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12403 Saint Michel Ave
B Composite 70.75
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$63,900

12403 Saint Michel Ave · Bruce, MI 48065
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · Manufactured · 199 Days on market
Built 2024 Good condition $61/sqft · 219% above area ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Home for the Holidays here at Springbrook Estates! Free base rent for the next THREE months! Contact us at our location today for home availability and details! Now available at just $1,249 a month! Location, location location! Privacy seekers alert! Beautifully maintained 3 bedroom 2 bathroom gem located on a wooded property line near the back of the community. Do not miss your opportunity to call this beauty home! Bright, and modern kitchen that was built for a chef features a generously sized island perfect for hosting holiday gatherings. Give your self the best gift and call or location today to be the first to tour to make this stunning home yours! "Photographs may be digitally staged for illustration purposes. Actual property may differ. Prospective residents should verify all information to their own satisfaction. Contact for clarification of viewing arrangements. "

Key facts

  • Modern clayton home
  • Open floorplan home
  • Spacious kitchen

Tags

MODERN CLAYTON HOMESPACIOUS KITCHENOPEN FLOORPLAN HOMENEW APPLIANCESCENTRAL HEATING AC

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $64k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $694 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $64k).
  • Recommended offer: $56k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Romeo Community Schools (suburban): math 43% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #102 of 540 in MI (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $442 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 199 days — a 12% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $56,232 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 199 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.25%
Cap rate
19.33%
Cash-on-cash
46.54%
DSCR
3.07
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$20,000
List price
$63,900
Delta
219.50%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
71604 Saint David Ct 0.10mi 2/1.0 (-1) 950 (-10%) 3mo $20,000 $21 67
11745 Cascade Cir 0.31mi 3/2.0 980 (-7%) 23mo $25,000 $26 54
11745 Cascade Cir 0.31mi 3/2.0 980 (-7%) 23mo $25,000 $26 54
11723 Cascade Cir 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,196 (+13%) 22mo $25,000 $21 46
11723 Cascade Cir 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,196 (+13%) 22mo $25,000 $21 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
43.8%
Equity multiple
2.89×
Total profit
$33,867
Equity at exit
$9,528
10-year hold
IRR
49.8%
Equity multiple
5.83×
Total profit
$86,493
Equity at exit
$5,525

Cash invested: $17,892 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48065

Active inventory
87
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,437 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$335
Tax est. 1.5%
$80 /mo · $958/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$302
Net cashflow
$694

Break-even live

Break-even rent $559
Max offer price $63,900
Occupancy floor 47%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $738 -5% $716 +0% $694 +5% $672 +10% $650
Rent -10% $580 -5% $637 +0% $694 +5% $751 +10% $808
Rate -1.0pp $726 -0.5pp $710 base $694 +0.5pp $677 +1.0pp $661

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,975
Closing costs
$1,917
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12556 Margaret Ct Unit 287 Bruce Township, MI 3.0 2.0 1152 $1,569 $1.36 5d 1 0.01mi
71580 Penny Ct Unit 253 Bruce Township, MI 3.0 2.0 1216 $1,219 $1.00 15d 1 0.18mi
11975 Creekview Ave Unit 218 Bruce Township, MI 2.0 2.0 1120 $1,399 $1.25 0d 1 0.26mi
11747 Cascade Cir Unit 92 Bruce Township, MI 3.0 2.0 1152 $1,379 $1.20 44d 1 0.29mi
11791 Cascade Cir Unit 76 Bruce Township, MI 4.0 2.0 1344 $1,409 $1.05 25d 1 0.31mi
11981 Springbrook Ct Unit 10 Bruce Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,269 $1.32 21d 1 0.33mi
11827 Cascade Cir Unit 4 Bruce Township, MI 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,499 $1.42 0d 1 0.45mi
324 E Saint Clair St Romeo, MI 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,550 $1.29 44d 1 1.35mi
308 E Washington St Romeo, MI 2.0 2.0 1350 $2,400 $1.78 44d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $63,900 Active 199 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $63,900 Active 198 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $63,900 Active 197 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $63,900 Active 196 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $63,900 Active 194 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $63,900 Active 190 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $63,900 Active 189 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $63,900 Active 188 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $63,900 Active 185 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $63,900 Active 184 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $63,900 Active 183 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $63,900 Active 182 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $63,900 Active 181 DOM
  14. 2025-12-03
    status Active 898-char remark
    Show marketing remark (898 chars)

    Home for the Holidays here at Springbrook Estates! Free base rent for the next THREE months! Contact us at our location today for home availability and details! Now available at just $1,249 a month! Location, location location! Privacy seekers alert! Beautifully maintained 3 bedroom 2 bathroom gem located on a wooded property line near the back of the community. Do not miss your opportunity to call this beauty home! Bright, and modern kitchen that was built for a chef features a generously sized island perfect for hosting holiday gatherings. Give your self the best gift and call or location today to be the first to tour to make this stunning home yours! "Photographs may be digitally staged for illustration purposes. Actual property may differ. Prospective residents should verify all information to their own satisfaction. Contact for clarification of viewing arrangements. "

  15. 2025-12-03
    price $63,900 898-char remark
    Show marketing remark (898 chars)

    Home for the Holidays here at Springbrook Estates! Free base rent for the next THREE months! Contact us at our location today for home availability and details! Now available at just $1,249 a month! Location, location location! Privacy seekers alert! Beautifully maintained 3 bedroom 2 bathroom gem located on a wooded property line near the back of the community. Do not miss your opportunity to call this beauty home! Bright, and modern kitchen that was built for a chef features a generously sized island perfect for hosting holiday gatherings. Give your self the best gift and call or location today to be the first to tour to make this stunning home yours! "Photographs may be digitally staged for illustration purposes. Actual property may differ. Prospective residents should verify all information to their own satisfaction. Contact for clarification of viewing arrangements. "

  16. 2024-10-28
    historical 898-char remark
    Show marketing remark (898 chars)

    Home for the Holidays here at Springbrook Estates! Free base rent for the next THREE months! Contact us at our location today for home availability and details! Now available at just $1,249 a month! Location, location location! Privacy seekers alert! Beautifully maintained 3 bedroom 2 bathroom gem located on a wooded property line near the back of the community. Do not miss your opportunity to call this beauty home! Bright, and modern kitchen that was built for a chef features a generously sized island perfect for hosting holiday gatherings. Give your self the best gift and call or location today to be the first to tour to make this stunning home yours! "Photographs may be digitally staged for illustration purposes. Actual property may differ. Prospective residents should verify all information to their own satisfaction. Contact for clarification of viewing arrangements. "

  17. 2024-10-25
    listed $69,900 Active 898-char remark
    Show marketing remark (898 chars)

    Home for the Holidays here at Springbrook Estates! Free base rent for the next THREE months! Contact us at our location today for home availability and details! Now available at just $1,249 a month! Location, location location! Privacy seekers alert! Beautifully maintained 3 bedroom 2 bathroom gem located on a wooded property line near the back of the community. Do not miss your opportunity to call this beauty home! Bright, and modern kitchen that was built for a chef features a generously sized island perfect for hosting holiday gatherings. Give your self the best gift and call or location today to be the first to tour to make this stunning home yours! "Photographs may be digitally staged for illustration purposes. Actual property may differ. Prospective residents should verify all information to their own satisfaction. Contact for clarification of viewing arrangements. "

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,249
− Mortgage interest
−$3,579
− Property taxes
−$958
− Insurance
−$320
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,380
− Management
−$1,380
− Depreciation
−$1,859
Taxable income
$7,773
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,866
After-tax cash flow
$6,462/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This beautifully maintained mobile home is move-in ready with a good condition score and minimal repairs needed. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for value increase through cosmetic updates.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the interior walls — Fresh paint can make the home feel new and improve curb appeal
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances the home's appeal and can increase its value
  • Both New flooring in living areas — Hardwood flooring can add value and improve the home's aesthetic
  • Both New kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and attractive

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the interior walls — Fresh paint can make the home feel new and improve curb appeal
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances the home's appeal and can increase its value
  • Both New flooring in living areas — Hardwood flooring can add value and improve the home's aesthetic
  • Both New kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and attractive

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Romeo Community Schools
NCES district ID
2630090
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$73,121
Composite
42.48/100
National rank
#3212
State rank
#102 of 540 in MI

Livability — Bruce

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
11,344

Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
925,296 people
By 2030
948,226 · +2.5%
By 2040
983,961 · +6.3%
By 2050
1,010,200 · +9.2%
By 2075
1,076,222 · +16.3%
By 2100
1,077,065 · +16.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 14% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Macomb

2024 margin
R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -252.70%
Current HPI
214.524
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-03 Relisted Zillow
  • 2025-12-03 Price Changed $63,900 Zillow
  • 2024-10-28 Delisted Zillow
  • 2024-10-25 Listed $69,900 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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