529 E Uncle Tom St St · Greentown, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.6/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
New electrical panel in 2025.
Key facts
- 0.34 acre lot
- Built 1940
- Listed 90 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $383 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $85k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 6.0% in Greentown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#243 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Eastern Howard School Corporation (town): math 40% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #100 of 301 in IN (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Eastern Elementary School (math 50% / reading 39%, grade F, #379 of 994 statewide, top 41%, 770 students, 45% FRL); Eastern Middle School (math 30% / reading 44%, grade F, #152 of 330 statewide, top 47%, 397 students, 48% FRL); Eastern High School (math 42% / reading 82%, grade B-, #41 of 369 statewide, top 12%, 467 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 45% FRL vs 24% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 194 units permitted in Howard County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Howard County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.26%
- DSCR
- 1.81
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $104,104
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 529 E Uncle Tom St St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 676 (0%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $118 | 99 |
| 331 W Payton St | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (+14%) | 12mo | $117,900 | $154 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $9,824
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.59×
- Total profit
- $39,957
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46936
- Home prices YoY
- -24.1%
- Active inventory
- 30
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,229 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$79 /mo · $948/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$258
- Net cashflow
- $383
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-12status Pending
-
2026-03-25price $89,900
-
2026-02-17price $93,900
-
2026-01-12$104,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $948 · $79/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $948 · $79/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,748
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$948
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,180
- − Management
- −$1,180
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $3,340
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$802
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,794/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Eastern Howard School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803150
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,636
- Composite
- 38.2/100
- National rank
- #4255
- State rank
- #100 of 301 in IN
Livability — Greentown
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #243
- US rank
- #10353
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Greentown, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,956
Population outlook (Howard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 81,522 people
- By 2030
- 80,104 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 76,708 · -5.9%
- By 2050
- 72,880 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 64,016 · -21.5%
- By 2100
- 51,705 · -36.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Portuguese 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Howard
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.3) · D 31.4% · R 66.7% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.1pp toward R · 2008: -6.2pp · 2024: -35.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.3 2020: R+32.4 2016: R+33.9 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.91%
- Current HPI
- 211.2334
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
-14.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-12 Pending — IRMLS
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $89,900 IRMLS
- 2026-02-17 Price Changed $93,900 IRMLS
- 2026-01-12 Listed $104,900 IRMLS
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2024): $948 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…