507 N 19th Ave #74 · Cornelius, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 11 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 507 N 19th Ave Unit 74 in Cornelius! This beautifully updated 2-bedroom, 1-bath home in a 55+ community was remodeled in 2026 and is move-in ready. Features include a new kitchen, updated bathroom, newer windows, new fiber cement siding, luxury vinyl flooring, fresh interior and exterior paint, and a durable rubberized metal roof. Enjoy two covered outdoor living areas, a carport, storage shed, and mature shade tree. Space rent is just $975/month and includes water, sewer, and garbage.
Key facts
- New kitchen
- Newer windows
- Fresh interior paint
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: No home warranty; No assessments/liens reported
- HOA & community: Space rent: $975/month (includes water, sewer, garbage); Adult (55+) park
Exterior
- Parking: Carport; 1 garage space
- Utilities: Park rent includes water, sewer, and garbage
- Home design: Single-wide manufactured home; Adult park community (55+); Blue exterior color; Lap siding style; Facing/details: Park name Smoke Tree Mobile
- Construction: Built in 1981; Fiber cement siding; Metal or aluminum roof; Pier foundation
- Exterior features: Covered deck; Covered patio; Landscaped yard; Shed (outbuilding); Common lot type; RV/Camper pad or area available
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Kitchen on the main level
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the main level; Second bedroom on the main level
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Vinyl flooring; Dining area (combined); High-speed communication: unknown
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $667 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.7% vs local median 2.9% in Cornelius — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#47 in OR, #1,193 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, cost of living C-.
- Forest Grove SD 15 (suburban): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #111 of 183 in OR (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Forest Grove High School (1,977 students, 41% FRL).
- Market conditions: 113 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,224 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (242 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $16k; list at $85k implies a 441% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.87% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.64%
- DSCR
- 2.50
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $28,224
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 507 N 19th Ave #39 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (0%) | 16mo | $69,000 | $88 | 86 |
| 507 N 19th Ave #2 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (+7%) | 8mo | $30,000 | $36 | 82 |
| 570 N 10th Ave #75 | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 | 840 (+7%) | 4mo | $16,000 | $19 | 64 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.21×
- Total profit
- $28,738
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 36.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.35×
- Total profit
- $79,832
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97113
- Active inventory
- 113
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,588 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$106 /mo · $1,275/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$333
- Net cashflow
- $667
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1100 N Davis St Cornelius, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,645 | $2.19 | 1d | 2 | 0.41mi |
| 1250 E Baseline St Unit 4 Cornelius, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,280 | $1.83 | 4d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 267 N 10th Ave Unit 125-11 Cornelius, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 687 | $1,375 | $2.00 | 7d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 281 N 10th Ave Cornelius, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 585 | $1,350 | $2.31 | 1d | 3 | 0.59mi |
| 110 N 7th Ave Apt C Cornelius, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1015 | $1,749 | $1.72 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 120 N 7th Ave Unit D Cornelius, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1015 | $1,699 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 110 N 7th Ave Apt A Cornelius, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1015 | $1,609 | $1.59 | 7d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2795 N Clark Ct Cornelius, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,295 | $2.09 | 17d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 100 N 7th Ave Apt B Cornelius, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1015 | $1,599 | $1.58 | 14d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 100 N 7th Ave Unit A Cornelius, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1015 | $1,595 | $1.57 | 20d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 101 N 7th Ave Apt D Cornelius, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 936 | $1,545 | $1.65 | 14d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 101 N 7th Ave Unit C Cornelius, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 936 | $1,499 | $1.60 | 21d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 299 N 5th Pl Cornelius, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 956 | $1,900 | $1.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 522 N Adair St #16 Cornelius, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,250 | $2.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 466 N Adair St #9 Cornelius, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,295 | $2.16 | 10d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 130 N 4th Ave Apt 18 Cornelius, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,295 | $2.16 | 21d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 130 N 4th Ave Apt 18 Cornelius, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,350 | $2.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 184 S 5th Ave Unit 164 Cornelius, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1114 | $1,795 | $1.61 | 14d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1318 S Ivy St Cornelius, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,795 | $2.20 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1330 S Ivy St Cornelius, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,745 | $2.14 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1367 S Ivy St Apt B Cornelius, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,550 | $1.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 4300 Pacific Ave Forest Grove, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,645 | $1.73 | 1d | 5 | 1.16mi |
| 4204 Pacific Ave Forest Grove, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 1d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 313 S Nectarine St Cornelius, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $2,295 | $2.06 | 19d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $85,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02$85,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,056
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$1,275
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,524
- − Management
- −$1,524
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $7,073
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,697
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,308/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Forest Grove SD 15
- NCES district ID
- 4105160
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,159
- Composite
- 36.31/100
- National rank
- #9395
- State rank
- #111 of 183 in OR
Livability — Cornelius
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #47
- US rank
- #1193
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cornelius, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,621
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 674,042 people
- By 2030
- 721,804 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 812,732 · +20.6%
- By 2050
- 895,143 · +32.8%
- By 2075
- 1,058,806 · +57.1%
- By 2100
- 1,131,692 · +67.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 47% White 46% Two or more races 13% Native American 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 42%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 55% English-only · Spanish 42% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+34.0) · D 65.3% · R 31.3% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.8pp toward D · 2008: 22.1pp · 2024: 34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+34.0 2020: D+34.6 2016: D+26.7 2012: D+17.5 2008: D+22.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -171.16%
- Current HPI
- 285.7514
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+441.4% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $85,000 WVMLS
- 1980-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,700 Public Records
Property tax history
-38.7%/yrLatest (2015): $6 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…