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8764 National Rd SW Lot 122
B- Composite 65.27
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$74,900

8764 National Rd SW Lot 122 · Etna, OH 43062
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · SingleFamily · 20 Days on market
Built 2000 Good condition Est $57k · 31% over $500/mo HOA · 20% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this beautifully updated 2000 Redman 16x80 manufactured home located in desirable Willowbrook Terrace Manufactured Housing Community! Offering approximately 1,216 sq. ft. of living space, this spacious home features 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths with updates throughout. Enjoy peace of mind with a new roof, new furnace and new central A/C, along with newer windows, fresh paint, and new flooring throughout. This move-in ready home combines comfort, style and value at an affordable price.

Key facts

  • New furnace
  • Fresh paint
  • Newer windows

Tags

UPDATED MANUFACTURED HOMENEW ROOFNEW FURNACENEW CENTRAL A/CNEWER WINDOWSFRESH PAINT

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $500 monthly fee; HOA covers trash and snow removal; Association contact: 614-597-1038

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: One-story home; Other residential without deeded land
  • Construction: Built in 2000; No common walls
  • Exterior features: Other foundation

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Living area approximately 1,216

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $75k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $991 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#309 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Southwest Licking Local (rural): math 59% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #243 of 656 in OH (top 37%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 160 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 159 units permitted in Licking County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $73,776 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.40%
Cap rate
22.18%
Cash-on-cash
56.72%
DSCR
3.52
GRM
2.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$57,152
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8764 National Rd SW #118 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,120 (-8%) 8mo $44,850 $40 80
8764 National Rd SW #143 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,216 (0%) 17mo $62,500 $51 78
8764 National Rd SW Lot 105 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,216 (0%) 23mo $56,850 $47 77

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
55.3%
Equity multiple
3.45×
Total profit
$51,348
Equity at exit
$11,168
10-year hold
IRR
60.4%
Equity multiple
7.08×
Total profit
$127,419
Equity at exit
$6,476

Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43062

Active inventory
160
Price-to-rent
2.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,543 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax est. 1.5%
$94 /mo · $1,124/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$500
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$534
Net cashflow
$991

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,288
Max offer price $74,900
Occupancy floor 56%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,725
Closing costs
$2,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9526 Watkins Rd SW Etna, OH 3.0 2.0 1372 $2,500 $1.82 21d 1 0.63mi
9760 Ashley River DR Etna, OH 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 917 $2,090 $2.28 2d 1 1.45mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$500 · $6,000/yr

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $74,900 Active 20 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $74,900 Active 19 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $74,900 Active 18 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $74,900 Active 17 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $74,900 Active 15 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $74,900 Active 14 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $74,900 Active 11 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $74,900 Active 10 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $74,900 Active 9 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $74,900 Active 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $74,900 Active 5 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $74,900 Active 4 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $74,900 Active 3 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $74,900 Active 2 DOM
  15. 2026-05-29
    listed $74,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,516
− Mortgage interest
−$4,196
− Property taxes
−$1,124
− Insurance
−$374
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,441
− Management
−$2,441
− HOA
−$6,000
− Depreciation
−$2,179
Taxable income
$11,761
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,823
After-tax cash flow
$9,074/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This move-in ready manufactured home offers a good condition with minor updates needed to enhance its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Kitchen cabinets — Worn appearance
  • Minor Bathroom fixtures — Dated appearance

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint fresh coat — Enhances curb appeal and interior
  • Both Replace worn cabinets — Improves functionality and aesthetics
  • Both Update bathroom fixtures — Enhances functionality and aesthetics

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Kitchen cabinets · Worn appearance Minor $500–3,000
Bathroom fixtures · Dated appearance Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint fresh coat — Enhances curb appeal and interior
  • Both Replace worn cabinets — Improves functionality and aesthetics
  • Both Update bathroom fixtures — Enhances functionality and aesthetics

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Southwest Licking Local
NCES district ID
3904804
Math proficiency
59% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$72,711
Composite
53.66/100
National rank
#1432
State rank
#243 of 656 in OH

Livability — Etna

Score
73/100
State rank
#309
US rank
#5007

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Licking County · 109,194 people
Metro
Columbus, OH
Population (ZIP)
32,037
Household income
$105,968
Rent vs Own
18.4% rent · 81.6% own
Severe rent burden
316.0

Population outlook (Licking County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
178,210 people
By 2030
180,917 · +1.5%
By 2040
183,885 · +3.2%
By 2050
182,985 · +2.7%
By 2075
178,377 · +0.1%
By 2100
161,075 · -9.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Asian 8% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
9% · India, Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Other Indo-European 7% Spanish 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Licking

2024 margin
Solid R (+30.0) · D 34.5% · R 64.6%
2008→2024 swing
-14.2pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -30.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+30.0 2020: R+28.1 2016: R+28.9 2012: R+14.7 2008: R+15.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -255.15%
Current HPI
236.5135
Rent YoY
Metro
Columbus, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $74,900 CBRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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