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2131 Philips Rd
B Composite 73.34
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

2131 Philips Rd · Huguley, AL 36863
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,289 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1965 0.52 ac lot $62/sqft · 48% below area Est $140k · 43% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

OPPORTUNITY IN THE HUGULEY COMMUITY! This brick ranch is conveniently located to I-85 and sits on . 52+/- acres! As you enter into the Family Room you'll note the natural light that flows through large window on front of home. The Kitchen offers wood cabinetry and offers an open flow to Dining Area. Two Bedrooms are nicely sized and share a hallway Bathroom. An additional flex space could be used as a den, office, or possibly a third bedroom. This home has great potential!

Key facts

  • Huguley community
  • Flex space
  • Natural light

Tags

HUGULEY COMMUNITYBRICK RANCHNATURAL LIGHTWOOD CABINETRYOPEN FLOWFLEX SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.52 acre
  • Financial info: Listing available for cash or conventional financing
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single-family house; One level; Residential property; Fixer condition
  • Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Built in 1965
  • Exterior features: Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Tile bath; Family room; Mud room / laundry area; Other room
  • Laundry & utility: Mud room for laundry/utility

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $335 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#210 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Chambers County (town): math 10% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #101 of 129 in AL (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Huguley Elementary School (math 32% / reading 57%, grade F, #171 of 627 statewide, top 31%, 384 students, 56% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 44% at this address vs 24% district-wide (+21 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Chambers County average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 106 active listings in the ZIP; 43 units permitted in Chambers County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chambers County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $77,503 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.33%
Cap rate
11.32%
Cash-on-cash
17.95%
DSCR
1.80
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$140,107
List price
$79,900
Delta
-42.97%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4223 24 St SW 0.26mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,396 (+8%) 2mo $235,000 $168 64
4023 32nd St SW 0.59mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,311 (+2%) 2mo $245,000 $187 59
4033 32nd St SW 0.59mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,378 (+7%) 1mo $255,000 $185 51
1729 32nd Ave 0.49mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,450 (+12%) 4mo $125,000 $86 44
3211 30th Ave SW 0.59mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,222 (-5%) 22mo $120,000 $98 36
2535 28th Ave SW 0.72mi 2/1.0 1,095 (-15%) 16mo $175,000 $160 28
1515 Phillips Rd 0.66mi 2/2.0 1,096 (-15%) 24mo $89,600 $82 20

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.5%
Equity multiple
1.37×
Total profit
$8,356
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
18.6%
Equity multiple
2.55×
Total profit
$34,672
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36863

Home prices YoY
-29.1%
Active inventory
106
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,063 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$53 /mo · $635/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$223
Net cashflow
$335

Break-even live

Break-even rent $640
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $380 -5% $357 +0% $335 +5% $312 +10% $289
Rent -10% $251 -5% $293 +0% $335 +5% $377 +10% $419
Rate -1.0pp $375 -0.5pp $355 base $335 +0.5pp $314 +1.0pp $293

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $79,900 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $79,900 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,900 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,900 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,900 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $79,900 Active 30 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $79,900 Active 29 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,900 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,900 Active 25 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,900 Active 24 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $79,900 Active 21 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,900 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,900 Active 18 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,900 Active 17 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $79,900 Active 16 DOM
  17. 2026-05-08
    listed $79,900 New 478-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$635 · $53/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$635 · $53/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 59% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,758
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$635
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,021
− Management
−$1,021
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$2,882
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$692
After-tax cash flow
$3,324/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chambers County
NCES district ID
0100600
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$36,011
Composite
19.37/100
National rank
#8785
State rank
#101 of 129 in AL

Livability — Huguley

Score
62/100
State rank
#210
US rank
#16185

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Huguley, AL
Population (ZIP)
12,335

Population outlook (Chambers County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
33,868 people
By 2030
33,504 · -1.1%
By 2040
32,594 · -3.8%
By 2050
31,422 · -7.2%
By 2075
29,054 · -14.2%
By 2100
25,431 · -24.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Black 45% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chambers

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.2) · D 38.0% · R 61.2%
2008→2024 swing
-14.8pp toward R · 2008: -8.5pp · 2024: -23.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.2 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+14.8 2012: R+5.1 2008: R+8.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -63.32%
Current HPI
154.4174
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $79,900 GAMLS

Property tax history

+14.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $635 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…