong upside for rental income, a smart flip, or an affordable first home with room to build equity. Property features a fireplace, fenced yard, detached workshop/ storage, covered parking, and extra enclosed porch space with a layout ready for value-adding updates. With limited inventory and strong buyer demand in this price range, this wont last long. Homes with this level of potential and location move fast -- schedule your showing immediately and submit your strongest offer. TENANT OCCUPIED UNTIL MAY 26th 2026. Current showings available by appointment only between 8am-9am with tenant approval until vacancy with 48 hours notice

Key facts

  • Covered parking
  • Fenced yard
  • Detached workshop

Tags

FENCED YARDDETACHED WORKSHOPCOVERED PARKINGENCLOSED PORCH SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $119,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$160,764) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $48 ($575/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $101k (16.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $101k (16.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.6% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#57 in MO, #4,121 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Springfield R-XII (urban): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #174 of 324 in MO (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 394 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 71% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,302 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Greene County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $100,690 (16.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
6.77%
Cash-on-cash
1.71%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$160,764
List price
$119,900
Delta
-25.42%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2351 E Pacific St 0.21mi 2/1.0 868 (+0%) 10mo $55,000 $63 81
1905 N Burton Ave 0.27mi 2/1.0 848 (-2%) 8mo $134,900 $159 78
1605 N Oak Grove Ave 0.12mi 2/1.0 912 (+6%) 15mo $139,000 $152 72
1667 N Hayes Ave 0.26mi 2/1.0 912 (+6%) 10mo $129,900 $142 70
2645 E Division St 0.21mi 2/1.0 768 (-11%) 11mo $99,000 $129 63
1835 N Burton Ave 0.25mi 2/1.0 960 (+11%) 15mo $137,999 $144 58
2650 E Locust St 0.20mi 3/1.0 (+1) 939 (+9%) 16mo $146,500 $156 58
2653 E Division St 0.23mi 2/1.0 986 (+14%) 14mo $124,000 $126 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.24% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.4%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-15,139
Equity at exit
$17,877
10-year hold
IRR
-1.7%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-4,041
Equity at exit
$10,367

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65803

Home prices YoY
-29.8%
Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
394
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,007 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$69 /mo · $826/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$211
Net cashflow
$48

Break-even live

Break-even rent $946
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1825 N Oak Grove Ave Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0 852 $995 $1.17 43d 1 0.14mi
1710 E Commercial St Unit B Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 950 $775 $0.82 43d 1 1.04mi
504 N Patterson Ave Apt C Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 760 $725 $0.95 43d 1 1.16mi
2650 N Barnes Ave Apt C22 Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 43d 1 1.21mi
1501 E Blaine St Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 958 $695 $0.73 23d 1 1.32mi
1529 N Weller Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 870 $995 $1.14 23d 1 1.36mi
2337 N Delaware Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 876 $1,195 $1.36 43d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $119,900 Pending 60 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,900 Active 59 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,900 Active 58 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,900 Active 57 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 56 DOM
  6. 2026-05-30
    days on market $119,900 Active 55 DOM
  7. 2026-05-18
    status Active 777-char remark
    Show marketing remark (777 chars)

    Investor and opportunity seekers -- take note! Located in a sought-after NE Springfield neighborhood, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers strong upside for rental income, a smart flip, or an affordable first home with room to build equity. Property features a fireplace, fenced yard, detached workshop/ storage, covered parking, and extra enclosed porch space with a layout ready for value-adding updates. With limited inventory and strong buyer demand in this price range, this wont last long. Homes with this level of potential and location move fast -- schedule your showing immediately and submit your strongest offer. TENANT OCCUPIED UNTIL MAY 26th 2026. Current showings available by appointment only between 8am-9am with tenant approval until vacancy with 48 hours notice

  8. 2026-04-15
    price $119,900 777-char remark
    Show marketing remark (777 chars)

    Investor and opportunity seekers -- take note! Located in a sought-after NE Springfield neighborhood, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers strong upside for rental income, a smart flip, or an affordable first home with room to build equity. Property features a fireplace, fenced yard, detached workshop/ storage, covered parking, and extra enclosed porch space with a layout ready for value-adding updates. With limited inventory and strong buyer demand in this price range, this wont last long. Homes with this level of potential and location move fast -- schedule your showing immediately and submit your strongest offer. TENANT OCCUPIED UNTIL MAY 26th 2026. Current showings available by appointment only between 8am-9am with tenant approval until vacancy with 48 hours notice

  9. 2026-04-03
    listed $129,000 Active 777-char remark
    Show marketing remark (777 chars)

    Investor and opportunity seekers -- take note! Located in a sought-after NE Springfield neighborhood, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers strong upside for rental income, a smart flip, or an affordable first home with room to build equity. Property features a fireplace, fenced yard, detached workshop/ storage, covered parking, and extra enclosed porch space with a layout ready for value-adding updates. With limited inventory and strong buyer demand in this price range, this wont last long. Homes with this level of potential and location move fast -- schedule your showing immediately and submit your strongest offer. TENANT OCCUPIED UNTIL MAY 26th 2026. Current showings available by appointment only between 8am-9am with tenant approval until vacancy with 48 hours notice

  10. 2011-09-29
    soldstatus
  11. 2008-01-09
    soldstatus
  12. 2003-10-28
    soldstatus
  13. 2003-05-23
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$826 · $69/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,163 · $97/mo
Expected delta
+$338/yr (+$28/mo · 40.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,083
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$826
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$967
− Management
−$967
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable loss
−$1,480
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$355
After-tax cash flow
$930/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Springfield R-XII
NCES district ID
2928860
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$37,886
Composite
32.45/100
National rank
#5717
State rank
#174 of 324 in MO

Livability — Springfield

Score
75/100
State rank
#57
US rank
#4121

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Springfield, MO
County
Greene County · 244,327 people
City population
223,044
Metro
Springfield, MO
Population (ZIP)
42,882
Household income
$50,572
Rent vs Own
45.0% rent · 55.0% own
Severe rent burden
1305.0

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
319,054 people
By 2030
335,135 · +5.0%
By 2040
366,186 · +14.8%
By 2050
397,431 · +24.6%
By 2075
477,035 · +49.5%
By 2100
520,828 · +63.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.8) · D 38.9% · R 59.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-5.0pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -20.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+24.4 2008: R+15.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -87.08%
Current HPI
205.0439
Rent YoY
▲ 4.24%
Metro
Springfield, MO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.1% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Relisted SOMO
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $119,900 SOMO
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $129,000 SOMO
  • 2011-09-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2008-01-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2003-10-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2003-05-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $826 · +20.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…