1023 Burleigh Ave · Dayton, OH
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$64,995
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Perfect little cottage with one bedroom and one bath with an open floor plan. This updated home has a newer roof and bathroom.
Key facts
- Solid wood cabinetry
- Ample counter space
- Large front yard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Offered for sale
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Has heating (forced air)
- Home design: Single-story residence
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Residential lot approximately 0.13 acres (45 x 130)
Interior
- Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level (approx. 10 x 9)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: One total room (studio-style layout implied)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $303 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($898 rent vs $65k).
- Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 7.4% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
- Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 83 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 54% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $26k; list at $65k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.96%
- DSCR
- 1.89
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $42,640
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 911 Crestmore Ave | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 616 (-6%) | 14mo | $29,990 | $49 | 68 |
| 932 Crestmore Ave | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 702 (+7%) | 12mo | $75,000 | $107 | 65 |
| 1251 Canfield Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (+10%) | 7mo | $75,000 | $104 | 58 |
| 614 Crestmore Ave | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 616 (-6%) | 15mo | $40,000 | $65 | 56 |
| 1204 Alcott Dr | 0.34mi | 2/1.5 | 720 (+10%) | 18mo | $91,000 | $126 | 51 |
| 657 Brooklyn Ave | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 716 (+9%) | 24mo | $18,600 | $26 | 47 |
| 832 Clarkson Ave | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 744 (+13%) | 17mo | $38,500 | $52 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $9,628
- Equity at exit
- $9,691
- IRR
- 22.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.03×
- Total profit
- $36,900
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,199 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45402
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 83
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $898 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$39 /mo · $469/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$189
- Net cashflow
- $303
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $339 | -5% $321 | +0% $303 | +5% $284 | +10% $266 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $232 | -5% $267 | +0% $303 | +5% $338 | +10% $374 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $335 | -0.5pp $319 | base $303 | +0.5pp $286 | +1.0pp $269 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,249
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 828 Walton Ave Unit 832 Walton Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $795 | $1.06 | 24d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 3222 Athens Ave Unit C Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $700 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 3627 Delphos Ave Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $625 | $1.19 | 15d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 322 Lorenz Ave Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 634 | $850 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 3652 Otterbein Ave Unit 3652 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 3d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1903 W Grand Ave Unit 4 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $850 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 729 Cleverly Rd Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 626 | $950 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 41 N Marion St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 652 | $925 | $1.42 | 4d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1934 Tennyson Ave Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $700 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1982 Victoria Ave Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $700 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1923 Auburn Ave Apt 2 Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 490 | $600 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1923 Auburn Ave Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 490 | $600 | $1.22 | 15d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2109 Victoria Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 714 | $950 | $1.33 | 4d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $64,995 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $64,995 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $64,995 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $64,995 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-14remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-14$64,995 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $469 · $39/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $742 · $62/mo
- Expected delta
- +$272/yr (+$23/mo · 58.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,780
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$469
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$862
- − Management
- −$862
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $2,730
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$655
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,977/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dayton City
- NCES district ID
- 3904384
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,688
- Composite
- 12.94/100
- National rank
- #9579
- State rank
- #641 of 656 in OH
Livability — Dayton
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #716
- US rank
- #12895
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dayton, OH
- County
- Montgomery County · 459,541 people
- City population
- 164,387
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,407
- Household income
- $48,401
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 404.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% White 32% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.89%
- Current HPI
- 149.7909
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.98%
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+1199.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Listed $64,995 Dayton MLS
- 2022-12-20 Rental Removed — RENT.
- 2022-02-04 Sold (MLS) $26,000 Dayton MLS
- 2022-02-04 Sold (MLS) $26,000 Dayton MLS
- 2022-01-12 Contingent — Dayton MLS
- 2022-01-09 Listed $25,000 Dayton MLS
- 1984-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $5,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $469 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…