17311 Central Park Ave · Hazel Crest, IL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- ARV discount +3.2/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$240,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
HUD FORECLOSURE SALE! CASE#131-875914 SOLD"AS IS". INSURED STATUS:IE, "INSURED VALUE $62547". HUD ELEC AUCTION. USE HUD KEY. DISCLSR INCLD LBP, PROP COND REPORT, BIDDING & PROCEDURES SEE SHOWING INSTR. L/D 6.26.09
Key facts
- Outdoor bar
- Quiet street
- Backyard oasis
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Rehab noted (2025); Property located in Hazel Crest, Bremen township
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: One parking space (total)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story residence; Fee simple ownership; Rehab completed in 2025; Estimated living area
- Construction: Brick and frame construction; Built approximately 51–60 years ago; Property built before 1978
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions about 40 x 135; Lot smaller than 0.25 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Main-level kitchen approximately 14 x 8
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (including a second-floor master bedroom); Second-floor bedroom approximately 17 x 12; Second-floor bedroom approximately 14 x 11; Second-floor master bedroom approximately 13 x 11
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Six total rooms; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $76 ($915/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $240k).
- Recommended offer: $233k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 8.9% in Hazel Crest — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#229 in IL, #4,242 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Bremen Chsd 228 (suburban): math 15% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #468 of 620 in IL (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Highlands Elem School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,517 of 2,056 statewide, top 78%, 327 students, 0% FRL); Prairie-Hills Junior High School (math 7% / reading 10%, grade F, #605 of 665 statewide, top 91%, 825 students, 0% FRL); Hillcrest High School (math 4% / reading 4%, grade F, #657 of 693 statewide, top 95%, 1,314 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $42k; list at $240k implies a 478% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.36%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $218,925
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3500 Maple Ln | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,546 (-2%) | 6mo | $192,000 | $124 | 77 |
| 17306 Burr Oak Ln | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,658 (+5%) | 2mo | $170,000 | $103 | 74 |
| 17110 Apple Tree Dr | 0.35mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,534 (-3%) | 1mo | $255,000 | $166 | 72 |
| 17142 Orchard Ln | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,610 (+2%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $93 | 68 |
| 17126 Central Park Ave | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 | 1,400 (-11%) | 6mo | $195,000 | $139 | 66 |
| 3311 Hickory Ln | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 | 1,400 (-11%) | 3mo | $200,000 | $143 | 66 |
| 3100 Longfellow Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,601 (+2%) | 3mo | $210,000 | $131 | 63 |
| 17700 Springfield Ave | 0.61mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,450 (-8%) | 2mo | $240,000 | $166 | 52 |
| 3736 168th Pl | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,533 (-3%) | 3mo | $110,000 | $72 | 52 |
| 17721 Sarah Ln | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,800 (+14%) | 4mo | $330,000 | $183 | 43 |
| 16943 Old Elm Dr | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,400 (-11%) | 3mo | $255,000 | $182 | 40 |
| 3105 172nd St | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,378 (-12%) | 7mo | $175,000 | $127 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-33,877
- Equity at exit
- $35,785
- IRR
- -5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-22,602
- Equity at exit
- $20,751
Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60429
- Home prices YoY
- -14.0%
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,448 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,259
- Tax from tax record
- −$499 /mo · $5,985/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$514
- Net cashflow
- $76
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $212 | -5% $144 | +0% $76 | +5% $8 | +10% $-60 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-117 | -5% $-20 | +0% $76 | +5% $173 | +10% $270 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $197 | -0.5pp $137 | base $76 | +0.5pp $14 | +1.0pp $-49 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,000
- Closing costs
- $7,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3900 171st St Country Club Hills, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1750 | $2,250 | $1.29 | 0d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3900 171st St Country Club Hills, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1750 | $2,250 | $1.29 | 9d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 17306 Holmes Ave Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1535 | $2,195 | $1.43 | 6d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3824 168th Pl Country Club Hills, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1583 | $2,400 | $1.52 | 0d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3212 Charlemagne Ave Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1412 | $2,650 | $1.88 | 0d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3515 Bordeaux Ct Hazel Crest, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1486 | $2,900 | $1.95 | 3d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2722 Larkspur Ln Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1441 | $2,650 | $1.84 | 14d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 18019 Ravisloe Ter Country Club Hills, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $2,800 | $2.43 | 0d | 1 | 1.15mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $240,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $240,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $240,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $240,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $240,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $240,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $240,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $240,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $240,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $240,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $240,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $240,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $240,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $240,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-20status Active
-
2026-05-08historical Contingent - No Showings
-
2026-04-28$240,000 Active
-
2009-08-28soldstatus $41,526 Closed Sale 239-char remark
Show marketing remark (239 chars)
HUD FORECLOSURE SALE! CASE#131-875914 SOLD"AS IS". INSURED STATUS:IE, "INSURED VALUE $62547". HUD ELEC AUCTION. USE HUD KEY. DISCLSR INCLD LBP, PROP COND REPORT, BIDDING & PROCEDURES SEE SHOWING INSTR. L/D 6.26.09
-
2009-07-07status Pending 239-char remark
Show marketing remark (239 chars)
HUD FORECLOSURE SALE! CASE#131-875914 SOLD"AS IS". INSURED STATUS:IE, "INSURED VALUE $62547". HUD ELEC AUCTION. USE HUD KEY. DISCLSR INCLD LBP, PROP COND REPORT, BIDDING & PROCEDURES SEE SHOWING INSTR. L/D 6.26.09
-
2009-06-26status 239-char remark
Show marketing remark (239 chars)
HUD FORECLOSURE SALE! CASE#131-875914 SOLD"AS IS". INSURED STATUS:IE, "INSURED VALUE $62547". HUD ELEC AUCTION. USE HUD KEY. DISCLSR INCLD LBP, PROP COND REPORT, BIDDING & PROCEDURES SEE SHOWING INSTR. L/D 6.26.09
-
2009-06-08historical 239-char remark
Show marketing remark (239 chars)
HUD FORECLOSURE SALE! CASE#131-875914 SOLD"AS IS". INSURED STATUS:IE, "INSURED VALUE $62547". HUD ELEC AUCTION. USE HUD KEY. DISCLSR INCLD LBP, PROP COND REPORT, BIDDING & PROCEDURES SEE SHOWING INSTR. L/D 6.26.09
-
2009-05-29price $30,000 239-char remark
Show marketing remark (239 chars)
HUD FORECLOSURE SALE! CASE#131-875914 SOLD"AS IS". INSURED STATUS:IE, "INSURED VALUE $62547". HUD ELEC AUCTION. USE HUD KEY. DISCLSR INCLD LBP, PROP COND REPORT, BIDDING & PROCEDURES SEE SHOWING INSTR. L/D 6.26.09
-
2009-05-29status 239-char remark
Show marketing remark (239 chars)
HUD FORECLOSURE SALE! CASE#131-875914 SOLD"AS IS". INSURED STATUS:IE, "INSURED VALUE $62547". HUD ELEC AUCTION. USE HUD KEY. DISCLSR INCLD LBP, PROP COND REPORT, BIDDING & PROCEDURES SEE SHOWING INSTR. L/D 6.26.09
-
2009-01-26historical 239-char remark
Show marketing remark (239 chars)
HUD FORECLOSURE SALE! CASE#131-875914 SOLD"AS IS". INSURED STATUS:IE, "INSURED VALUE $62547". HUD ELEC AUCTION. USE HUD KEY. DISCLSR INCLD LBP, PROP COND REPORT, BIDDING & PROCEDURES SEE SHOWING INSTR. L/D 6.26.09
-
2009-01-09price $52,500 239-char remark
Show marketing remark (239 chars)
HUD FORECLOSURE SALE! CASE#131-875914 SOLD"AS IS". INSURED STATUS:IE, "INSURED VALUE $62547". HUD ELEC AUCTION. USE HUD KEY. DISCLSR INCLD LBP, PROP COND REPORT, BIDDING & PROCEDURES SEE SHOWING INSTR. L/D 6.26.09
-
2008-12-05price $60,000 239-char remark
Show marketing remark (239 chars)
HUD FORECLOSURE SALE! CASE#131-875914 SOLD"AS IS". INSURED STATUS:IE, "INSURED VALUE $62547". HUD ELEC AUCTION. USE HUD KEY. DISCLSR INCLD LBP, PROP COND REPORT, BIDDING & PROCEDURES SEE SHOWING INSTR. L/D 6.26.09
-
2008-10-31$75,000 239-char remark
Show marketing remark (239 chars)
HUD FORECLOSURE SALE! CASE#131-875914 SOLD"AS IS". INSURED STATUS:IE, "INSURED VALUE $62547". HUD ELEC AUCTION. USE HUD KEY. DISCLSR INCLD LBP, PROP COND REPORT, BIDDING & PROCEDURES SEE SHOWING INSTR. L/D 6.26.09
-
2008-10-08historical
-
2008-07-25price
-
2008-05-09
-
1997-11-21soldstatus $79,000
-
1986-05-01soldstatus $58,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,985 · $499/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,985 · $499/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,371
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,444
- − Property taxes
- −$5,985
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,350
- − Management
- −$2,350
- − Depreciation
- −$6,982
- Taxable loss
- −$2,939
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$705
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,620/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bremen Chsd 228
- NCES district ID
- 1707050
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,625
- Composite
- 15.32/100
- National rank
- #9327
- State rank
- #468 of 620 in IL
Livability — Hazel Crest
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #229
- US rank
- #4242
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hazel Crest, IL
- City population
- 14,602
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,602
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 83% White 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.04%
- Current HPI
- 282.3552
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
+313.8% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-08 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-28 Listed $240,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-08-28 Sold (MLS) $41,526 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-07-07 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-06-26 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-06-08 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-05-29 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-05-29 Price Changed $30,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-01-26 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-01-09 Price Changed $52,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-12-05 Price Changed $60,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-10-31 Listed $75,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-10-08 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-07-25 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-05-09 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1997-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $79,000 Public Records
- 1986-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2023): $5,985 · -15.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…