420 E Otis Ave · Salina, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.8/30.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Shaded front porch
- Main floor laundry
- Expansive backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public sewer available
- Home design: Single-family onsite-built home
- Construction: Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: One level; Composition roof; Slab foundation
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air (electric); Forced air heating (natural gas)
- Interior features: Dishwasher; No basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $244 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $112k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#127 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Salina (town): math 21% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #134 of 169 in KS (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Oakdale Elem (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #463 of 684 statewide, top 73%, 290 students, 82% FRL); Lakewood Middle School (math 11% / reading 23%, grade F, #167 of 219 statewide, top 78%, 688 students, 65% FRL); Salina High Central (math 8% / reading 24%, grade F, #247 of 327 statewide, top 75%, 944 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 50% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 293 units permitted in Saline County in 2024 (186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Saline County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $48k; list at $115k implies a 140% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.09%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.91×
- Total profit
- $29,388
- Equity at exit
- $51,709
- IRR
- 17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.57×
- Total profit
- $82,862
- Equity at exit
- $79,690
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 67401-8729
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,273 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$111 /mo · $1,330/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$267
- Net cashflow
- $244
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $115,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $115,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $115,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $115,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $115,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $115,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-23price $115,000
-
2026-05-09price $129,000
-
2026-04-29$140,000 Active
-
2003-09-01soldstatus $48,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,330 · $111/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,622 · $135/mo
- Expected delta
- +$291/yr (+$24/mo · 21.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,277
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,330
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,222
- − Management
- −$1,222
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $1,141
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$274
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,653/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Salina
- NCES district ID
- 2011370
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,726
- Composite
- 21.94/100
- National rank
- #8224
- State rank
- #134 of 169 in KS
Livability — Salina
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #127
- US rank
- #6569
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Salina, KS
Population outlook (Saline County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 55,099 people
- By 2030
- 54,446 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 52,572 · -4.6%
- By 2050
- 50,362 · -8.6%
- By 2075
- 45,522 · -17.4%
- By 2100
- 40,059 · -27.3%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+139.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Price Changed $115,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $129,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-29 Listed $140,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,330 · -11.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…