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1023 Burleigh Ave
B- Composite 66.86
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$64,995

1023 Burleigh Ave · Dayton, OH 45402
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 656 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1955 5,662 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Perfect little cottage with one bedroom and one bath with an open floor plan. This updated home has a newer roof and bathroom.

Key facts

  • Solid wood cabinetry
  • Ample counter space
  • Large front yard

Tags

VINYL SIDINGDARK WOOD-LOOK FLOORINGSOLID WOOD CABINETRYAMPLE COUNTER SPACELARGE FRONT YARDMATURE SHADE TREES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Offered for sale

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Has heating (forced air)
  • Home design: Single-story residence
  • Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Residential lot approximately 0.13 acres (45 x 130)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level (approx. 10 x 9)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: One total room (studio-style layout implied)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $303 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($898 rent vs $65k).
  • Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 7.4% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
  • Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 83 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 54% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $26k; list at $65k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $64,995

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.38%
Cap rate
11.88%
Cash-on-cash
19.96%
DSCR
1.89
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$42,640
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
911 Crestmore Ave 0.22mi 2/1.0 616 (-6%) 14mo $29,990 $49 68
932 Crestmore Ave 0.17mi 3/1.0 (+1) 702 (+7%) 12mo $75,000 $107 65
1251 Canfield Ave 0.43mi 2/1.0 720 (+10%) 7mo $75,000 $104 58
614 Crestmore Ave 0.47mi 2/1.0 616 (-6%) 15mo $40,000 $65 56
1204 Alcott Dr 0.34mi 2/1.5 720 (+10%) 18mo $91,000 $126 51
657 Brooklyn Ave 0.38mi 2/1.0 716 (+9%) 24mo $18,600 $26 47
832 Clarkson Ave 0.36mi 2/1.0 744 (+13%) 17mo $38,500 $52 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.98% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.1%
Equity multiple
1.53×
Total profit
$9,628
Equity at exit
$9,691
10-year hold
IRR
22.7%
Equity multiple
3.03×
Total profit
$36,900
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,199 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45402

Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
83
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$898 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$39 /mo · $469/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$189
Net cashflow
$303

Break-even live

Break-even rent $515
Max offer price $64,995
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $339 -5% $321 +0% $303 +5% $284 +10% $266
Rent -10% $232 -5% $267 +0% $303 +5% $338 +10% $374
Rate -1.0pp $335 -0.5pp $319 base $303 +0.5pp $286 +1.0pp $269

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,249
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
828 Walton Ave Unit 832 Walton Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 750 $795 $1.06 24d 1 0.27mi
3222 Athens Ave Unit C Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 700 $700 $1.00 44d 1 0.35mi
3627 Delphos Ave Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 525 $625 $1.19 15d 1 0.71mi
322 Lorenz Ave Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 634 $850 $1.34 44d 1 0.82mi
3652 Otterbein Ave Unit 3652 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 700 $800 $1.14 3d 1 0.84mi
1903 W Grand Ave Unit 4 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 600 $850 $1.42 44d 1 0.96mi
729 Cleverly Rd Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 626 $950 $1.52 44d 1 1.10mi
41 N Marion St Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 652 $925 $1.42 4d 1 1.12mi
1934 Tennyson Ave Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 675 $700 $1.04 44d 1 1.27mi
1982 Victoria Ave Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 675 $700 $1.04 44d 1 1.35mi
1923 Auburn Ave Apt 2 Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 490 $600 $1.22 44d 1 1.45mi
1923 Auburn Ave Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 490 $600 $1.22 15d 1 1.45mi
2109 Victoria Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 714 $950 $1.33 4d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $64,995 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $64,995 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $64,995 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $64,995 Active 2 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    remarks 699-char remark
  6. 2026-06-14
    listed $64,995 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$469 · $39/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$742 · $62/mo
Expected delta
+$272/yr (+$23/mo · 58.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,780
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$469
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$862
− Management
−$862
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$2,730
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$655
After-tax cash flow
$2,977/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dayton City
NCES district ID
3904384
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$28,688
Composite
12.94/100
National rank
#9579
State rank
#641 of 656 in OH

Livability — Dayton

Score
65/100
State rank
#716
US rank
#12895

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dayton, OH
County
Montgomery County · 459,541 people
City population
164,387
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
9,407
Household income
$48,401
Rent vs Own
64.1% rent · 35.9% own
Severe rent burden
404.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
523,241 people
By 2030
514,948 · -1.6%
By 2040
493,378 · -5.7%
By 2050
469,639 · -10.2%
By 2075
418,360 · -20.0%
By 2100
353,315 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Black 57% White 32% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -81.89%
Current HPI
149.7909
Rent YoY
▲ 3.98%
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1199.9% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-13 Listed $64,995 Dayton MLS
  • 2022-12-20 Rental Removed RENT.
  • 2022-02-04 Sold (MLS) $26,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2022-02-04 Sold (MLS) $26,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2022-01-12 Contingent Dayton MLS
  • 2022-01-09 Listed $25,000 Dayton MLS
  • 1984-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $5,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $469 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…