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9 Mallard Dr
D Composite 42.04
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,000

9 Mallard Dr · Plattsburgh West, NY 12901
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,188 sqft · Manufactured public records · 75 Days on market
Built 2003 0.27 ac lot $151/sqft · 277% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Affordable, single floor living! Spacious, fenced in back yard with large deck for enjoying your morning coffee or evening beverage. Close to Town & City amenities. Central air conditioning to keep cool on those hot summer nights. Two sheds for storage. Updated flooring through most of the house. Updated kitchen includes stainless steel appliances! Schedule a showing today!

Key facts

  • Large deck
  • Single floor living
  • Updated flooring

Tags

SINGLE FLOOR LIVINGFENCED IN BACK YARDLARGE DECKCENTRAL AIR CONDITIONINGTWO SHEDS FOR STORAGEUPDATED FLOORING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $179k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $11 ($135/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $164k (8.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $164k (8.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#679 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
  • Beekmantown Central School District (rural): math 45% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #360 of 590 in NY (top 61%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Cumberland Head Elementary School (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B, #675 of 2,108 statewide, top 35%, 538 students, 46% FRL); Beekmantown Middle School (math 30% / reading 53%, grade F, #394 of 729 statewide, top 55%, 450 students, 49% FRL); Beekmantown High School (math 92% / reading 50%, grade B+, #701 of 1,100 statewide, top 64%, 546 students, 49% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 184 active listings in the ZIP; 192 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (64 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clinton County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($168k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $129k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $163,572 (8.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
6.37%
Cash-on-cash
0.27%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$47,499
List price
$179,000
Delta
276.85%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1408 Military Tpke 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,064 (-10%) 2mo $75,000 $70 65
20 Cherry St 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,120 (-6%) 6mo $40,000 $36 64
1254 Military Tpke 0.44mi 3/1.5 1,296 (+9%) 17mo $94,900 $73 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.8%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-28,235
Equity at exit
$26,689
10-year hold
IRR
-7.4%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-23,450
Equity at exit
$15,477

Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12901

Home prices YoY
-22.5%
Active inventory
184
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,636 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$939
Tax from tax record
$268 /mo · $3,212/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$344
Net cashflow
$11

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,621
Max offer price $179,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $113 -5% $62 +0% $11 +5% $-39 +10% $-90
Rent -10% $-118 -5% $-53 +0% $11 +5% $76 +10% $141
Rate -1.0pp $101 -0.5pp $57 base $11 +0.5pp $-35 +1.0pp $-82

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,750
Closing costs
$5,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $179,000 Active 75 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $179,000 Active 74 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    pricedays on market $179,000 Active 73 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $189,000 Active 71 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $189,000 Active 70 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $189,000 Active 69 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $189,000 Active 68 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $189,000 Active 66 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $189,000 Active 65 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $189,000 Active 62 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $189,000 Active 61 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $189,000 Active 60 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $189,000 Active 59 DOM
  14. 2026-06-04
    days on market $189,000 Active 56 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $189,000 Active 55 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $189,000 Active 54 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,000 Active 53 DOM
  18. 2026-05-08
    price $189,000 382-char remark
    Show marketing remark (382 chars)

    Affordable, single floor living! Spacious, fenced in back yard with large deck for enjoying your morning coffee or evening beverage. Close to Town & City amenities. Central air conditioning to keep cool on those hot summer nights. Two sheds for storage. Updated flooring through most of the house. Updated kitchen includes stainless steel appliances! Schedule a showing today!

  19. 2026-04-08
    listed $199,000 Active 382-char remark
    Show marketing remark (382 chars)

    Affordable, single floor living! Spacious, fenced in back yard with large deck for enjoying your morning coffee or evening beverage. Close to Town & City amenities. Central air conditioning to keep cool on those hot summer nights. Two sheds for storage. Updated flooring through most of the house. Updated kitchen includes stainless steel appliances! Schedule a showing today!

  20. 2022-06-28
    soldstatus $129,000
  21. 2022-06-22
    soldstatus $129,000 143-char remark
    Show marketing remark (143 chars)

    Well maintained home with an open concept. Primary suite has full bath. Deck overlooks the private backyard. Close to shopping and restaurants.

  22. 2022-05-03
    listed $120,000 143-char remark
    Show marketing remark (143 chars)

    Well maintained home with an open concept. Primary suite has full bath. Deck overlooks the private backyard. Close to shopping and restaurants.

  23. 2013-08-15
    soldstatus $77,000
  24. 2003-06-17
    soldstatus $19,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,212 · $268/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,212 · $268/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,629
− Mortgage interest
−$10,027
− Property taxes
−$3,212
− Insurance
−$895
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,570
− Management
−$1,570
− Depreciation
−$5,207
Taxable loss
−$2,853
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$685
After-tax cash flow
$820/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Beekmantown Central School District
NCES district ID
3604290
Math proficiency
45% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▲ 18.00%
Median HH income
$53,577
Composite
43.91/100
National rank
#2914
State rank
#360 of 590 in NY

Livability — Plattsburgh West

Score
65/100
State rank
#679
US rank
#12797

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Plattsburgh West, NY
Population (ZIP)
32,012

Population outlook (Clinton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
78,791 people
By 2030
76,848 · -2.5%
By 2040
71,579 · -9.2%
By 2050
66,471 · -15.6%
By 2075
57,361 · -27.2%
By 2100
47,232 · -40.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 3% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 15% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clinton

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.9% · R 51.1%
2008→2024 swing
-25.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: -2.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.2 2020: D+5.2 2016: D+0.9 2012: D+25.6 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -73.55%
Current HPI
252.8692
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+849.7% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $189,000 ACVMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $199,000 ACVMLS
  • 2022-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $129,000 Public Records
  • 2022-06-22 Sold (MLS) $129,000 ACVMLS
  • 2022-05-03 Listed $120,000 ACVMLS
  • 2013-08-15 Sold (Public Records) $77,000 Public Records
  • 2003-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $19,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,212 · +9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…