432 S Harbor Blvd #147 · Santa Ana, CA
Flood risk 2/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.03%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to comfortable and affordable living in the well-established 55 and up community of Bali Hi Mobile Home Lodge. This beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath double-wide home offers approximately 1,140 sq ft of living space with a spacious and functional layout. Pride of ownership is evident throughout the home, which has been thoughtfully cared for and well maintained. The floor plan provides comfortable living areas, a practical kitchen, and well-sized bedrooms, offering flexibility for everyday living, guests, or a home office. Located within a clean, well-kept community, residents of Bali Hi Mobile Home Lodge enjoy a welcoming atmosphere along with organized, responsive park management that helps maintain the park’s appealing and peaceful environment. The location adds even more convenience, with shopping, dining, parks, schools, and major freeways just minutes away, making commuting and daily errands simple and accessible while still enjoying the comfort of a quiet community setting. This is a wonderful opportunity to own a move-in-ready home in a well-maintained park in Santa Ana, offering comfort, convenience, and great value.
Key facts
- Move in ready home
- 2 parking spots
- Community pool
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $150k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.9% vs local median 2.5% in Santa Ana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#871 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A; Watch: schools D, crime D-, amenities F.
- Garden Grove Unified (suburban): math 38% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #132 of 517 in CA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 70 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,936/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($71k/yr) (locally 2626% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.7% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.78% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.63%
- DSCR
- 2.36
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $140,000
- List price
- $165,000
- Delta
- 17.86%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4117 W Mcfadden Ave #9 | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+5%) | 0mo | $166,000 | $138 | 81 |
| 4080 W 1st St #174 | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (+1%) | 18mo | $191,500 | $166 | 76 |
| 4080 W First #175 | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (-4%) | 15mo | $165,000 | $150 | 74 |
| 4080 W 1st St #114 | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,152 (+1%) | 16mo | $140,000 | $122 | 72 |
| 432 S Harbor Blvd #20 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (+10%) | 17mo | $144,500 | $116 | 70 |
| 432 S Harbor Blvd #34 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,040 (-9%) | 14mo | $109,000 | $105 | 69 |
| 4117 W Mcfadden Ave #612 | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,045 (-8%) | 17mo | $165,500 | $158 | 60 |
| 4117 W McFadden #116 | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,040 (-9%) | 15mo | $160,000 | $154 | 56 |
| 3929 W 5th St #34 | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (-4%) | 19mo | $193,000 | $175 | 50 |
| 3929 W 5th St #49 | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,040 (-9%) | 7mo | $152,000 | $146 | 44 |
| 5002 W McFadden Ave Spc 81 | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-12%) | 2mo | $137,000 | $137 | 40 |
| 214 Sequoia Way | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,310 (+15%) | 19mo | $180,000 | $137 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.71% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.03×
- Total profit
- $47,562
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 32.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.92×
- Total profit
- $134,826
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92701
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 70
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,936 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$206 /mo · $2,475/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$617
- Net cashflow
- $1,179
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,293 | -5% $1,236 | +0% $1,179 | +5% $1,122 | +10% $1,065 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $947 | -5% $1,063 | +0% $1,179 | +5% $1,295 | +10% $1,411 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,262 | -0.5pp $1,221 | base $1,179 | +0.5pp $1,137 | +1.0pp $1,093 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 517 S Newhope St Santa Ana, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $2,125 | $2.53 | 45d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 4200 W 1st St Santa Ana, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 714 | $2,929 | $4.10 | 0d | 5 | 0.34mi |
| 225 S Newhope St Santa Ana, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 822 | $2,288 | $2.78 | 0d | 2 | 0.37mi |
| 909 S Elliott Pl Santa Ana, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1351 | $4,700 | $3.48 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 308 S Laurel St Unit C Santa Ana, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,650 | $2.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 3900 W 5th St Santa Ana, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 780 | $2,175 | $2.79 | 13d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 4201 W 5th St Santa Ana, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 921 | $2,800 | $3.04 | 8d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 4109 W 5th St Unit C3 Santa Ana, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 921 | $2,500 | $2.71 | 22d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 4109 W 5th St Unit C3 Santa Ana, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 921 | $2,900 | $3.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 4800 W McFadden Ave Santa Ana, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $2,450 | $2.99 | 19d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3200 W 5th St Santa Ana, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 769 | $2,795 | $3.63 | 3d | 9 | 0.71mi |
| 16350 S Harbor Blvd Santa Ana, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,870 | $3.59 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1314 N Harbor Blvd Santa Ana, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 884 | $2,742 | $3.10 | 13d | 4 | 1.09mi |
| 10956 Obsidian Ct Fountain Valley, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1388 | $3,500 | $2.52 | 19d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1500 N Harbor Blvd Santa Ana, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 780 | $2,575 | $3.30 | 16d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3630 Westminster Ave Santa Ana, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 997 | $2,758 | $2.77 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 16245 Mount Baden Powell St Fountain Valley, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $2,650 | $2.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 15951 Los Reyes St Unit A Fountain Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $3,100 | $3.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $165,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $165,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $165,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $165,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $165,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $165,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $165,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $165,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $165,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $165,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $165,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $165,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $165,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-03-17$165,000 Active 1164-char remark
Show marketing remark (1164 chars)
Welcome to comfortable and affordable living in the well-established 55 and up community of Bali Hi Mobile Home Lodge. This beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath double-wide home offers approximately 1,140 sq ft of living space with a spacious and functional layout. Pride of ownership is evident throughout the home, which has been thoughtfully cared for and well maintained. The floor plan provides comfortable living areas, a practical kitchen, and well-sized bedrooms, offering flexibility for everyday living, guests, or a home office. Located within a clean, well-kept community, residents of Bali Hi Mobile Home Lodge enjoy a welcoming atmosphere along with organized, responsive park management that helps maintain the park’s appealing and peaceful environment. The location adds even more convenience, with shopping, dining, parks, schools, and major freeways just minutes away, making commuting and daily errands simple and accessible while still enjoying the comfort of a quiet community setting. This is a wonderful opportunity to own a move-in-ready home in a well-maintained park in Santa Ana, offering comfort, convenience, and great value.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 2/10 Low FEMA zone X · 3% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,234
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$2,475
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,819
- − Management
- −$2,819
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable income
- $12,254
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,941
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,210/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Garden Grove Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0614880
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,089
- Composite
- 44.89/100
- National rank
- #2715
- State rank
- #132 of 517 in CA
Livability — Santa Ana
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #871
- US rank
- #23502
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Santa Ana, CA
- County
- Orange County · 3,096,323 people
- City population
- 288,255
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,818
- Household income
- $70,572
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2626.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,477,456 people
- By 2030
- 3,613,117 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 3,835,945 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 3,968,736 · +14.1%
- By 2075
- 4,097,053 · +17.8%
- By 2100
- 3,903,633 · +12.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 88% Two or more races 14% White 6% Asian 5% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 80%
- Foreign-born
- 43% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 16% English-only · Spanish 79% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -538.28%
- Current HPI
- 506.7805
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.71%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-17 Listed $165,000 SDMLS
Property tax history
-13.3%/yrLatest (2025): $21 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…