1934 Port Ln · Amarillo, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.2/30.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Townhome with great bones. Fixer upper sold as is. No repairs.
Key facts
- Built 1986
- Listed 215 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $300 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime F.
- Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,214 units permitted in Potter County in 2024 (650 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 216 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $63k; list at $150k implies a 138% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 216 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.57%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.69% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-2,124
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $35,816
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79106
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,752 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$236 /mo · $2,833/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$368
- Net cashflow
- $300
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $384 | -5% $342 | +0% $300 | +5% $257 | +10% $215 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $161 | -5% $230 | +0% $300 | +5% $369 | +10% $438 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $375 | -0.5pp $338 | base $300 | +0.5pp $261 | +1.0pp $221 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1908 Kirkland Dr Amarillo, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1756 | $2,000 | $1.14 | 22d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 6230 Belpree Rd Unit 6230 Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $1,850 | $0.93 | 14d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1509 Bell St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1407 | $1,745 | $1.24 | 22d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2303 Larry St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1522 | $1,900 | $1.25 | 14d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 7111 Imperial Trl Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1970 | $2,150 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 5117 SW 16th Ave Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1513 | $1,745 | $1.15 | 22d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 7603 Canode Dr Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1739 | $2,200 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 7727 Cervin Dr Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1696 | $2,200 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $149,900 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,900 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,900 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,900 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,900 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $149,900 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,900 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $149,900 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,900 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,900 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $149,900 Active 194 DOM
-
2025-11-05$149,900 Active 62-char remark
Show marketing remark (62 chars)
Townhome with great bones. Fixer upper sold as is. No repairs.
-
2015-04-24soldstatus $63,000
-
2005-11-01soldstatus
-
2005-10-19soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,833 · $236/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,833 · $236/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,026
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$2,833
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,682
- − Management
- −$1,682
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $1,322
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$317
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,278/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Amarillo ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4808130
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,478
- Composite
- 35.96/100
- National rank
- #4798
- State rank
- #336 of 826 in TX
Livability — Amarillo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #624
- US rank
- #11876
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Amarillo, TX
- County
- Potter County · 72,216 people
- City population
- 185,802
- Metro
- Amarillo, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,161
- Household income
- $59,493
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 994.0
Population outlook (Potter County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 121,296 people
- By 2030
- 120,883 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 119,668 · -1.3%
- By 2050
- 117,788 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 110,250 · -9.1%
- By 2100
- 92,923 · -23.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 16% Black 5% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 29%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Potter
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.4) · D 27.3% · R 71.7% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: -39.4pp · 2024: -44.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.4 2020: R+38.7 2016: R+41.9 2012: R+44.6 2008: R+39.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -179.04%
- Current HPI
- 178.2153
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.69%
- Metro
- Amarillo, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+137.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-05 Listed $149,900 LARMLS
- 2015-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
- 2005-11-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-10-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,833 · -5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…