6325 Kamas Ln · Pleak, TX
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$220,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover peaceful country living just minutes from town at 6325 Kamas Ln in Needville, a traditional single-family home situated on approximately 1.00 acre with wide-open green space and scenic surroundings. This freestanding home features durable wood siding, a composition shingle roof, central heating and air conditioning, a functional layout with comfortable living areas, generously sized bedrooms, and granite countertops in the kitchen. The expansive property offers ample space for gardening, outdoor entertaining, recreation, or accommodating small livestock, along with a long driveway and additional outdoor structures for storage or workspace needs. With no mandatory HOA and no age restrictions, this property provides flexibility and freedom while still offering convenient access to local schools and major roadways.
Key facts
- Durable wood siding
- Functional layout
- Granite countertops
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $86 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $220k).
- Recommended offer: $207k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.8% in Pleak — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,221 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Lamar CISD (suburban): math 50% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #116 of 826 in TX (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 337 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 12,093 units permitted in Fort Bend County in 2024 (815 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fort Bend County population projected at +75% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $52k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.67%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $270,865
- List price
- $220,000
- Delta
- -18.78%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4811 Little Metalmark Dr | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,602 (+4%) | 4mo | $291,990 | $182 | 58 |
| 4838 Summersweet Ln | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,602 (+4%) | 1mo | $226,791 | $142 | 56 |
| 6810 Papillon Ln | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,572 (+2%) | 1mo | $239,990 | $153 | 54 |
| 6802 Papillon Ln | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,635 (+6%) | 0mo | $254,990 | $156 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-30,087
- Equity at exit
- $32,803
- IRR
- -4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-18,719
- Equity at exit
- $19,022
Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77461
- Home prices YoY
- -22.9%
- Active inventory
- 337
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,200 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,154
- Tax from tax record
- −$407 /mo · $4,885/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$462
- Net cashflow
- $86
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,000
- Closing costs
- $6,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4707 Pine Meadow Dr Richmond, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1594 | $2,200 | $1.38 | 2d | 1 | 0.53mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $220,000 Pending 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $220,000 Pending 69 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $220,000 Pending 68 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $220,000 Pending 67 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $220,000 Pending 65 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $220,000 Pending 64 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $220,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $220,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $220,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $220,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $220,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $220,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $220,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $220,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-16price $240,000 832-char remark
Show marketing remark (832 chars)
Discover peaceful country living just minutes from town at 6325 Kamas Ln in Needville, a traditional single-family home situated on approximately 1.00 acre with wide-open green space and scenic surroundings. This freestanding home features durable wood siding, a composition shingle roof, central heating and air conditioning, a functional layout with comfortable living areas, generously sized bedrooms, and granite countertops in the kitchen. The expansive property offers ample space for gardening, outdoor entertaining, recreation, or accommodating small livestock, along with a long driveway and additional outdoor structures for storage or workspace needs. With no mandatory HOA and no age restrictions, this property provides flexibility and freedom while still offering convenient access to local schools and major roadways.
-
2026-04-29price $250,000 832-char remark
Show marketing remark (832 chars)
Discover peaceful country living just minutes from town at 6325 Kamas Ln in Needville, a traditional single-family home situated on approximately 1.00 acre with wide-open green space and scenic surroundings. This freestanding home features durable wood siding, a composition shingle roof, central heating and air conditioning, a functional layout with comfortable living areas, generously sized bedrooms, and granite countertops in the kitchen. The expansive property offers ample space for gardening, outdoor entertaining, recreation, or accommodating small livestock, along with a long driveway and additional outdoor structures for storage or workspace needs. With no mandatory HOA and no age restrictions, this property provides flexibility and freedom while still offering convenient access to local schools and major roadways.
-
2026-04-24price $265,000 832-char remark
Show marketing remark (832 chars)
Discover peaceful country living just minutes from town at 6325 Kamas Ln in Needville, a traditional single-family home situated on approximately 1.00 acre with wide-open green space and scenic surroundings. This freestanding home features durable wood siding, a composition shingle roof, central heating and air conditioning, a functional layout with comfortable living areas, generously sized bedrooms, and granite countertops in the kitchen. The expansive property offers ample space for gardening, outdoor entertaining, recreation, or accommodating small livestock, along with a long driveway and additional outdoor structures for storage or workspace needs. With no mandatory HOA and no age restrictions, this property provides flexibility and freedom while still offering convenient access to local schools and major roadways.
-
2026-04-09price $270,000 832-char remark
Show marketing remark (832 chars)
Discover peaceful country living just minutes from town at 6325 Kamas Ln in Needville, a traditional single-family home situated on approximately 1.00 acre with wide-open green space and scenic surroundings. This freestanding home features durable wood siding, a composition shingle roof, central heating and air conditioning, a functional layout with comfortable living areas, generously sized bedrooms, and granite countertops in the kitchen. The expansive property offers ample space for gardening, outdoor entertaining, recreation, or accommodating small livestock, along with a long driveway and additional outdoor structures for storage or workspace needs. With no mandatory HOA and no age restrictions, this property provides flexibility and freedom while still offering convenient access to local schools and major roadways.
-
2026-04-09$272,000 Active 832-char remark
Show marketing remark (832 chars)
Discover peaceful country living just minutes from town at 6325 Kamas Ln in Needville, a traditional single-family home situated on approximately 1.00 acre with wide-open green space and scenic surroundings. This freestanding home features durable wood siding, a composition shingle roof, central heating and air conditioning, a functional layout with comfortable living areas, generously sized bedrooms, and granite countertops in the kitchen. The expansive property offers ample space for gardening, outdoor entertaining, recreation, or accommodating small livestock, along with a long driveway and additional outdoor structures for storage or workspace needs. With no mandatory HOA and no age restrictions, this property provides flexibility and freedom while still offering convenient access to local schools and major roadways.
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2026-04-08historical
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2026-04-03price $270,000
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2026-03-16$295,000 Active
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2016-09-28soldstatus Sold
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2016-08-12status Pending
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2016-07-27price $96,000
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2016-06-29$106,000 Active
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2003-09-09historical
-
2003-05-31$30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,885 · $407/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,885 · $407/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,323
- − Property taxes
- −$4,885
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,112
- − Management
- −$2,112
- − Depreciation
- −$6,400
- Taxable loss
- −$2,532
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$608
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,634/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lamar CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4826580
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $75,213
- Composite
- 46.43/100
- National rank
- #2452
- State rank
- #116 of 826 in TX
Livability — Pleak
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #1221
- US rank
- #21321
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,397
Population outlook (Fort Bend County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,004,526 people
- By 2030
- 1,153,104 · +14.8%
- By 2040
- 1,453,718 · +44.7%
- By 2050
- 1,753,781 · +74.6%
- By 2075
- 2,455,772 · +144.5%
- By 2100
- 2,930,528 · +191.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (50%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Hispanic / Latino 45% Two or more races 18% Black 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 42%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 28% German/W. Germanic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Fort Bend
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 47.9% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.0pp toward D · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: 1.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.6 2020: D+10.6 2016: D+6.6 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+2.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.17%
- Current HPI
- 324.3807
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+700.0% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Price Changed $240,000 HARMLS
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $250,000 HARMLS
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $265,000 HARMLS
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $270,000 HARMLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $272,000 HARMLS
- 2026-04-08 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $270,000 HARMLS
- 2026-03-16 Listed $295,000 HARMLS
- 2016-09-28 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2016-08-12 Pending — HARMLS
- 2016-07-27 Price Changed $96,000 HARMLS
- 2016-06-29 Listed $106,000 HARMLS
- 2003-09-09 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2003-05-31 Listed $30,000 HARMLS
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2025): $4,885 · -6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…