420 Banana Cay Dr Unit B · South Daytona, FL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.98%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Priced to Sell | Updated 2BR/2BA Ground-Floor Condo | Pool | Screened Lanai | Prime Location Seller is motivated and ready to make a deal -- don't let this one slip by! Move-in ready ground-floor condo offering 2 bedrooms, 2 upgraded baths, and stylish finishes throughout. The renovated kitchen features white shaker-style cabinetry, granite countertops, and a breakfast bar -- perfect for entertaining -- plus a separate dining area for added space. Step out to your private screened lanai and enjoy Florida's weather year-round. Single-level living. .. no stairs and easy access to a beautiful pool and meticulously maintained community grounds. Location highlights: • Minutes to the beach • Close to area universities and colleges • Quick access to the airport • Direct shot to I-95 and I-4 An incredible opportunity for owner-occupants, seasonal buyers, or investors. Motivated seller means this is priced to move -- bring your offers and schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Ground floor condo
- Minutes to the beach
- Screened lanai
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-59 ($-706/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $120k (8.0% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $120k (8.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#114 in FL, #1,755 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, employment D, commute F.
- Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.0%/yr); 280 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $90k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 26% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.25%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.20×
- Total profit
- $-29,092
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- -41.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.28×
- Total profit
- $-46,705
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32119
- Rents YoY
- -2.0%
- Active inventory
- 280
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,555 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$88 /mo · $1,052/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$398
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$327
- Net cashflow
- $-59
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 580 Reed Canal Rd South Daytona, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 718 | $1,272 | $1.77 | 14d | 2 | 0.12mi |
| 480 Reed Canal Rd #57 South Daytona, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1024 | $1,550 | $1.51 | 23d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 301 Ridge Blvd #1020 South Daytona, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,375 | $1.70 | 23d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2275 Granada Dr Unit 1 South Daytona, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 23d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2050 S Ridgewood Ave South Daytona, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 818 | $1,450 | $1.77 | 23d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2140 S Palmetto Ave South Daytona, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,499 | $1.36 | 23d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3131 S Ridgewood Ave #203 South Daytona, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1013 | $1,795 | $1.77 | 14d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3230 S Ridgewood Ave South Daytona, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1046 | $1,881 | $1.80 | 11d | 27 | 0.82mi |
| 2002 S Palmetto Ave Unit B South Daytona, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $975 | $1.56 | 14d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 535 Olive St South Daytona, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,725 | $1.68 | 11d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1910 S Palmetto Ave South Daytona, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,195 | $1.59 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 201 Kost Rd South Daytona, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,149 | $1.35 | 11d | 2 | 1.11mi |
| 205 Kost Rd South Daytona, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,500 | $1.76 | 23d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1888 S Palmetto Ave South Daytona, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,199 | $1.41 | 23d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1830 S Palmetto Ave Unit 4 South Daytona, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 23d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1739 Eastern Rd South Daytona, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,099 | $1.37 | 14d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 900 Boulder Dr South Daytona, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 939 | $1,850 | $1.97 | 23d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3023 S Atlantic Ave Unit 1531031P Daytona Beach Shores, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1097 | $4,430 | $4.04 | 14d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2987 S Atlantic Ave #205 Daytona Beach Shores, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1028 | $2,600 | $2.53 | 23d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 3013 S Atlantic Ave Unit 907 Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $2,800 | $2.57 | 23d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 3043 S Atlantic Ave Apt 1602 Daytona Beach Shores, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1028 | $2,550 | $2.48 | 23d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 3043 S Atlantic Ave #1901 Daytona Beach Shores, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $2,450 | $2.31 | 23d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 3051 S Atlantic Ave #505 Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1058 | $2,450 | $2.32 | 11d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 3051 S Atlantic Ave Unit 1 Daytona Beach Shores, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $2,500 | $2.33 | 23d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 3115 S Atlantic Ave Unit 201 Daytona Beach Shores, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 986 | $2,500 | $2.54 | 23d | 1 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $398 · $4,776/yr
- Likely covers
- landscapingpool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-04-21$129,900 Active 1002-char remark
Show marketing remark (1002 chars)
Priced to Sell | Updated 2BR/2BA Ground-Floor Condo | Pool | Screened Lanai | Prime Location Seller is motivated and ready to make a deal -- don't let this one slip by! Move-in ready ground-floor condo offering 2 bedrooms, 2 upgraded baths, and stylish finishes throughout. The renovated kitchen features white shaker-style cabinetry, granite countertops, and a breakfast bar -- perfect for entertaining -- plus a separate dining area for added space. Step out to your private screened lanai and enjoy Florida's weather year-round. Single-level living. .. no stairs and easy access to a beautiful pool and meticulously maintained community grounds. Location highlights: • Minutes to the beach • Close to area universities and colleges • Quick access to the airport • Direct shot to I-95 and I-4 An incredible opportunity for owner-occupants, seasonal buyers, or investors. Motivated seller means this is priced to move -- bring your offers and schedule your showing today!
-
2020-02-14soldstatus $90,400
-
2020-02-13soldstatus $90,400 Closed 269-char remark
Show marketing remark (269 chars)
This is the perfect condo for a first time home buyer. Or an investor that wants a turn key rental! Or even a person or family that wants to down size! This unit has been fully remodeled. New AC, hot water heater, tile, carpet, fully remodeled kitchen and bathrooms!
-
2020-01-08historical Contingent 269-char remark
Show marketing remark (269 chars)
This is the perfect condo for a first time home buyer. Or an investor that wants a turn key rental! Or even a person or family that wants to down size! This unit has been fully remodeled. New AC, hot water heater, tile, carpet, fully remodeled kitchen and bathrooms!
-
2019-11-28status Active 269-char remark
Show marketing remark (269 chars)
This is the perfect condo for a first time home buyer. Or an investor that wants a turn key rental! Or even a person or family that wants to down size! This unit has been fully remodeled. New AC, hot water heater, tile, carpet, fully remodeled kitchen and bathrooms!
-
2019-11-18historical Contingent 269-char remark
Show marketing remark (269 chars)
This is the perfect condo for a first time home buyer. Or an investor that wants a turn key rental! Or even a person or family that wants to down size! This unit has been fully remodeled. New AC, hot water heater, tile, carpet, fully remodeled kitchen and bathrooms!
-
2019-10-30$94,900 Active 269-char remark
Show marketing remark (269 chars)
This is the perfect condo for a first time home buyer. Or an investor that wants a turn key rental! Or even a person or family that wants to down size! This unit has been fully remodeled. New AC, hot water heater, tile, carpet, fully remodeled kitchen and bathrooms!
-
2019-08-21soldstatus $50,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,052 · $88/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,078 · $90/mo
- Expected delta
- +$26/yr (+$2/mo · 2.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 98% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,663
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$1,052
- − Insurance
- −$1,447
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,493
- − Management
- −$1,493
- − HOA
- −$4,776
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable loss
- −$2,654
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$637
- After-tax cash flow
- $-69/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Volusia
- NCES district ID
- 1201920
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,946
- Composite
- 39.2/100
- National rank
- #4019
- State rank
- #47 of 73 in FL
Livability — South Daytona
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #114
- US rank
- #1755
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Daytona, FL
- County
- Volusia County · 556,871 people
- City population
- 22,348
- Metro
- Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,348
- Household income
- $56,862
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1158.0
Population outlook (Volusia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 572,749 people
- By 2030
- 598,695 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 644,880 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 681,451 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 759,957 · +32.7%
- By 2100
- 778,902 · +36.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Volusia
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.8) · D 38.7% · R 60.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.7pp · 2024: -21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.8 2020: R+14.1 2016: R+13.1 2012: R+1.2 2008: D+5.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -247.99%
- Current HPI
- 309.304
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.01%
- Metro
- Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+159.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Listed $129,900 Daytona MLS
- 2020-02-14 Sold (Public Records) $90,400 Public Records
- 2020-02-13 Sold (MLS) $90,400 Daytona MLS
- 2020-01-08 Contingent — Daytona MLS
- 2019-11-28 Relisted — Daytona MLS
- 2019-11-18 Contingent — Daytona MLS
- 2019-10-30 Listed $94,900 Daytona MLS
- 2019-08-21 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,052 · -18.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…